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Crypto World

India Crypto Tax Filings Falling Behind Trading as Regulation Looms

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Crypto Breaking News

India’s tax authorities have reportedly identified major gaps in how crypto gains are being declared, underscoring a growing enforcement challenge that is emerging alongside the country’s long-running debate over crypto regulation. According to documents reviewed by Reuters, less than a quarter of people who reported making crypto transactions were actually declaring them on tax returns for the year ending in March 2023.

The same set of government documents reportedly estimates that India had roughly 39 million crypto traders holding assets worth more than $2.1 billion by the end of May. With offshore venues, private wallets, and peer-to-peer (P2P) activity increasingly common, the findings point to why tax authorities may struggle to track transactions and recover revenue—even if policy shifts are already being discussed at the central bank level.

Key takeaways

  • Reuters reports India’s crypto tax reporting gaps: fewer than 25% of 645,000 individuals who transacted in the year ending March 2023 declared those trades.
  • Government documents cited by Reuters estimate about 39 million crypto traders in India holding over $2.1 billion in crypto as of end-May.
  • The tax issue adds a new dimension to India’s policy debate, shifting attention from only financial-stability concerns to offshore trading and tax compliance.
  • India is not alone: a separate disclosure effort in Israel also underperformed against expectations, according to local reporting.

India’s reporting gap highlights a tracking problem

Reuters, citing government documents, says the tax department found that crypto activity is not being reflected consistently in tax filings. The Reuters report frames this as a practical enforcement issue: when trading happens on offshore exchanges, through private wallets, or via P2P arrangements, linking transactions to taxable income becomes harder.

The scale of the issue—reported involvement by 645,000 individuals in the year ending March 2023—makes it more than a niche compliance problem. If fewer than a quarter reported their activity, tax leakage could remain substantial, particularly as retail participation appears to be large. Reuters’ cited estimate of around 39 million crypto traders and more than $2.1 billion in holdings at end-May suggests that the affected population may continue to expand.

India’s standing in adoption metrics adds context. The Reuters report notes India was ranked first in Chainalysis’ 2025 Global Crypto Adoption Index, which implies widespread on-the-ground usage. When adoption rises faster than tax compliance, authorities often face a widening gap between real-world activity and reported taxable events.

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Central bank containment guidance meets tax enforcement reality

The Reuters findings land during a period when India’s central bank has signaled strong constraints on crypto usage in the financial system. Earlier coverage referenced that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) backed a “containment” approach, arguing for keeping banks and financial institutions insulated from cryptocurrencies and privately issued stablecoins.

On July 3, the RBI reportedly urged lawmakers to preserve that containment stance. Reuters’ summary indicates the central bank reiterated that prohibition remained an available policy option, while also recommending steps aimed at preventing digital asset use in payments and settlements. In other words, the RBI’s primary focus has been on limiting crypto’s reach into mainstream financial plumbing.

But the new tax documentation shifts emphasis. Even with banking and payment rails constrained, crypto trading can continue through offshore platforms and decentralized or private channels. That creates a different policy challenge: authorities may still need tools to identify taxable transactions and enforce reporting obligations, regardless of whether the regulated banking sector is deeply exposed.

Cointelegraph attempted to obtain a comment from India’s Central Board of Direct Taxes but reported it had not received a response by the time of publication.

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Israel’s disclosure program also fell short

India’s compliance struggle echoes a broader pattern seen in other jurisdictions. In Israel, a voluntary disclosure program aimed at bringing previously undisclosed crypto profits into the tax net reportedly did not meet expectations, according to a June 3 report by Globes.

Globes reported that the Israel Tax Authority (ITA) expected the program to raise between 2 billion and 3 billion Israeli shekels (roughly $650 million to $986 million). The scheme offered criminal immunity to taxpayers who disclosed hidden capital. However, local reporting says only 289 disclosure requests were submitted after the program started in August 2025.

Globes further reported reported capital of 676.5 million shekels and an estimated tax due of 40.9 million shekels—far below the initial expectations and also below what was characterized as the size of the crypto tax gap.

Tax experts cited by Globes pointed to a key design issue: the lack of an anonymous disclosure track. If taxpayers believe they will be identifiable, the incentive to come forward may weaken, especially when enforcement risk and reputational concerns are perceived as high.

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What investors and builders should watch next

For market participants, the practical question behind the headlines is whether governments can close the compliance gap without simply chasing an ever-shifting set of on/off-ramps. India’s reported figures suggest that enforcement is becoming a major pillar of policy—one that depends on data visibility across offshore trading, P2P activity, and private custody.

