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The House Article | “Oppenheimer meets the Met Office”: Al Carns reviews ‘Pressure’

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“Oppenheimer meets the Met Office”: Al Carns reviews 'Pressure'
“Oppenheimer meets the Met Office”: Al Carns reviews 'Pressure'

‘Pressure’: Brendan Fraser as General Eisenhower, Andrew Scott as James Stagg and Kerry Condon as Kay Summersby | Image: Pictorial Press / Alamy


4 min read

A war film less about the weather and more about judgement, ‘Pressure’ ditches the fancy special effects to focus on the decision-making. And it’s all the better for it

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After a day in the Commons and an evening on the doorstep in Holborn and St Pancras, I dragged myself to Battersea Power Station to watch a war film about a weatherman. After 24 years in the Royal Marines, I have spent enough time having plans dismantled by the weather without volunteering for another 100 minutes of it. But I am very glad I did.

Pressure is not really a film about the weather – it’s a film about judgement: how you decide when the information is incomplete, the experts disagree, and the cost of getting it wrong is measured in lives. Think Oppenheimer meets the Met Office.

Fraser as Eisenhower
Brendan Fraser as General Dwight D Eisenhower | Image by: FlixPix / Alamy

It is set in the final 72 hours before D-Day. Group Captain James Stagg, a Scottish meteorologist, has been charged by Winston Churchill with advising General Eisenhower on whether Operation Overlord can proceed. The invasion is set for 5 June 1944. The machinery is assembled, secrecy cannot hold indefinitely, the tides and the moon offer only a narrow window. Then Stagg tells Eisenhower what nobody wants to hear… a storm is coming.

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The film has stage origins and does not hide them

Andrew Scott plays Stagg with a stubbornness that anyone who has watched a technical expert refuse to be bounced will recognise. He does not raise his voice and he just will not move. His American counterpart, Irving Krick, reads the same charts and reaches the opposite conclusion. Forecasting in 1944 meant hand-drawn charts and sparse observations. No satellites or models. Where Stagg cannot offer certainty, he offers a judgement – and stakes his career on it. He was right, and a more senior American forecaster was wrong. That is not luck. That is simply discipline and trusting what the data actually tells you.

Operation Overlord beach
Normandy beach landings | Image by: FlixPix / Alamy

Anyone who has sat in an operations room knows the shape of this. The adviser’s job is to tell the commander the thing he does not want to hear. The commander’s job is to listen, decide, and carry it. I have watched both jobs done well and done badly, and Pressure gets the texture of it right: the tiredness, the politeness that thinly covers disagreement, the moment when someone has to stop hedging.

There is a less elevated lesson buried in it too: never, ever, annoy your front office, and certainly not somebody else’s. Grand strategy shapes history, but access, personalities and gatekeepers have an irritating habit of shaping grand strategy.

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The film has stage origins and does not hide them. There is no CGI armada, no swelling score over a beach. We stay in the room, with the maps and the tea and the people arguing. It is the better for it.

Pressure posterBrendan Fraser plays Eisenhower with the weight visible in the shoulders. The film’s best detail is a real one that, before the landings, Eisenhower wrote a note taking full responsibility if they failed and carried it in his wallet. That is what the job actually is. Trust your experts, trust the data, then make the courageous call, and own your decision.

Most war films are about what happens when the shooting starts. Pressure is about the tough decisions in the room right before it: expertise, dissent, judgement and responsibility.

It is, after all, a war film about a weatherman. But beneath the weather charts and the machinery of war, it is really a story about people: about leadership, about making hard decisions and bringing people with you along the way.

Al Carns is Labour MP for Birmingham Selly Oak

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Pressure

Directed by: Anthony Maras

Venue: General cinema release

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Poll: A crack is emerging in Trump’s coalition over deportations

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Poll: A crack is emerging in Trump’s coalition over deportations

President Donald Trump’s mass deportation campaign is running into resistance within his own voter coalition, as more and more Republican candidates publicly break with him ahead of the November election.

New results from The POLITICO Poll help explain why: Non-MAGA Trump voters are more than twice as likely as self-identified MAGA Trump voters to say his mass deportation campaign is too aggressive, 31% to 14%. While roughly similar shares of both groups believe Trump’s campaign is about right, the MAGA base wants him to go even further: 36% of MAGA Trump voters say his campaign is not aggressive enough, compared with 23% of non-MAGA Trump voters.

Meanwhile, support across Trump’s entire voter coalition falls when it comes to deporting people beyond the most violent offenders, such as those with minor criminal offenses or who have been living in the U.S. for years without legal status.

The new survey, conducted by London-based Public First, reveals how Trump’s immigration agenda — which has long been one of his signature political issues and a reliable GOP rallying point — has divided the very coalition that helped power his two presidential wins. The president’s MAGA loyalists are still more inclined than other Trump voters to support a tougher immigration posture, but there are clear limits to how far voters want the administration to go.

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Those intraparty tensions burst into public view this month, when Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar (R-Fla.) released a campaign ad pushing back against Trump’s deportation agenda, saying some of his efforts “have gone too far” and that Hispanic voters who supported him in 2024 “feel betrayed.” It was a remarkable break from a sitting GOP lawmaker over one of the president’s defining policies, as Democrats have locked in on Florida’s 27th District as a prime target in their bid to flip the House.

Salazar’s public rift with Trump exemplifies the fears Republicans had been privately warning about for months: that the president’s immigration enforcement — marked last year by high-profile, flashy raids that rippled through communities — was alienating moderate Republicans, independents, young voters and Latinos who support border security and immigration enforcement in theory but dislike how it is being carried out.

