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What This Means for Traders

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What This Means for Traders


XRP’s derivatives market has dropped to multi-month lows in open interest, clearing leverage, and setting up cleaner conditions for a possible trend reversal.

Ripple’s (XRP) price has been on a consistent decline over the past month amid broader crypto weakness, as it shed over 26% during the period. A fresh decline of almost 3% on Wednesday revived concerns that liquidation pressure from last weekend’s sharp sell-off may not be fully exhausted.

But new data suggests that the market reset following the liquidations could allow spot demand to drive the price naturally, without over-leveraged positions causing swings.

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Market Reset Underway

XRP’s open interest (OI) on Binance has fallen sharply to $406 million, which happens to be its lowest level since November 2024. This decline is indicative of a major reduction in leveraged positions, likely caused by long liquidations or traders closing positions amid the recent price drop, CryptoQuant said in its latest analysis.

When OI reaches such lows, the market becomes less vulnerable to volatility from long or short squeezes, as much of the speculative leverage has been cleared. CryptoQuant revealed that this “reset” in the derivatives market often sets the stage for a more stable trend.

With forced liquidation pressure reduced, future price movements are less likely to be exaggerated by over-leveraged positions. If spot demand increases, supported by high on-chain activity, XRP’s price could recover more naturally. The analysis demonstrates that this “clean slate” may create conditions for a meaningful trend reversal, and the derivatives market is now positioned to respond more calmly to new buying or selling pressure.

Full Reset Phase

Similar signals are emerging from technical momentum indicators. Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto said XRP’s macro relative strength index (RSI) has fallen into the 45-50 zone faster than he expected, a level that has historically preceded sharp price bounces.

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The analyst noted that while downside momentum appears aggressive, the selling pressure does not look retail-driven but instead reflects distribution by large holders during liquidity sweeps. Egrag Crypto stressed that this RSI behavior is not bearish, while describing it as a “full reset phase” following a prior RSI peak near 80.

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He added that the 45-50 range has acted as macro support in every previous XRP cycle and has never been broken. According to the analyst, this compression typically flushes out weaker hands, resets momentum, and is followed by expansion. He said the structure would only turn bearish if RSI falls below roughly 43.

In terms of institutional appetite, US-listed spot XRP ETFs attracted $19.46 million in inflows on February 3rd, according to SoSoValue. XRPZ Franklin XRP ETF topped the chart with $12.13 million in inflows, followed by Bitwise’s fund with $4.8 million and Grayscale XRP Trust ETF with $2.51 million. By comparison, Bitcoin ETFs recorded $272 million in net outflows, while Ethereum ETFs attracted about $14 million, leaving XRP funds as relative outperformers.

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Crypto World

Trump-Linked World Liberty Financial Draws House Scrutiny After $500M UAE Stake Revealed

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A US House investigation has turned its focus to World Liberty Financial, a Trump-linked crypto venture.

The move follows a recent Wall Street Journal report of a $500M UAE-linked stake agreed shortly before President Donald Trump’s inauguration.

Rep. Ro Khanna, a Democrat from California and the ranking member of the House Select Committee on the Chinese Communist Party, on Wednesday sent a letter to World Liberty co-founder Zach Witkoff seeking ownership records, payment details and internal communications tied to the reported deal and related transactions.

Khanna wrote that the Journal reported “lieutenants to an Abu Dhabi royal secretly signed a deal with the Trump Family to purchase a 49% stake in their fledgling cryptocurrency venture [World Liberty Financial] for half a billion dollars” shortly before Trump took office.

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He argued the reported investment raises questions about conflicts of interest, national security and whether US technology policy shifted in ways that benefited foreign capital tied to strategic priorities.

Meanwhile, Trump has said he had no knowledge of the deal. Speaking to reporters on Monday, he said he was not aware of the transaction and noted that his sons and other family members manage the business and receive investments from various parties.

Crypto Venture Deal Draws Scurinty Over AI And National Security Policy Intersection

The letter also linked the reported stake to US export controls on advanced AI chips and concerns about diversion to China through third countries.

Khanna said the Journal report suggested the UAE-linked investment “may have resulted in significant changes to U.S. Government policies designed to prevent the diversion of advanced artificial intelligence chips and related computing capabilities to the People’s Republic of China.”

According to the Journal account cited in the letter, the agreement was signed by Eric Trump days before the inauguration.

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The investor group was described as linked to Sheikh Tahnoon bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the UAE national security adviser. Two senior figures connected to his network later joined World Liberty’s board.