Investors and crypto users should watch for the next steps from tax authorities and regulators: whether India moves toward tighter reporting requirements, improved information-sharing, or more targeted compliance measures aimed specifically at harder-to-trace trading routes. Until then, the tension between widespread adoption and incomplete tax reporting is likely to remain a defining risk for the sector.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Kalshi Plans Expansion Into Gold, Currency, and Energy Perpetual Futures Markets

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Highlights

  • Kalshi is requesting regulatory clearance for perpetual futures covering gold, currencies, and energy.

  • The trading venue intends to move past cryptocurrency-focused derivative offerings.

  • Precious metals, particularly gold, represent a top strategic focus for upcoming launches.

  • Regulatory examination by the CFTC may establish precedents for energy-linked perpetual contracts.

  • Legacy derivative exchanges confront mounting competitive challenges from Kalshi’s strategic growth.

Kalshi has submitted applications to broaden its perpetual futures offerings into precious metals, currency pairs, and energy commodities. This strategic initiative represents an effort to extend its regulated derivatives framework beyond cryptocurrency markets. The expansion strategy positions Kalshi in direct rivalry with long-standing exchange platforms and retail-focused trading services.

Precious Metals Lead Kalshi’s Expansion Strategy

The trading platform has identified gold-linked perpetual futures as an initial priority amid expanding interest beyond digital currencies. Precious metals hold widespread recognition among both retail participants and institutional trading desks. Management views gold as an accessible gateway for introducing broader traditional asset exposure.

Unlike conventional futures agreements, perpetual contracts carry no fixed expiration dates. Market participants maintain positions indefinitely without needing to transition holdings into subsequent contract periods. Yet leveraged exposure amplifies potential profits and losses during volatile price movements.

Following CFTC authorization in May, Kalshi introduced regulated cryptocurrency perpetual futures that have accumulated approximately $16.1 billion in transaction volume. Building on that momentum, the platform seeks to deploy identical contract structures across conventional financial instruments.

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Currency and Energy Markets Join Expansion Blueprint

The venue is simultaneously advancing products connected to currency exchange rates and energy commodities. These instrument categories frequently react to international tensions, production disruptions, and cyclical consumption patterns. Management identifies these characteristics as favorable attributes for sustained perpetual futures activity.

Company representatives report substantial progress in regulatory discussions regarding the planned product launches. The CFTC has additionally requested industry feedback concerning perpetual instruments linked to physically deliverable or inventory-based energy commodities. This consultation process may determine how petroleum products and related assets access regulated trading environments.

Future development may encompass contracts tracking equity indices and single-stock exposures. Nevertheless, metals, currencies, and energy commodities appear positioned as immediate priorities. Upon receiving approval, these instruments would operate during standard trading sessions rather than continuous 24-hour availability.

Perpetual Contract Approval Intensifies Market Competition

This development unfolds as established exchange operators evaluate competitive implications from regulated perpetual futures authorization. CME Group, Cboe Global Markets, Nasdaq, and Intercontinental Exchange have encountered pressure following CFTC approval decisions. These determinations sparked concerns regarding competitive dynamics within U.S. derivatives infrastructure.

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CME Group has initiated legal proceedings against the CFTC and its leadership challenging approvals granted to Kalshi and Coinbase. The exchange contends that regulatory authorities advanced excessively fast on products carrying substantial market-wide consequences. Skeptics additionally caution that retail market participants may inadequately assess hazards associated with leveraged perpetual instruments.

Kalshi maintains that regulated market access channels offshore trading activity into supervised environments. Company estimates suggest international perpetual futures volume approached $90 trillion throughout the previous year. Consequently, its precious metals, currency, and energy initiative may gauge appetite for regulated alternatives within domestic markets.

 

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Kalshi targets gold perpetuals as Robinhood rivalry heats up

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Kalshi valuation hits $22bn after $1bn Series F

Kalshi has intensified its push into regulated perpetual futures by seeking approval to launch gold, foreign exchange, and energy contracts as competition with Robinhood expands beyond crypto.

Summary

  • Kalshi is seeking approval to launch gold, forex, and energy perpetual futures.
  • The move pits Kalshi against Robinhood as both expand regulated derivatives offerings.
  • Google will ban prediction market extensions from the Chrome Web Store starting Aug. 1.

According to Reuters, the prediction markets platform is in advanced discussions with U.S. regulators to introduce perpetual futures linked to traditional assets, extending the strategy it first used in crypto markets.

The proposal covers contracts tied to precious metals, foreign exchange, and energy, while the company is also evaluating perpetual products linked to stock indices and individual equities over time.

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Unlike traditional futures, perpetual contracts have no expiration date, allowing traders to keep positions open without rolling them into new contracts. Kalshi became one of the first regulated U.S. platforms to offer crypto perpetual futures, and Reuters reported that those products have already generated about $16.1 billion in trading volume.

