Trading venues Robinhood (HOOD) and Coinbase (COIN) could emerge as the main public-market beneficiaries of the rapid rise in prediction markets, according to a new report from Cantor Fitzgerald.

The report argues that while leading platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket remain private, listed companies are already tapping into the trend by integrating event-based trading into their apps.

These markets let users buy contracts tied to real-world outcomes, from elections to economic data, with prices reflecting the crowd’s view of probability.

“Prediction markets have exploded onto the scene,” Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Ramsey El-Assal wrote, noting that contract volumes are expected to continue their “impressive recent growth trend.”

For firms like Robinhood and Coinbase, the appeal is straightforward. Prediction markets generate revenue through trading activity, not by taking the other side of bets. That model mirrors equities and crypto trading, where both companies already operate at scale.

Robinhood, in particular, has seen strong early traction. The company launched its prediction markets hub following the 2024 U.S. election cycle, and the product quickly became one of its fastest-growing business lines by revenue. Since launch, users have traded billions of contracts tied to sports, politics and macro events.

Coinbase has taken a similar approach but is earlier in its rollout. Its prediction market offering, powered by Kalshi’s infrastructure, is now available across its user base. While still in its early stages, the product spans categories such as crypto, economics and global events.

Cantor frames the opportunity as a function of scale. Platforms with large retail audiences and existing trading infrastructure have a built-in advantage, allowing them to drive liquidity and participation quickly.

The report also pushes back on the idea that prediction markets are simply gambling. “A common misunderstanding about prediction markets is that they are gambling platforms in disguise,” it said. Instead, users “trade against other participants by buying contracts they believe are ‘underpriced’ and selling ‘overpriced’ contracts,” similar to equities markets.

That structure means platforms earn fees from activity, not losses. Prices update in real time as new information enters the market, creating what the report describes as “continuously updated forecasts” driven by financial incentives.

Beyond retail use, Cantor sees longer-term applications in hedging and forecasting. “Prediction markets will emerge as a versatile tool for institutional investors,” the report said, pointing to potential use in risk management and macro hedging.

Still, regulation remains the key uncertainty. The report describes the current environment as “messy,” with federal and state authorities split on whether prediction markets fall under derivatives law or gambling rules.

Cantor’s bottom line is that prediction markets are unlikely to fade. As the regulatory picture becomes clearer, firms with large user bases and strong distribution, such as Robinhood and Coinbase, could be in the best position to capitalize.

Key Insights

• Charles Hoskinson suggests community centers as the way to achieve sustainable growth instead of expensive crypto conferences.
• The Cardano (ADA) community declined a plan to spend 14 million ADA on hosting large-scale international events.
• ADA lacks momentum even amid constant efforts of ecosystem expansion and cross-chain integrations.

Cardano Moves Away from Media Attention Towards Long-Term Growth

Cardano (ADA) becomes the focus point for a discussion on governance, with the coin’s creator, Charles Hoskinson, questioning the necessity of major crypto conferences.

As ADA has been struggling to make any significant progress in price action terms, the topic of discussion has moved away from media appearances to the issue of the optimal use of funds accumulated in the treasury to achieve the greatest possible growth of the ecosystem.

According to Hoskinson, appearances at conferences and participating in cryptocurrency-related events is not what can help users develop their interest in the project. He claims that, at this stage of Cardano’s development, there is nothing more important than fostering regular and valuable participation in the community.

This comes against the backdrop of ADA trading near $0.2383 as the bearish sentiment persists in the market.

Hoskinson Proposes Development of Community Hubs Instead of Global Events

Instead of investing money in costly global events, Charles Hoskinson has started a new initiative of developing community hubs across many cities around the world. The main aim behind such an initiative is that the developer community can get together on a consistent basis to foster innovations and learning.

As per the initiative, there would be regular meetups, hackathons, and startup incubation camps organized to create a pipeline of developers and startups. Already one example of such a community hub is in the city of Buenos Aires where there are about 100-200 participants every single event.

As the community hubs have been planned to be hosted bi-monthly, there would be no shortage of activities at all for interested participants. Such events can provide sustainable benefits compared to global events which cannot offer any long-lasting connections and benefits.

Community Rejects Proposing Spending of 14 Million ADA on Event

A more heated discussion began following the community vote on allocating 14 million ADA on hosting crypto events. These included attendance at international conventions such as TOKEN2049 in Singapore and upcoming Cardano summits.

Nonetheless, this proposal was eventually voted against by the community. This was because the representatives in charge of governance had raised objections regarding the ROI of investing in such events.

Many agreed that such money could have been much more wisely spent on activities fostering ecosystem development. It is worth noting that this trend signifies an increase in decentralized governance among the Cardano (ADA) blockchain platform.