And as the party stares down a difficult midterm landscape, including in districts and states Trump won in 2024, other GOP candidates followed Salazar’s lead, increasingly putting distance between themselves and the administration on key issues like immigration — despite having voted last year to approve billions of dollars for border security and immigration enforcement. On Wednesday, Sen. Roger Marshall (R-Kan.), whose race has tightened against Democrat Adam Hamilton, also softened his stance on Immigration and Customs Enforcement as raids in southwest Kansas prompt temporary business closures and schools.

“When ICE operates in Kansas, it needs to coordinate with our local law enforcement. Our sheriffs and police know these communities better than anyone, and working together keeps officers and residents safe,” he wrote on social media, adding that he’s been in direct contact with Homeland Security Secretary Markwayne Mullin.

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The POLITICO Poll finds most Americans — including majorities of both MAGA and non-MAGA Trump voters — believe people convicted of serious violent or sexual offenses should be prioritized for deportation, underscoring broad agreement on a more targeted approach to enforcement.

The survey also finds that few people — including among both MAGA and non-MAGA Trump voters — prioritized targeting other groups for deportations. Less than a quarter of each group say people convicted of minor criminal offenses should be prioritized. Support falls further when voters are asked about prioritizing people who have lived in the U.S. for several years without legal status or people with dependent children in the U.S.

“A lot of it has to do with how you talk about it. They don’t want amnesty for people who have broken the law. They want everybody to do it the right way,” said a person close to the White House granted anonymity to discuss how Republicans are viewing the issue. “They understand that some people might be law-abiding, hard working.”

White House spokesperson Lauren Bis said POLITICO is “skewing data to paint a false narrative.”

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“The American people sent President Trump back to the White House to stop the invasion of our country and deport the millions of illegal aliens Biden and Democrats allowed into the country. The president is delivering on his promises,” she said.

Days after releasing the ad, Salazar said she had a “fantastic conversation” with Trump and urged him to protect the political “fortune” he had brought to the Republican Party on immigration. She also told CBS last weekend that Trump and the average American understand “the between the narco and the nanny and the gangster and the gardener.”

She said the administration should distinguish between criminals and unauthorized immigrants working in crucial industries such as agriculture, construction, hospitality and health care.

That distinction is also reflected in The POLITICO Poll. Both MAGA and non-MAGA Trump voters are open to maintaining or increasing the number of people coming into the U.S. to work in sectors facing labor shortages, such as health care or agriculture. Sixty-five percent of MAGA Trump voters and 69% non-MAGA Trump voters say they want to see about the same number — or more — people coming to the U.S. to work in those sectors facing labor shortages.

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“Trump 2.0 that took over in January 2025 completely misread what voters were telling him and Joe Biden during 2024, which was that they wanted to see more order and security over the U.S.-Mexico border,” said Matt Barreto, who conducted polling for former Vice President Kamala Harris’ 2024 campaign. “Instead, what Trump told Americans was, ‘Now I’m going to go hunt down immigrants who are just working and contributing to America.’ And there was extremely limited support for that.”

Past POLITICO polling on immigration has shown that the Trump administration has been unable to reverse the damage with voters on the issue. Last fall, battleground Republicans were already expressing concern about the administration’s immigration tactics. Those concerns intensified in the months that followed, while negative voter sentiment hardened by April after federal agents killed two U.S. citizens in Minneapolis.

The Trump administration, in the wake of bipartisan outrage, softened its rhetoric and abandoned flashy raids that often devolved into clashes with protesters. The president also installed Mullin, who moved quickly to repair relationships on Capitol Hill and keep the Department of Homeland Security out of the headlines.

But Mullin is also facing pressure from MAGA critics and immigration hardliners who think he’s not committed to the president’s vow to deport millions of unauthorized immigrants. In an effort to shore up his support with that contingent, top administration accounts, including Mullin’s, have ramped up posts about ICE, arrests statistics and tough talk about the administration’s immigration enforcement agenda.

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Good Morning Britain Cuts Zia Yusuf Over Racist Tweet

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Good Morning Britain Cuts Zia Yusuf Over Racist Tweet

Zia Yusuf was cut off by ITV’s Good Morning Britain after dodging question about a tweet of his that sparked a racism row.

Reform UK’s home affairs spokesman was criticised after pointing out on X that a Labour by-election candidate was born in Somalia and adding: “Do you understand what’s happening?”

Sagal Abdi-Wali, who came to the UK as a child refugee more than 30 years ago and is leader of Camden Council, is standing for the party in Keir Starmer’s old seat of Holborn and St Pancras.

Commenting on Yusuf’s post, Lib Dem leader Ed Davey said: “This is racism, straight out of the Trump playbook.”

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Labour business secretary Jonathan Reynolds called it “pretty straightforward racism”.

On Good Morning Britain on Friday, presenters Ranvir Singh and Kate Garraway both tried to get Yusuf to explain what he meant by his tweet.

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The Reform bigwig said the racism allegation against him was “absurd on its face”.

He said: “Shutting down legitimate concerns from British people by calling them names is not going to work any more.”

Singh told him: “The woman concerned was born in Somalia. Your colleague [former Tory cabinet minister] Nadhim Zahawi was born in Iraq. Are you saying that he doesn’t have a right to run in politics, because he has?”

Avoiding the question, Yusuf – whose parents moved to the UK in the 1960s – said: “Are you aware that we have more foreign nationals living in Britain than at any point in our history?

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“Are you aware that we have more people born abroad than ever before, and are you aware that we have more members of parliament from abroad than at any point in modern British history?”