Gold has emerged as Kalshi’s priority market

Comments from Kalshi Chief Risk Officer Udesh Jha, cited by Reuters, indicate that customer demand is shaping the platform’s product roadmap. Jha identified gold as one of the strongest candidates for expansion because it attracts interest from both retail and institutional traders.

He also pointed to foreign exchange, metals, and energy markets as attractive segments, noting that geopolitical events and seasonal trading patterns continue to create demand across those asset classes. Reuters reported that these factors have encouraged Kalshi to look beyond digital assets while remaining within regulated derivatives markets.

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The expansion comes even as the company continues to navigate increasing scrutiny around prediction markets. Earlier this month, Google updated its Chrome Web Store Developer Program policies to prohibit browser extensions that facilitate real-money transactions on predictive outcomes.

The revised rules take effect on Aug. 1, 2026, after which non-compliant extensions could face removal from the Chrome Web Store. The policy change follows mounting legal and regulatory disputes involving platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket over event-based contracts and state gambling laws.

Robinhood continues to expand across asset classes

Kalshi’s latest regulatory push places it in more direct competition with Robinhood, which has been expanding well beyond its traditional brokerage business.

Earlier this month, Robinhood introduced multi-asset perpetual futures through Bitstamp, allowing eligible customers to trade cryptocurrencies, commodities, equity indices, and foreign exchange using a single collateral pool. Industry reports have also indicated that the company is working toward launching perpetual futures in the United States, subject to regulatory approval.

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Robinhood has also been strengthening its crypto infrastructure. As previously reported by crypto.news, Robinhood Chain recorded $500 million in daily Uniswap trading volume within eight days of launch. The Arbitrum-powered network has surpassed $106 million in total value locked, placing it among the more active decentralized finance ecosystems.

If regulators approve Kalshi’s proposed products, the regulated perpetual futures market could become increasingly competitive as both companies expand into commodities, currencies, equities, and digital assets under regulated frameworks.

For Kalshi, Reuters reported that beginning with gold and other heavily traded markets would allow the company to build on the momentum generated by its crypto perpetual futures business while serving traders looking for exposure to multiple asset classes.

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Buy STRC and make 28%? Traders say no thanks

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Buy STRC and make 28%? Traders say no thanks

STRC by Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) is now offering investors more than 28% upside potential if it returns to par and pays its dividends over the next year. But investors keep selling it anyway.

Over the last week, STRC has declined 2% and is down 11% in 30 days. These sales in the face of Strategy’s generous offer are votes of diminishing confidence in management, including founder Michael Saylor.

As of today, STRC was paying a 12% annualized dividend at full par value of $100 yet was on sale for under $86 per share.

If that stock returns to Strategy’s intended $99-100 trading range and pays its dividends, investors would earn a total return of at least 15% on their stock price appreciation plus a stream of semi-monthly dividends.

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Even better, those dividends have beneficial tax treatment as return of capital, meaning that 12% is even higher than 12% for many investors on a tax-adjusted basis. 

Read more: Michael Saylor wants $100 STRC — the market says different

Moreover, the rally from sub-$86 to over $99 per share could occur anytime, not simply at a 12-month maturity. This would make the time-weighted value of any early 15% rally worth even more than if it rallied evenly across 12 months.

In addition, as if the offer wasn’t already sweet enough, Strategy pays its 12% dividend rate on each share’s full $100 par value, not based on the USD value of investors’ STRC holdings.

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That means that an investor buying STRC below $86 per share is actually earning an effective dividend yield over 14% plus return of capital tax treatment.

Adding these numbers — 15% plus a tax-advantaged 14% — makes the offer sound almost too good to be true.

For many investors, an opportunity over 28% probably is.

Corporate objective for STRC to trade at $99–$100

Michael Saylor keeps saying he wants STRC to trade at $99-100, and investors could earn over 28% if it does within a year. Yet the market keeps selling.

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The risk to counterbalance STRC’s incredible offer is, of course, that the price of STRC keeps declining anyway.

There is, after all, no guarantee by Strategy that STRC will ever rally back above $99. In fact, it could trade at any price down to $0.

It’s simply a preferred stock that Saylor’s company issued to fund BTC purchases. It’s changed hands for as low as $71.25 on the Nasdaq.

In other words, management has promised to defend $99-100 over the long term, yet they allowed it to trade 28.75% below par in the meantime. Not good.

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Its own filings say its board intends to maintain the trading price of STRC near $100.

Yet even as the company funds an effective yield of roughly 14%, a return dwarfing junk bond yields and rivaling credit card rates, investors are still wary.