USD1 Stablecoin Use Raises Questions Over Influence And Profits

Khanna’s letter pointed to another UAE-linked deal involving World Liberty’s USD1 stablecoin, which he said was used to facilitate a $2B investment into Binance by MGX, an entity tied to Sheikh Tahnoon. He wrote that this use “helped catapult USD1 into one of the world’s largest stablecoins”, which could have increased fees and revenues for the project and its shareholders.

The lawmaker also connected the Binance investment to later policy developments, including chip export decisions and a presidential pardon for Binance founder Changpeng Zhao.

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He cited a former pardon attorney who said, “The influence that money played in securing this pardon is unprecedented. The self-dealing aspect of the pardon in terms of the benefit that it conferred on President Trump, and his family, and people in his inner circle is also unprecedented.”

Khanna framed the overall picture as more than political optics. “Taken together, these arrangements are not just a scandal, but may even represent a violation of multiple laws and the United States Constitution,” he wrote, citing conflict-of-interest rules and the Constitution’s Foreign Emoluments Clause.

Khanna Warns Of National Security Stakes In WLFI Case

He asked World Liberty to answer detailed questions and produce documents by March 1, 2026, including agreements tied to the reported 49% stake, payment flows, communications with UAE-linked representatives, board appointments, due diligence and records tied to the USD1 stablecoin’s role in the Binance transaction.

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Khanna also pressed for details on any discussions around export controls, US policy toward the UAE and strategic competition with China, as well as communications related to President Trump’s decision to pardon Zhao.

The probe lands at a moment when stablecoins sit closer to the center of market structure debates, and when politically connected crypto ventures face sharper questions about ownership, governance and access.

Khanna closed his letter with a warning about the stakes, writing, “Congress will not be supine amid this scandal and its unmistakable implications on our national security.”

The post Trump-Linked World Liberty Financial Draws House Scrutiny After $500M UAE Stake Revealed appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Feds Crypto Trace Gets Incognito Market Creator 30 Years

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Dark Markets, Court, Dark Web

The creator of Incognito Market, the online black market that used crypto as its economic heart, has been sentenced to 30 years in prison after some blockchain sleuthing led US authorities straight to the platform’s steward.

The Justice Department said on Wednesday that a Manhattan court gave Rui-Siang Lin three decades behind bars for owning and operating Incognito, which sold $105 million worth of illicit narcotics between its launch in October 2020 and its closure in March 2024.

Lin, who pleaded guilty to his role in December 2024, was sentenced for conspiring to distribute narcotics, money laundering, and conspiring to sell misbranded medication.

Incognito allowed users to buy and sell drugs using Bitcoin (BTC) and Monero (XMR) while taking a 5% cut, and Lin’s undoing ultimately came after the FBI traced the platform’s crypto to an account in Lin’s name at a crypto exchange.

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“Today’s sentence puts traffickers on notice: you cannot hide in the shadows of the Internet,” said Manhattan US Attorney Jay Clayton. “Our larger message is simple: the internet, ‘decentralization,’ ‘blockchain’ — any technology — is not a license to operate a narcotics distribution business.”

Dark Markets, Court, Dark Web
Source: US Attorney SDNY

In addition to prison time, Lin was sentenced to five years of supervised release and ordered to pay more than $105 million in forfeiture.

Crypto tracing led FBI right to Lin

In March 2024, the Justice Department said Lin closed Incognito and stole at least $1 million that its users had deposited in their accounts on the platform.

Lin, known online as “Pharoah,” then attempted to blackmail Incognito’s users, demanding that buyers and vendors pay him or he would publicly share their user history and crypto addresses.

Lin wrote “YES, THIS IS AN EXTORTION!!!” in a post to Incognito’s website. Source: Department of Justice

Months later, in May 2024, authorities arrested Lin, a Taiwanese national, at New York’s John F. Kennedy Airport after the FBI tied him to Incognito partly by tracing the platform’s crypto transfers to a crypto exchange account in Lin’s name.

The FBI said a crypto wallet that Lin controlled received funds from a known wallet of Incognito’s, and those funds were then sent to Lin’s exchange account.

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Related: AI-enabled scams rose 500% in 2025 as crypto theft goes ‘industrial’

The agency said it traced at least four transfers showing Lin’s crypto wallet sent Bitcoin originally from Incognito to a “swapping service” to exchange it for XMR, which was then deposited to the exchange account.

The exchange gave the FBI a photo of Lin’s Taiwanese driver’s license used to open the account, along with an email address and phone number, and the agency tied the email and number to an account at the web domain registrar Namecheap.