He added: “This is not to say that you can’t be a patriotic British person if you were born abroad, it is not to say that you can’t serve our country if you were born abroad.

“But there are a lot of people deeply concerned when they see a group of Pakistani heritage MPs getting together and writing a letter to lobby the Pakistani government about an airport in Mirpur.”

But Singh said: “That isn’t responding to the tweet that you put out … that’s a deflection.”

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Garraway then said: “If you don’t explain what you meant by it, then it’s going to be open to all sorts of accusations. Do you think you could explain what you meant by it?”

When Yusuf tried to repeat the point he had just made, Singh said: “We don’t want a repeat of the same answer, but thank you so much.

“Zia Yusuf, you had your chance to respond to the tweet, but you chose to deflect by talking about another issue.”

As Yusuf tried to respond again, his microphone was cut off as he was still speaking.

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Watch the full exchange below.

Listen to Commons People, the podcast that makes politics easy. Every week, Kevin Schofield and Kate Nicholson unpack the week’s biggest stories to keep you informed. Join us for straightforward analysis of what’s going on at Westminster.

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Katherine Ryan Reacts To BBC’s Ruling About Victoria Beckham C-Bomb Joke

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Katherine Ryan guest hosting Have I Got News For You last year

Katherine Ryan has responded after the news that the BBC is upholding complaints over a joke she made while guest hosting Have I Got News For You almost a year ago.

During the November 2025 broadcast, Katherine introduced a segment about Sir David Beckham’s knighthood, to which regular panellist Ian Hislop remarked: “He was meant not to get it, wasn’t he? Because he’d been pitching for it. And it was considered bad form to be ‘desperate’.”

“That’s exactly right,” the Canadian comic responded. Reading from a script in front of her, she continued: “In 2013, when he did not get a knighthood, he emailed his PR saying, ‘They’re a bunch of cunts, I expected nothing less’…”

Fellow comedian Maisie Adam responded: “It would have been nice and maybe poetic if Charles had got his own back just by knighting him and then going, ‘Arise, you cunt’.”

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“I don’t know if we are allowed to broadcast the C-word,” Katherine then remarked. “But you did reference Victoria Beckham earlier, and we will allow that…”

Katherine Ryan guest hosting Have I Got News For You last year
Katherine Ryan guest hosting Have I Got News For You last year

Shortly afterwards, the BBC confirmed it had received multiple official complaints “from viewers who were unhappy with the inclusion of strong language in the programme”.

The broadcaster said at the time: “In this particular case, we feel that the use of the strong language was editorially justified as the panel were discussing a current news story about Sir David Beckham and directly quoting from leaked emails in which he had used the word in question, leading to further discussion,” the post continued.

“As is common practice for programmes that contain very strong language, we mitigated potential offence by adding a clear verbal warning at the start of the programme.”

However, on Thursday, the BBC’s executive complaints unit (ECU) ruled that while Katherine’s use of the C-bomb was justified, the comparison to Victoria Beckham was not.

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Victoria Beckham

“The relevant BBC Editorial Guidelines do not require programmes to avoid giving offence, but do require that any offence should be editorially justified,” the ECU’s statement said.

“In the ECU’s judgement, while the inclusion of the c-word in the programme derived editorial justification from David Beckham’s alleged use of it and the satirical reflections this prompted, there was no such justification for a comment which presented Victoria Beckham as equivalent to a particularly offensive word.”

Katherine has since posted a video message to Instagram addressing the ECU’s ruling, and revealing that she had previously apologised directly to Victoria when she messaged her about the incident.

“Hi, I’m ‘comedian’ Katherine Ryan, and today, the BBC announced their decision to uphold a complaint made by two very influential viewers about a joke that I tried to make on Have I Got News For You 11 months ago,” she began.

“At that time, though there is no defence, I have to tell you, I was suffering from a condition called [matrescence]. I was in that building with a 10-day-old baby. Should I have left the house? This is going to be a tough one for the feminists, because I was a woman going to work, but I did call another woman a c**t.”

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Katherine gave birth to her youngest daughter in October 2025, shortly before filming Have I Got News For You.

She continued: “Sometimes, I forget that celebrities are not my friends. If I had called Jimmy Carr a c**t, he wouldn’t have minded. Joanne McNally – c**t! – she wouldn’t have minded. But this was described by the BBC as a slur, as though c**ts are part of a protected group.

“The trouble is, now that section [of the episode] has been taken off iPlayer, so the incident only exists in printed media, online media, and then you lose the context. On the day, if you watched, it was clearly a joke, and the whole audience went *gasp* and then I said, ‘woah, I love her’.”

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Holding up a copy of her latest book Firstborn Daughter, Katherine noted that she loves Victoria “so much that I included her in one of my celebrity firstborn daughter chapters”.

She then proceeded to read out the passage in question, while maintaining that she “remains very sorry”.

“Yes, I sort of jokingly called her a cunt in the BBC and she messaged me about it afterwards,” she added. “I apologised unreservedly, because though she is c**t, Victoria Beckham couldn’t be further from being a c**t.”

“I’m sorry,” she concluded. “Sometimes the jokes don’t land. And sometimes I sound sarcastic when I’m apologising, but I really am sorry.”

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HuffPost UK has contacted Victoria Beckham’s team for comment.

The BBC said last year: “As a post-watershed entertainment programme, Have I Got News for You has always covered and discussed news stories in a humorous, often ironic, manner.

“The inclusion of any strong language is carefully thought through and it is never our intention to offend our audience.”