Read more: STRC crashes as Strategy’s unrealized BTC losses exceed $13 billion

STRC traders refuse to bid at par

Strategy built STRC to behave like a high-yield bank account or money market with a fatter payout rate, even though it’s nothing like an insured savings product.

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No FDIC insured bank account or money market is allowed to lose money like the price of STRC.

Were a rational investor to have full confidence in Strategy to sustain its above-average dividend payouts, they should pay up to the full $100. Yet no one is doing that right now.

In an attempt to reinstill confidence, Strategy has hiked it dividend rate from 9% at STRC’s July 2025 debut through a long series of hikes to 12%, yet the price of STRC continues to deteriorate.

Each increase in dividend and decrease in stock price concedes that demand is too weak and uncertainty is still too high. 

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Paying $1.25 billion and STRC still in the mid-$80s

The cost of a quasi-peg that won’t hold is costing Strategy $1.25 billion annually in dividend payouts. And this figure is rising rapidly.

The reason bidders stay away sits in Strategy’s own disclosures. The company can change or suspend the dividend at will, guarantees nothing about the share price, and gives holders no way to redeem STRC for the $100 they want.

Worse, Strategy is now selling the asset meant to make its whole scheme work.

On July 6, Saylor disclosed that Strategy sold 3,588 BTC to fund dividends. Strategy’s stocks like STRC are, in theory, supposed to be supported by a growing treasury of BTC that has, in recent weeks, shrunk.

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BTC was trading on thursday near $62,700, down 28% year to date. MSTR, Strategy’s common stock, opened for trading today down 38% year to date, amplifying BTC’s losses to the downside.

Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on XBluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.

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Raymond James shocks Wall Street with $800 SpaceX stock target

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SpaceX (SPCX) stock climbs 3.27% to $153.11 during intraday trading, recovering steadily after a sharp morning dip.

SpaceX shares have gained fresh momentum after Raymond James initiated coverage with an $800 price target, implying about 440% upside from current levels.

Summary

  • Raymond James initiated SpaceX with a Strong Buy rating and an $800 price target, implying about 440% upside.
  • Wall Street support strengthened as Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, UBS, and Wells Fargo also issued bullish ratings.
  • SpaceX expanded its Starlink plans, Ark Invest added shares, and the company’s Bitcoin holdings remained in focus.

According to Raymond James, the brokerage has started coverage of SpaceX with a Strong Buy rating and an $800 price target, making it one of the most optimistic forecasts issued by a major Wall Street firm.

The target came as SPCX traded around the $153 level on Thursday after rising about 3.2%, following a difficult stretch in which the stock had fallen more than 25% from recent highs despite joining the Nasdaq-100, as previously reported by crypto.news.

SpaceX (SPCX) stock climbs 3.27% to $153.11 during intraday trading, recovering steadily after a sharp morning dip.
Source: Yahoo Finance

The brokerage linked its bullish outlook to three long-term businesses that it believes could support future growth. Raymond James pointed to the continued development of Starship, the expanding Starlink satellite internet network, and the company’s potential to become a major global infrastructure provider through its launch and communications operations.

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Wall Street support for SpaceX continues to grow

Fresh optimism from Raymond James builds on a series of positive ratings issued by other investment banks in recent days. Morgan Stanley began coverage with an Overweight rating, assigning a base-case price target of $300 and a bull-case target of $600.

Goldman Sachs also initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a $205 target, while Citigroup started coverage with a Buy recommendation and a 12-month target of $200. UBS and Wells Fargo also launched coverage with positive recommendations, adding to institutional support for the newly listed company.

Although Raymond James’ forecast stands well above those targets, the latest recommendation has added to expectations that analysts continue to see substantial upside even after SpaceX’s recent share price volatility.

Separately, Cathie Wood’s Ark Invest has continued increasing its exposure to SpaceX. According to reports, the investment firm bought 153,084 shares across its ARKK, ARKQ, and ARKX exchange-traded funds. Based on SpaceX’s closing price of $148.30, the purchase was valued at roughly $22.7 million.

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Starlink expansion and Bitcoin holdings stay in focus

Operational developments have also remained active. SpaceX has filed an application with the U.S. Federal Communications Commission seeking approval to deploy as many as 100,000 third-generation Starlink satellites, a move that would significantly expand its satellite internet network if approved.

The company has also maintained a rapid launch schedule. Reports show SpaceX deployed 1,589 Starlink satellites during the first half of 2026, surpassing the previous first-half record of 1,489 launches achieved in 2025.