Expansion of the Ecosystem via Cross-Chain Strategy

Even amid the current difficulties, Charles Hoskinson still sees a bright future for Cardano. The founder has not stopped talking about the importance of increasing the number of users and introducing new features such as cross-chain connections.

One of the projects which is expected to be a part of the cross-chain strategy of Cardano is Midnight. The goal of the protocol is to attract people who currently use other blockchains, including Bitcoin, Solana, and XRP.

Such an initiative might lead to the further development of decentralized finance solutions and improve adoption rates.

Prospects: Adoption vs Price Growth

Despite efforts directed at expanding the ecosystem, the prices of ADA have demonstrated poor results compared to those of the competition. In general, analysts have different expectations regarding the future of this project.

There are those who think that the current strategies related to infrastructure development and increased participation in it from developers are bound to eventually boost prices. At the same time, others have their concerns regarding lackluster metrics and overall market environment.

The decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) behind Ethereum layer-2 network Scroll said it will propose a plan to dissolve its Security Council and transfer control of the network to an account managed by an internal team.

The proposal announcement comes two months after Scroll’s top fee-generating decentralized application (dapp), crypto neobank Ether.fi, moved to Optimism’s OP mainnet. That saw roughly 300,000 user accounts and more than $160 million in total value locked move away from the network.

In a governance update, a Scroll core contributor said the Security Council was simply too expensive. Scroll is laying off several contributors within the DAO and reducing the capacity of its operational committees. The handover is targeted for the next 10 days, pending support from the current council.

“After evaluating the Security Council’s cost relative to its actual usage over the past quarters, we believe continuation is no longer justified,” the post reads.

The project said all contract changes would be executed transparently and remain verifiable onchain.

Adding to the network’s turbulence, a recent surge in Scroll’s network fees appeared to be artificially manufactured rather than a sign of organic demand.

Over six days in early April, the network raised the amount it charges to publish data to the Ethereum mainnet by a factor of 1,280, creating the illusion of a massive spike in 30-day chain fee momentum, according to analysis from L2BEAT.

The adjustment forced users to pay over $50,000 in excess transaction fees for data posting that ordinarily would have cost roughly $280. The extreme, temporary repricing was rolled back on April 9.

Ether.fi’s migration moved around $13 million in annualized fees away from Scroll, according to DeFiLlama data, and trimmed the network’s TVL to around $23 million.

The XRP Ledger (XRPL) used by blockchain payments company Ripple has tapped Boundless, a zero-knowledge infrastructure provider, to let banks and asset managers execute confidential yet compliant transactions directly on the network, according to a Tuesday release shared with Cointelegraph.

Boundless chief executive Shiv Shankar told Cointelegraph the design aims to shield details like transaction size, frequency and counterparties from public view, while still allowing regulators to audit activity via selective disclosure and role-based access controls.

Boundless’ integration is meant to enable a range of institutional use cases that have historically been challenging to run on fully transparent ledgers. Those include cross-border business-to-business payments, treasury and capital management, over-the-counter positions, tokenized asset issuance and decentralized exchange or lending activity, where order flow and positions are highly sensitive, according to Shankar.

For public blockchains, that trade-off between transparency and confidentiality has become a central barrier to institutional adoption, as banks and asset managers seek to protect trading strategies and client activity without falling out of step with regulatory oversight. 

The move positions XRPL in an increasingly competitive race to deliver bank-grade privacy on public blockchains, as institutions push to avoid what Shankar described as the “transparency tax” of fully visible onchain activity.

Privacy race expands across ZK and FHE approaches

In March, cryptography company Zama integrated its fully homomorphic encryption (FHE) stack with institutional tokenization platform T-REX, pitching its technology as a confidentiality layer for ERC-3643 securities (tokenized financial instruments that embed compliance rules into the token standard) on upcoming T-REX public networks.

Related: Moody’s brings credit ratings onchain with Canton Network integration

Other projects are betting on different flavors of zero-knowledge technology, including zkSync’s Prividium environment, which aims to anchor private institutional execution to Ethereum via ZK proofs while keeping raw transaction data off public view.

Shankar said that projects like zkSync require institutions to launch their own layer-2s, which involves greater investment and overhead. In contrast, Boundless deploys solutions via smart contracts, which he said allows institutions to “stay where the liquidity is” (on Ethereum), and “gain more flexibility on where they deploy their products.”

Shankar said the design aims to replicate the selective disclosure controls of traditional finance in an onchain environment, rather than forcing institutions to choose between privacy and compliance.

Privacy shifts from feature to core infrastructure

The rollout highlights how privacy is becoming a feature of base-layer and tokenization infrastructure rather than an optional add-on.

The tokenized asset market reached $29.25 billion in April 2026, up 7.9% in a month, according to data from RWA.xyz.

As more real-world assets migrate onchain and traditional players experiment with tokenized funds, deposits and securities, pressure is mounting on networks to accommodate both institutional secrecy and supervisory oversight.

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