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The House Opinion Article | “Rip-roaring”: Barry Gardiner reviews ‘Alcina’

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'Rip-roaring': Barry Gardiner reviews 'Alcina'
'Rip-roaring': Barry Gardiner reviews 'Alcina'

Mary Bevan as Morgana | Image courtesy of: The Royal Opera ©2026 Ian Hippolyte


5 min read

Imbued with the style of Coco Chanel and the wit of Alan Bennett, this dazzling RBO production of Handel’s masterpiece makes for a wonderfully enjoyable evening

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Who knew that Hanoverian Britain could be quite so obsessed with sex? Oh yes! Sex in all its luxuriant lust and lasciviousness.

This is what Handel captures in Alcina: sex and how guilty those Hanoverians felt about it. Britain had just survived the repression of the Puritans under Oliver Cromwell, the exuberant release of the Restoration, the Glorious Revolution, the Act of Union under Queen Anne, and the reassertion of a dour Protestantism under George I.

Alcina Lisette Oropesa
Lisette Oropesa as Alcina | Image courtesy of: The Royal Opera ©2026 Ian Hippolyte

All this is captured in this triumphant revival of the acclaimed 2022 Royal Opera production as it dissects the enchanting power of desire, the insidious cancer of jealousy and the redemptive force of faithful love. And it does it with the style of Coco Chanel (Alcina seduces Ruggiero in her little black dress and a pair of Louboutins) and the wit of Alan Bennett (the spurned and moody Oronte sulks in a potting shed replete with a voracious Venus flytrap). The serpentine twists of plot – of who is in love with whom, when and where –would be fruitless to adumbrate. So: what of the important stuff?

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Prior to curtain up, the audience winced as a besuited front of house director came out to apologise that Lisette Oropesa (Alcina) had a cold but told us she was going to soldier on. He asked us to “bear with her”. He need not have bothered. Her voice needed no Strepsil to sweeten it. Dì, cor mio, quanto t’amai, her big Act One aria, established a voice of disarming tenderness as sweet as the sweetmeats she feeds to Ruggiero that are proffered by the former lovers she had turned into wild animals. Ah, mio cor! Schernito sei counterposes the rising pulse of the orchestral strings with Oropesa’s beautifully phrased realisation that Ruggiero’s love is waning, and her incredulous fury. A masterstroke of stagecraft here sees the room close in on her as the ruched curtains – now lit red – slowly descend revealing the blackness behind the inner wall and Oronte sneaking slowly off, stage right.

Costume makers and choreographers… must take their share of plaudits

Beth Taylor’s Bradamante had been much anticipated and did not disappoint. Her Act One È gelosia would make any love rival shudder to get on the wrong side of her. But it was the total command she displayed in the coloratura runs of Vorrei vendicarmi in Act Two that showed off her amazing vocal dexterity to its dazzling full. In many ways Alcina’s sister Morgana holds the opera together dramatically and few who heard Mary Bevan’s rip-roaring Uno, Due, Tre as she steals another da capo in Tornami a vagheggiar at the end to Act One would deny that she also stole the show. Her sinuous voice snakes its enchantment around the violin obbligato in Ama, sospira to persuade Alcina not to turn Ricciardo into one of the wild beasts; but it is the wit and pathos that she brings to wooing back Oronte in the sex scene in the potting shed – yes, really! – that allows one to marvel at the combination of assured vocal control, beauty of tone and acting ability.

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Oronte and Ruggiero
Ru Charlesworth as Oronte and Emily D’Angelo as Ruggiero

Image courtesy of: The Royal Opera ©2026 Ian Hippolyte

And while we are in the potting shed, we should give due praise to the cellos and the archlutes who kept the steady pulse racing as the stage pivoted to accommodate the couple’s modesty. Where Handel demands true ‘canto sgranato’, Ru Charlesworth as Oronte lacked precise articulation and his high ‘A’ in È un folle, è un vile affetto was simply missed. However, a beautiful rendition of Un momento di contento while emerging from the potting shed, wearing just one red sock and a most unalluring pair of boxer shorts, disposed this audience member to forgive the earlier lapse.

No forgiveness was ever needed for Emily D’Angelo’s Ruggiero. Her full deep mezzo in Mi lusinga il dolce affetto displayed a prodigious breath control and a beguiling stage presence where Ruggiero begins to awake from his enchantment and is drawn magnetically in turn to the competing images of Alcina and his spouse Bradamante. Whether I would have sat Ruggiero in a tree to sing one of Handel’s most famous arias Verdi prati matters not at all when it is sung as beautifully as D’Angelo did. It is the ultimate aria of impending loss and she imbued it with deep pathos.

Alcina posterThe singers were not the only stars. Costume makers and choreographers who rose to the challenge of cockerels and mandrills dancing with axes and garden hoes have to take their share of plaudits. Downsides? Some audience voices in the second interval were heard to complain that “they repeat too much and it makes it so long”. In truth the da capo musical structure A – B – A can seem strange to the modern ear where the singer is instructed to repeat the first A section. But Handel saw this as permission for the singer to improvise and ornament the original theme. Perhaps the tempi chosen by conductor David Bates sometimes did not always allow the singers enough space to elaborate their skills but then things would have taken even longer.

Ultimately, this was a wonderfully enjoyable evening where the Hanoverian puritanism of mercy, love, duty and courtesy are seen to vanquish luxury and sensuality. Or are they?

To find out, you will have to go and see for yourself. It is well worth it.