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Outside its space business, SpaceX recently drew attention in the cryptocurrency market. As crypto.news reported, a wallet linked to the company transferred $88 worth of Bitcoin on July 8, ending six months without on-chain activity.

Data from Arkham Intelligence showed SpaceX still holds about 18,712 BTC, valued at roughly $1.16 billion, while the receiving wallet contains 614 BTC worth about $38 million.

Investors are also tracking developments tied to Elon Musk’s artificial intelligence ecosystem after SpaceXAI disclosed plans to release Grok 4.5 to the public.

Despite the growing list of bullish analyst calls, some investors remain cautious. Critics argue that SpaceX’s valuation already prices in much of its expected expansion, while others say the company’s first public earnings report will provide a clearer basis for assessing whether current expectations can be justified.

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Trump White House rejects SEC snub claims before CLARITY showdown

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Trump White House rejects SEC snub claims before CLARITY showdown

The Trump White House has rejected accusations that it is refusing to nominate Democratic commissioners to the Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission as the Senate moves closer to debating the CLARITY Act.

Summary

  • White House says it requested Democratic nominees for the SEC and CFTC but has not received any names.
  • CLARITY Act negotiations continue as lawmakers debate ethics rules, DeFi provisions, and regulatory appointments.
  • Senators Cynthia Lummis and Ron Wyden have defended different parts of the bill ahead of a Senate vote.

According to a letter sent by the White House to Senate Majority Leader John Thune and Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer, the administration said it had already asked for suitable Democratic nominees for both the SEC and the CFTC but had not received any names in response.

The letter pushes back against criticism that the administration is deliberately leaving seats vacant at two agencies expected to oversee large parts of the digital asset market if the CLARITY Act becomes law.

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With the Senate still yet to schedule a floor vote on the market structure bill, the exchange over regulatory appointments has added another issue to negotiations already facing time pressure. As crypto.news reported earlier, lawmakers are working against the Senate’s Aug. 7 recess, leaving a limited window to move the legislation forward.

Senate negotiations continue before floor vote

Although the White House defended its position on the nominations, it remains unclear whether the disagreement will influence support for the CLARITY Act. Lawmakers from both parties are still negotiating several outstanding provisions, including an ethics section that has become part of the broader talks.

Separately, law enforcement organizations have argued that the bill’s decentralized finance provisions could make investigations into illicit finance more difficult. Those concerns have become another point of discussion as senators continue to negotiate the final language before any vote is scheduled.

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At the same time, debate over protections for blockchain developers has continued. As crypto.news reported earlier today, Democratic Sen. Ron Wyden urged Thune and Schumer to preserve Section 604, known as the Blockchain Regulatory Certainty Act, in any future version of the CLARITY Act.

In a letter to the Senate leaders, Wyden argued that legal protections for non-custodial blockchain developers should remain part of the legislation as negotiations continue.

Pro-crypto senators defend key provisions

Meanwhile, Sen. Cynthia Lummis publicly defended the CLARITY Act after Sen. Elizabeth Warren criticized the proposal, arguing that it would create opportunities for sanctions evasion.

In a post on X, Lummis responded that both lawmakers want bad actors held accountable but differ on how to achieve that outcome. She pointed to Section 303, saying it would authorize new crypto sanctions targeting Iran, while Section 305 would allow major cryptocurrency exchanges to stop illicit funds before they reach North Korea.

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Lummis has also warned that Congress may not get another opportunity to pass comprehensive digital asset legislation before the end of the decade. In an earlier X post, she argued that failing to pass the CLARITY Act would leave the United States following rules written by other countries instead of establishing its own regulatory framework.

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For now, the White House’s defense of its nomination process, ongoing negotiations over key provisions, and competing arguments from lawmakers have all become part of the political backdrop as the Senate prepares for its next steps on one of the crypto industry’s most closely watched bills.

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Bitwise Drops 2 Altcoins From Flagship Crypto ETF: Will Hyperliquid Keep Its Seat?

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Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF holdings after adding Hyperliquid and Stellar, Source: Bitwise

Bitwise has dropped Polkadot (DOT) and Avalanche (AVAX) from its flagship Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF (BITW). Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Stellar (XLM) were added to the fund’s latest monthly rebalance.

BITW works like a crypto stock index fund. It automatically holds the 10 largest eligible coins by market cap, so investors gain exposure to HYPE and XLM without buying them directly.

Why Hyperliquid and Stellar Entered the Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF

Bitwise’s rebalance results show HYPE entering at a 0.93% weight and XLM at 0.38%. That makes HYPE the fund’s fifth-largest holding, ahead of Cardano (ADA), Chainlink (LINK), Litecoin (LTC), and Sui (SUI). Bitcoin (BTC) still accounts for 77.54% of the fund.

Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF holdings after adding Hyperliquid and Stellar, Source: Bitwise
Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF holdings after adding Hyperliquid and Stellar, Source: Bitwise

Hyperliquid earned its seat through sheer size. The token ranks 10th among all cryptocurrencies at roughly $15 billion, according to BeInCrypto Markets data. HYPE trades near $67.92, weeks after hitting a new all-time high of $76.70 on June 16.

The project runs the dominant decentralized exchange for perpetual futures, a popular type of crypto derivative. It leads that perp DEX race by a wide margin.

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Stellar ranks 18th overall, but Bitwise’s eligibility screens lift XLM into the qualifying group.

What the Exit Means for DOT and AVAX

The removals reflect rankings, not a verdict on either project. Both tokens led the 2021 bull market. DOT peaked at $54.98 in November 2021 but now trades near $0.83, a 98% fall that leaves it ranked 53rd. AVAX topped $144 the same month and has since lost 95%, sitting at $6.76, 32nd.

Polkadot (DOT) and Avalanche (AVAX) Price Performances. Source: TradingView
Polkadot (DOT) and Avalanche (AVAX) Price Performances. Source: TradingView

Neither network loses anything on-chain. Staking, development, and payments continue unaffected. Both coins had joined BITW at its NYSE Arca debut in December 2025 and lasted roughly six months.

Will Hyperliquid Keep Its Seat?

The near-term answer looks like yes. HYPE’s $15 billion market value is 10 times DOT’s, five times AVAX’s, and more than double Stellar’s $6.2 billion. A challenger would need to close that gap before the rankings flip.

Demand signals also point the right way. Recent crypto ETF flows showed HYPE products drawing fresh capital while Bitcoin funds recorded outflows. Bitwise even runs a dedicated spot Hyperliquid ETF, BHYP.

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Spot Hyperliquid ETF Flows. Source: SoSoValue
Spot Hyperliquid ETF Flows. Source: SoSoValue

The main threat comes from within. Only about 22% of HYPE’s 1 billion maximum supply is circulating today, and its fully diluted value of nearly $64 billion is over four times its market cap.

BeInCrypto’s Hyperliquid price outlook flags those scheduled unlocks as the key risk, since new supply can pressure prices.

DOT’s slide from launch roster to 53rd shows how fast the table can turn. For now, HYPE holds the strongest hand among BITW’s smaller holdings, provided demand keeps outrunning its unlock schedule.

The post Bitwise Drops 2 Altcoins From Flagship Crypto ETF: Will Hyperliquid Keep Its Seat? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Worst Crypto Prank Ever? Viral Prediction Market Pulls Off Shocking Joke

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World's daily on-chain volume, showing the pre-prank peak, Source: Dune/ario_57]

World, a week-old Solana (SOL) prediction market, staged a fake exit. On July 8, it said it was leaving Solana for Robinhood Chain, then admitted the whole thing was a crypto prank the following day.

The gag drew millions of views and briefly fooled parts of the crypto industry. It also divided opinion on whether staged deception is smart marketing or a costly gamble for a young platform.

How the Crypto Prank Spread

World went live on Solana on July 1 inside the Phantom wallet, with Chainlink (LINK) handling data and settlement. Solana’s official account had promoted the debut just a week earlier.

Days later, the project told followers it was leaving for Robinhood Chain. It thanked the Solana Foundation and posted a polished logo for the supposed move.

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The target made the fake believable. Robinhood Chain is a real Arbitrum-based Layer 2 that launched on July 1 for tokenized stocks.

That same week, the network set a record daily volume of $563.9 million, according to DefiLlama. Meme coins, not tokenized stocks, drove the frenzy. It was arguably crypto’s hottest new chain.

Several outlets reported the migration as fact. Within a day, World revealed the joke.

The reception split. Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko amplified the gag, and CoinGecko co-founder Bobby Ong called it sharp marketing.

“I’m still trying to figure out if they moved to Robinhood Chain or staying at Solana. I think this is a parody and they are actually staying on Solana. I guess it triggered many folks and got them the attention that they really want, which is all that matters in consumer tech,” Ong remarked.

Critics, however, saw a bait-and-switch that erodes trust in a product handling real bets.

https://twitter.com/kriptosensei0/status/2075266456900526492?s=20

Follow us on X to get the latest news as it happens

Did the Joke Pay Off?

The on-chain record complicates any victory claim. An independent dashboard built by analyst ario_57 tracks World’s activity. It shows roughly $4.37 million in notional volume. Daily users peaked near 3,000 since the July 1 launch.