Barry Gardiner is Labour MP for Brent West

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Alcina

Conducted by: David Bates

Directed by: Richard Jones

Venue: Royal Ballet & Opera – until Sunday 3 October

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James Acaster Admits Celebrity Traitors Season 2 ‘Concern’

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James Acaster in his Celebrity Traitors promo photo

James Acaster has claimed that the sheer number of comedians on the cast of this year’s Celebrity Traitors gave him pause before the new series got underway.

The Off Menu host is joined on the new series by the likes of Joe Lycett, Miranda Hart, Romesh Ranganathan, Rob Beckett and Joanne McNally, all of whom are big names on the comedy circuit.

Speaking to the BBC before the new series got underway, James admitted that seeing so many comedians on the line-up was “a concern” for him, especially in light of stand-up comic Alan Carr’s victory last year.

James Acaster in his Celebrity Traitors promo photo
James Acaster in his Celebrity Traitors promo photo

BBC/Studio Lambert/Cody Burridge/BBC Creative

“There will be suspicions that it’s going to be at least one of these guys, that we might form an alliance if we’re not broken apart,” he speculated.

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“I think we’re going to be the first ones under the magnifying glass being looked at. Particularly at the beginning when you have absolutely nothing to go on.”

James added: “Then you consider that a comedian won last year, with Alan Carr disarming everyone with jokes the whole time. He has tainted us all!

“Hannah Fry [the mathematician, who is also on the cast of The Celebrity Traitors season 2] will probably tell you that probability-wise, there’s most likely to be at least one comic chosen as a Traitor because there’s enough of us. Even though it could obviously easily be three people who aren’t comedians…

“I don’t know how it works out, but if maths turns against us we’re in big trouble.”

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The stars of The Celebrity Traitors
The stars of The Celebrity Traitors

BBC/Studio Lambert/Cody Burridge/BBC Creative

The long-awaited new season of The Celebrity Traitors hits our screens on Thursday 1 October. The full cast is as follows:

  • Amol Rajan
  • Bella Ramsey
  • Professor Hannah Fry
  • James Acaster
  • James Blunt
  • Jerry Hall
  • Joanne McNally
  • Joe Lycett
  • Julie Hesmondhalgh
  • Kenny Oghenovo “King Kenny” Ojuederie
  • Leigh-Anne Pinnock
  • Maya Jama
  • Michael Sheen
  • Miranda Hart
  • Myha’la
  • Richard E Grant
  • Rob Beckett
  • Romesh Ranganathan
  • Ross Kemp
  • Sebastian Croft
  • Sharon Rooney

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Sentier Fragrance Advent Calendar 2026: Review And Contents

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Sentier Fragrance Advent Calendar 2026: Review And Contents

There’s so much to love about Christmas: delicious food and drink, great company, and don’t get me started on presents.

Personally, though, I reckon one of the best things about the most wonderful time of year is the scents.

It’s ot just the smell of baked spices: I’m a big fan of the seasonal scents that get released each year, too.

I’ve already waxed lyrical about Jo Malone’s Advent Calendar and Lush’s S’mores body wash, but when I found out there was a whole Advent calendar dedicated to warm and spicy festive scents, I was gripped.

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Packaged in a gorgeous watercolour box with velvet ribbons, the Sentier calendar feels like something you’ll want to keep in your house and cherish for a long time.

Considering it costs just £109, it promises serious savings on the 12 scents you’ll find inside – because the whole thing is worth £529.

Everything about the experience of opening the calendar is special. By the end of the 12 days, you’ll have six 60ml scented candles and six 10ml perfumes to play around with for the whole year ahead, each with its own story attached.

The standout product, Ardent Cherry, blends (you guessed it) dark cherry, amber, sandalwood, and incense that promises to wrap you “in an unforgettable air of intrigue”. I don’t know about you, but that’s exactly how I want to be perceived by my nosy family members on Christmas Day.

Sentier has also included two alcohol-free perfumes in the calendar: Noor Riviera (a coastal fragrance in case you need some escapism from the cold) and Méribel, which is “inspired by snow-covered Alpine villages and the freshness of crisp mountain air”. I’m feeling cosy already.

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Each of the scented candles has also been formulated to transport you into a different world. One of my favourites is Lait de Feu, which instantly shrouds me to the sensation of drinking a Bailey’s hot chocolate by the fire thanks to its blend of coffee, maple, rhum, vanilla, sandalwood, and vetiver.

I’m also not immune to a woody scent (who doesn’t love the smell of Christmas trees?!) so Alpine Chalet, the calendar’s pine and alpine air-inspired candle, also has a special place in my heart.

It’s no wonder that the calendar has sold out for two years in a row, and even though it’s available to shop now, I wouldn’t count on it being around tomorrow.

Great news for fragrance lovers while it lasts, though, we’ve got HuffPost UK readers 10% off the calendar with the code ‘ADVENT10’, so it’ll cost just £98.10 for a whole load of fragrances you will cherish for months to come.

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Maya Jama Addresses Rumours She And Stormzy Are Back Together

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Maya Jama and Stormzy in 2017

Maya Jama is pouring water on the speculation that she and her famous ex, Stormzy, are back together.

The Love Island host found herself at the centre of rumours earlier this week, when fans spotted that she and the Vossi Bop rapper were once again following each other on Instagram.

Fuelling the rumours even further was a clip that Maya posted of herself on social media lip syncing to Stormzy’s song One Second.

However, the TV personality is adamant that people have got the wrong end of the stick if they think this means she and the Brit Award winner have reunited.

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Maya Jama and Stormzy in 2017
Maya Jama and Stormzy in 2017

“I like the song,” she continued, pointing out that she and the grime star “have always been friends”.

“No one is back together, rest with the theories,” she then urged her fans.

Maya and Stormzy first began dating in 2014, before eventually going their separate ways in 2019.

However, in the summer of 2023, the two sparked rumours that things between them were back on after they were spotted on holiday together, before hard-launching their renewed romance on a red carpet months later.

Less than a year later, though, they announced that they were “calling it quits” for the second time.

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They said at the time: “We’ve been laughing whilst drafting this because we never, ever, in a million years thought we’d be the couple announcing a breakup. But for the sake of clarity and, more importantly, to allow us the space and grace that’s needed for us both to be able to navigate this next bit of our lives with peace, we thought it might be best to.”

Maya Jama

“We recently decided to call it quits,” they added, pointing out: “We were 21 and 20 when we first met – both at the beginning of our careers – and spent five years growing together and then five years growing separately, so this final attempt required a whole lot of figuring out, relearning, and unlearning. We tried, and it didn’t work, and that’s okay.”

Insisting they “still think the absolute world of each other”, the former couple concluded by saying they “still care [for] and respect each other”.

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The House Article | Burnham must act to ensure devolution can pass the Makerfield Test

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Burnham must act to ensure devolution can pass the Makerfield Test
Burnham must act to ensure devolution can pass the Makerfield Test

Manchester from Kersal Moor, by William Wyld in 1852


5 min read

In the 19th century, Manchester earned the nickname Cottonopolis, such was its reputation as a global centre for the cotton and textiles industries.

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These industries reshaped the economies and culture of what we now recognise as Greater Manchester. Oldham was, at its peak, the most productive cotton spinning town in the world, while the novel of Lancashire author Allen Clarke (‘Teddy Ashton’) fictionalised Bolton as “Spindleton”, reflecting how deeply the industry had defined its culture.

Today Manchester has regained a place at the centre of power, but of a different kind. The new No 10 North will focus the energy of the central state on Andy Burnham’s aspiration to be the Prime Minister who gave power away.

There has been no shortage of opinion pieces on No 10 North. Its stated purpose is clear enough. It will oversee reforms to essential utilities and deliver reindustrialisation and the regeneration of places, consolidating existing Whitehall powers before handing them to places, particularly metro mayors, across the country. This is how Burnham’s ambitions of delivering “good growth in every postcode” and greater power to communities are to be realised.

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Devolution’s ultimate success will be measured against the ambition the Prime Minister set out during his Makerfield campaign to rebuild places scarred by deindustrialisation and overlooked by centralisation. With the Independent Commission on Neighbourhoods (ICON), I have been fortunate to spend many of my Fridays over the past 18 months visiting such places across every corner of England. It is often impossible to leave at the end of the day without a bitter feeling that successive governments have not even tried and failed to deliver for these places, but have simply not tried, and that a change of approach is both necessary and welcome.

This makes devolution all the more important. Many of these places will soon be represented by mayors with a deeper understanding what has held them back. Is it worth noting, though, that the majority of England’s most disadvantaged neighbourhoods already have a regional mayor, as do many former mill towns, coalfields, steel communities and seaside towns that once powered Britain’s economy.

This does not diminish devolution’s potential. It is urgent, however, that its next stage puts places that have been left behind front and centre

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Devolution is popular. Our polling published today shows a majority (52 per cent) support it. Yet there is a contradiction between what the public want and expect from it and the overarching focus of existing mayors.

People expect direct benefits to their areas, and expectations are highest in the most disadvantaged areas, where 51 per cent expect their area to benefit a “great deal or fair amount”. The public wants devolution to prioritise highly deprived places and our industrial heartlands. Asked whether mayors should direct more funding to the most disadvantaged parts of their region, even if this meant less elsewhere, 38 per cent supported this while 24 cent opposed.

The question, then, is whether mayors are delivering for these places.

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In our report, we analysed dozens of mayoral strategy documents across economic growth, transport and skills. We found hundreds of policies, including innovative approaches to public services, partnerships with communities and investment prioritising deprived or deindustrialised areas.

But these examples remain the exception rather than the rule. We found few initiatives to connect residents of disadvantaged places to opportunities in the eight industrial strategy (IS-8) sectors, for example. Our review suggests that improving these places has yet to become a consistent priority running through mayoral authorities’ work.

This does not diminish devolution’s potential. It is urgent, however, that its next stage puts places that have been left behind front and centre. The test should be whether it changes the economic prospects of the towns and neighbourhoods that deindustrialisation abandoned and centralisation made too easy to overlook. Worryingly, we find 53 per cent of people think devolution will either make no difference to inequality between rich and poor parts of the country or widen the gap.

Devolution itself must still pass the Prime Minister’s “Makerfield Test”. There are practical ways to make this happen.

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Mayors should be supported with new Good Growth Funds, based on that of Manchester, investing in social as well as physical infrastructure. We should build on the promise of community-based service delivery by establishing the JobsPlus employment support scheme as a permanent national programme. Mayors should be able to fund and integrate community transport schemes into their networks, and target tax reliefs at firms that invest in or hire from disadvantaged neighbourhoods.

A dedicated Chief Secretary of the Nations and Regions, with a seat at the Cabinet, should oversee this agenda. This would give No 10 North the political authority to match the government’s ambition to rewire the state.

The government’s forthcoming 10-Year Plan and Devolution White Paper are the opportunity to put these priorities at the heart of devolution. If No 10 North is to deliver on its promise, Manchester’s return to the centre of power must help renew the prospects of the towns that once made it Cottonopolis. The Makerfield Test will be passed when the communities that powered Britain’s industrial past have a stake in its economic future.