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World's daily on-chain volume, showing the pre-prank peak, Source: Dune/ario_57]
World’s daily on-chain volume, showing the pre-prank peak. Source: Dune/ario_57

Yet that volume crested around July 6, two days before the stunt. The cumulative totals cover the full launch week, not one viral afternoon. The prank coincided with World’s momentum. It did not create it.

The 2.3 million views were World’s own tally, a measure of attention rather than adoption. Meanwhile, prediction markets face fresh scrutiny, raising the cost of any misstep in trust.

For now, World has crypto’s attention and a working product behind the gag. Whether that attention becomes lasting users is the question the coming weeks will answer.

The post Worst Crypto Prank Ever? Viral Prediction Market Pulls Off Shocking Joke appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Solana price prediction: Why analysts see more upside for SOL

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Solana price prediction
Solana price prediction
  • Solana (SOL) is up 18.5% over the past 30 days.
  • Analysts are watching the $85–$90 resistance zone.
  • B3 futures and FullSend add to Solana’s momentum.

Solana has regained momentum after a difficult stretch earlier this year, with the token climbing back above the $77 mark and extending its monthly recovery.

At the time of writing, SOL is trading at $77.73, up 0.8% over the past 24 hours after moving between $76.25 and $78.62 during the session.

Over the past month, the cryptocurrency has gained 18.5%, while its two-week performance stands at 21.6%.

The recent recovery has renewed interest in Solana’s outlook, particularly as technical indicators, institutional activity, and network developments begin to align.

While the token remains well below its all-time high of $293.31, several analysts believe the current trend has created room for further upside if key resistance levels are cleared.

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Technical picture points to key breakout levels

SOL’s latest rally follows a rebound of roughly 38% from its recent low near $60, bringing renewed attention to the asset’s technical structure.

The recovery also marked Solana’s first positive monthly performance in several months, suggesting that selling pressure has eased.

Market analyst Ali Martinez has identified the $85 to $90 region as an important resistance zone.

A sustained move above that range would bring the psychologically significant $100 level back into focus.

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Another closely watched analyst, Michaël van de Poppe, has highlighted the importance of the $73- $76 area, describing it as a major support zone that continues to underpin the broader recovery.

According to Poppe, as long as that area remains intact, the longer-term structure remains constructive from a technical standpoint.

Attention has also shifted to Solana’s performance against Bitcoin.

The SOL/BTC trading pair has shown signs of strengthening after spending months in decline.

According to technical analysis, a breakout above the long-term resistance around 0.00140–0.00145 BTC could indicate improving relative strength for Solana compared with Bitcoin.

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If that breakout is confirmed, technical projections place the next major value area between $140 and $150.

Those levels are based on historical trading activity rather than guaranteed price targets, meaning further confirmation would still be needed before the market could sustain such a move.

At the same time, focus is on the $75 to $78 range as an important near-term support area.

Holding above that zone would help preserve the current recovery, while a break below it could slow bullish momentum.

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Institutional adoption continues to expand

Beyond price action, Solana has also benefited from growing institutional participation.

Brazil’s stock exchange, B3, recently expanded its regulated cryptocurrency derivatives offering by introducing Solana futures alongside Ethereum futures and Bitcoin options.

The contracts are settled in US dollars and reference Nasdaq’s digital asset benchmark prices.

Each Solana futures contract represents 5 SOL, giving professional investors another regulated instrument for gaining exposure to the asset or managing risk through hedging strategies.

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B3 also reduced the size of its Bitcoin futures contracts to improve accessibility, a move that reflects broader efforts to increase participation in regulated crypto derivatives.

The expansion places Solana alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum within one of Latin America’s largest regulated exchange environments.

While derivatives products do not directly determine price direction, they typically improve market efficiency by expanding trading and hedging opportunities for institutional participants.

Recent infrastructure developments have also focused attention on Solana’s ability to support high-volume financial applications.

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Privy, the wallet infrastructure provider acquired by Stripe, has partnered with Jito Labs to launch FullSend, a transaction routing system designed specifically for the Solana blockchain.

Instead of relying solely on traditional RPC infrastructure, FullSend routes transactions directly to the validator responsible for producing the next block.

According to the companies, the system has been operating in production since January and has processed millions of transactions with 99.999% landing reliability.

The technology also reduces transaction inclusion latency to approximately 50 milliseconds, compared with roughly 200 milliseconds or more under conventional routing methods.

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For developers building payment platforms, trading applications, or financial services, those improvements reduce failed transactions during periods of network congestion while simplifying transaction management.

Developers using Privy’s wallet infrastructure receive these routing improvements without implementing additional software.

The announcement also highlights Privy’s growing reach following its acquisition by Stripe.

The company supports approximately 140 million accounts across applications that collectively process billions of dollars in monthly transaction volume.