Ross Mudie is head of research analysis at the Independent Commission on Neighbourhoods (ICON)

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The House | Hazards Ahead: How Labour Unity Under Andy Burnham May Be Tested In The Months Ahead

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Hazards Ahead: How Labour Unity Under Andy Burnham May Be Tested In The Months Ahead
Hazards Ahead: How Labour Unity Under Andy Burnham May Be Tested In The Months Ahead

Illustration by Tracy Worrall


12 min read

The first few months of Andy Burnham’s premiership have passed in relative calm but the Labour Party’s newfound unity is about to be tested. Harriet Symonds reads the warnings on the road ahead.

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Things, as they might say, can only get worse. Labour gathers in Liverpool with tails up, ahead in the polls having overtaken Reform UK. But it is in the nature of bounces that what goes up must come down, and Andy Burnham well knows that the momentum will fade.

Despite repeated public denials he is planning an early election, the Prime Minister is understood to have discussed the option with James Purnell, his chief of staff. No firm conclusion was reached, say sources.

On one level, that is unsurprising – indeed it would be odd if he hadn’t at least reviewed the possibility with his closest political aide – but it adds to the sense there is an ongoing calculation.

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Although the decision will be Burnham’s alone, Labour MPs will do much to condition his thinking in the months ahead.

If he believes he can carry the party through difficult decisions – on welfare and immigration in particular – he may be more likely to wait until he can more confidently campaign on Labour’s record in government. On the other hand, if it appears he has become their captive, he may be more inclined to seek a mandate of his own.

Watching on are the dispossessed and disgruntled, ejected from government for their loyalty to Sir Keir Starmer. The revelation by Louise Haigh that Burnham’s return to Westminster had been in the works for a year has only deepened their resentment.

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At the centre of this emerging group is Darren Jones, the former chief secretary to the prime minister, whose exclusion from Burnham’s Cabinet has angered MPs in the group who saw it as a serious miscalculation.

“Even now, they still don’t realise how much power Darren wields in the PLP,” warns an MP in the group. “When the wheels start falling off, they might need him.”

Jones showed his teeth when he challenged No10 claims about how much would be saved through shelving the digital ID scheme, for which he’d had ministerial responsibilities.

At the moment Jones sees himself as something of a Jeremy Hunt-like figure in the Labour Party, who can make significant interventions without undermining the government.

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But he is not the only former minister to know where the bodies are buried. Some, like Olivia Bailey and Catherine Atkinson, have been elected to chair select committees which will look at policy areas they tackled in government.

MPs on ‘rebel watch’ insist they want Burnham’s government to succeed, but they have no problem being “critical friends” when it comes to some of the difficult choices ahead, especially those affecting the economy.

“The group has so much institutional knowledge of government – they have a lot to offer,” says an MP organising for the group.

They have begun meeting regularly, including for drinks at the Clarence pub on Whitehall.

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Those involved describe it primarily as a support network for MPs adjusting to life outside government, but it has also become a place to connect with donors and develop longer-term policy ideas aimed at securing a second Labour term.

Burnham’s first real tests will come not in Liverpool but in the months ahead, when he will have to make tough decisions that will upset different wings of his party.

MPs are eagerly awaiting the government’s 10-Year Plan in November to provide more clues about the government’s direction of travel.

Welfare, defence, the Troubles Bill, oil and gas and plans for devolution are all issues on which the new government could face opposition from its own benches.

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The economy

Burnham inherited an economy with little room for manoeuvre and will deliver his first Budget on 28 October against a backdrop of rising inflation, high borrowing costs and sharply reduced fiscal headroom. The government is facing pressure to fund defence, ease the cost of living and maintain its fiscal rules at the same time.

The government wants the Budget to be as quiet as possible. The Spending Review next year is likely to be the more significant test, particularly on welfare and defence.

Attacks on Rachel Reeves have not gone unnoticed by Labour MPs, with some saying it is “totally unfair” and warning it “will not wash”.

The group of disgruntled Labour MPs is watching closely to see whether Chancellor John Healey sticks to the fiscal rules and how he balances competing demands from defence, welfare and public services.

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In a sign that the government is taking the group seriously, The House understands that Healey has asked to speak to Jones ahead of the Budget.

Meanwhile, talk of an early election is rife among Labour MPs, with some reporting contact from regional organisers that they believe could be preparation for a snap poll.

Welfare

Addressing Britain’s £333bn ballooning welfare bill will be one of Burnham’s most politically dangerous tasks. He has said he wants to reduce spending but has yet to set out in any detail how he intends to do it.

Two reports will soon land on his desk: one by former minister Alan Milburn examining youth unemployment and another by Stephen Timms on disability benefits. Milburn has already argued that the welfare system is trapping young people in unemployment and called for a tougher “working state”.

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The PLP is divided over how far Burnham should go. Starmer’s attempt to cut £5bn from welfare spend last year ended in a revolt that exposed the depth of opposition on the Labour benches and started the downfall of his premiership.

Burnham faces the same fundamental dilemma: how to reduce the bill without provoking another rebellion from the left.

Some MPs want to see a credible plan to get welfare spending down, while MPs on the Labour left, including Kim Johnson, Rachael Maskell and John McDonnell, will not tolerate what they regard as “punitive” cuts.

Many of those who were involved in last year’s welfare rebellion are now in government, including the new Chief Whip Anneliese Midgley, creating the prospect of a fight within the government itself if Burnham struggles to win support.