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The immediate focus now remains on whether buyers can push the token above the $85–$90 resistance range.

A successful breakout would place $100 at the centre of market attention, while continued strength in the SOL/BTC pair could reinforce the view that Solana is beginning to outperform Bitcoin once again.

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Billions flowing out of bitcoin ETFs and private credit funds suggest rising market risks

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Billions flowing out of bitcoin ETFs and private credit funds suggest rising market risks

Average requests rose to 10.3% of shares from 9.7% in Q1, but ranged widely (1.3%–38.1% at Blue Owl’s OTIC), Fitch said. Many requests were follow-ups from investors who were only partly satisfied last quarter. New inflows fell by about 56% on average, so most funds saw net outflows of roughly 3% of the prior quarter’s net asset value.

What’s concerning, for private credit, is that Fitch expects continued redemptions in the months ahead.

“With BDCs capping redemptions at 5% quarterly, unfulfilled requests will lead to persistent elevated redemptions for many firms in the coming quarters,” ratings agency Fitch warned,” the ratings agency said.

Same story, different structures

Bitcoin ETFs are liquid, exchange-traded vehicles, where outflows directly impact the spot price of BTC. Private credit BDCs are the opposite: illiquid, long-duration lending vehicles with built-in quarterly gates.

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Still, the fact that investors rushed for exit in both at the same time does point to broader caution around liquidity and risk appetite.

Amid all this, energy markets continue to send risk-off signals, with the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve at its lowest level since 1983. So, if the energy market remains disrupted, the government now has significantly less buffer to flood the market with oil and keep prices lower.

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Bitcoin Is in Deep Value Zone, Yet $53K Drop Cannot Be Ruled Out

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Bitcoin’s market appears to be in the later stages of a bear market, but the signals confirming a broader turnaround have not yet emerged. On-chain data shared by Glassnode shows the asset has recovered from $57,800 to nearly $63,000 over the past week, but it remains below both the True Market Mean of $76,600 and the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis of $72,200.

This leaves the asset in a “deep value” zone.

BTC Bottoming

Bitcoin has now spent about five months trading below both of these levels – one of the longest discount periods in its history. According to Glassnode, such long periods have historically provided the foundation for cyclical bottoms as investors accumulate at prices below the average cost of recent buyers and the broader active market. However, a further decline toward the Realized Price of roughly $53,000 remains possible.

The report identified long-term holders as the primary source of current selling pressure. Since early February, the share of realized value attributed to long-term holder losses has increased from 15% to 43%, which makes this cohort’s capitulation the largest contributor to downside pressure. These investors largely bought near the cycle peak and, after holding through months of losses, are increasingly selling as the downturn tests their conviction.

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Glassnode said that this steady wave of distribution has prevented Bitcoin from reclaiming the upper end of its current trading range. The report added that long-term holders’ realized losses, measured on a 30-day moving average basis, recently climbed to around $280 million per day, which is the highest level since December 2022. This was the second major spike recorded during the current bear market.

Unlike the previous spike, however, this wave of capitulation has not yet begun to cool. Glassnode believes that a decline in this metric will be necessary before a credible transition back to bullish conditions can be considered.

Off-chain indicators also continue to point to weak institutional demand despite exhibiting modest improvement. The 30-day average of US spot Bitcoin ETF net flows has remained negative since mid-May. The average daily outflows declined from a peak of $193 million in early June to approximately $88.9 million.

While the slower pace of withdrawals is viewed as a “tentative positive,” institutions are still reducing exposure overall, which means demand has yet to stabilize. ETF trading activity also remains low, as daily volume ranges between $650 million and $950 million, roughly 80% below the $4.4 billion daily peak recorded in October 2025.

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According to the report, both stronger trading activity and a return to neutral or positive ETF flows would be needed to confirm renewed institutional participation.

Defensive Positioning

Derivatives markets present a mixed picture. The options put/call ratio has fallen to 0.56, its lowest level this year, while perpetual futures funding rates indicate traders have cautiously rebuilt long positions after earlier de-risking. Despite this, the options market remained defensive.

“The 25-delta skew, the premium of downside protection over upside, is bid across every tenor. Every selloff since the winter has re-bid it, and late June’s spike to 24% was the most defensive the front end has been since the February selloff. Traders are still paying up to hedge each dip, even as the book leans long.”

Bitcoin also trades about 6% below the options market’s aggregated max pain level of $66,000, the price at which the greatest number of outstanding options would expire worthless and around which spot price has often gravitated as expiry approaches.

The post Bitcoin Is in Deep Value Zone, Yet $53K Drop Cannot Be Ruled Out appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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