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“It will be the moderates that will end up saving Burnham when a vote comes to cut welfare,” predicts an MP on the party’s right flank.

Andy Burnham tank cartoon
Illustration by Tracy Worrall

Defence

Defence spending could provide Burnham with an equally awkward coalition of rebels. The Prime Minister has committed to spending 3.5 per cent of GDP on defence by 2035 but has so far refused to set out a timetable for reaching three per cent.

With little spare cash, reaching three per cent by 2030 would require difficult decisions elsewhere. The government has indicated that the route to the 3.5 per cent target will be set out at next year’s Spending Review.

The decision to appoint former defence secretary John Healey as Chancellor is a sign of the importance Burnham attaches to the issue.

MPs on Labour’s right want to see the government make defence a priority, particularly after Burnham declared that national security “cannot come at the expense of social security”.

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The line was pre-prepared, The House understands, and while the sentiment spoke to some Labour backbenchers, others were less impressed.

“He was dreadful today. Everything I feared,” one Labour MP said following that PMQs performance on 9 September.

Healey’s decision to resign from Starmer’s government over defence spending has also given him little room for manoeuvre. Many MPs will expect him to demonstrate that his new role as Chancellor has not diluted his commitment to increasing military spending.

Tan Dhesi, chair of the Defence Select Committee, has already warned the Prime Minister that “vibes alone just isn’t going to be enough”.

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Troubles Bill

New Northern Ireland Secretary Chris Bryant faces the difficult task of passing the Northern Ireland Troubles Bill, intended to replace contentious elements of the Legacy Act.

The legislation is contentious as it could expose former British military personnel who served in the Troubles to continuous unfair legal action. The government has been attempting to address those concerns while also preserving routes to justice for victims and their families.

The bill has become deeply controversial in the veteran community. Since his appointment,

Bryant has been on a charm offensive to convince Labour MPs with military backgrounds to give their support to the bill, some of whom could present powerful opposition if the government gets this wrong.

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Several MPs invited for talks say the government is moving in the right direction, but key MPs remain uncertain about whether they can support the bill until they see the final amendments. 

Former armed forces minister Al Carns cited the legislation as one of the reasons for his resignation in June, saying it risked failing the veterans it was intended to protect.

Immigration

Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood is facing a growing rebellion from Labour MPs on the soft left over plans to retrospectively extend the qualifying time for Indefinite Leave to Remain (ILR) from five to 10 years or more.

The size of the growing rebellion from within the PLP means Mahmood will likely end up watering down her proposals. Some MPs are calling for skilled worker visa holders to be exempt from extended settlement, allowing them to qualify in five years instead of 10.

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Darren Jones sees himself as something of a Jeremy Hunt-like figure in the Labour Party

A motion calling for this move tabled by Neil Duncan-Jordan, the left-wing Labour MP for Poole, has attracted 81 signatures so far, including 42 other Labour MPs.

Duncan-Jordan argues that the proposals could make it harder to recruit workers into sectors such as social care, where there are already around 110,000 vacancies.

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“The Prime Minister’s plan to reset the social care system has no chance of succeeding if we keep on with the current plans of ILR. We already have 110,000 vacancies in the sector and the threat of making people wait another five or 10 years until they reach settled status is simply unfair,” he says.

“You can’t reset social care without the workforce and to change the rules for those who are already here is cruel. The Prime Minister needs to rethink or he could be facing his first rebellion.”

Justice

The Courts Bill will be another test of Burnham’s ability to absorb pressure from his own benches.

Under proposals from the Starmer government, jury trials in England and Wales were set to be scrapped and replaced with a single judge for crimes carrying a likely sentence of up to three years. The move was justified as a bid to tackle the courts backlog, which has reached a record level of 80,000 cases.

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The plans were originally put forward by former justice secretary David Lammy but faced a significant backlash from Labour MPs. Karl Turner, the MP for Hull East, was at the forefront of efforts to defeat the proposals, calling them “undemocratic” as well as ineffective in reducing the backlog.

Andy Burnham has since described jury trials as a “linchpin of a fair society”, signalling he will scrap the reform – the rest of the Courts Bill, however, is expected to remain very similar, which could be a source of frustration for some.

The extent to which Burnham reverses the Lammy-era proposals will be made clear when the bill returns on 13 October.

Andy Burnham with signs for North and South
Illustration by Tracy Worrall

Devolution

English devolution is central to Burnham’s premiership. The PM has pledged to take power out of Westminster and give it to communities across England, promising “good growth in every postcode”.

There is broad support for moving power out of Whitehall. The problem for Burnham is that a growing number of Labour MPs fear their constituencies, particularly in London and the South, are being asked to surrender power and money to regional mayors.

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Labour MPs representing constituencies in the South have told The House that Burnham’s ‘Manchesterism’ agenda risks being seen as overlooking other parts of the country also facing serious economic and social challenges.

London Labour MPs in particular are worried that deprived parts of the capital will be ignored. In his first intervention since leaving government, former housing secretary Steve Reed publicly warned Burnham that he “can’t make the rest of the country richer by making London poorer”.

There has also been backlash from MPs in regions that do not have elected mayors and those in rural constituencies who fear they will be overlooked.

Perran Moon, Labour MP for Camborne and Redruth, tells The House: “There’s a misunderstanding about Cornwall. We will never join a combined mayoral authority because of our national minority status. So we are at risk of being excluded from the powers and funding we need to unleash Cornwall’s economic potential.”

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Burnham has attempted to head off that criticism, promising to work with Cornwall council and its six MPs on a devolution deal “with or without an elected mayor” and extending the offer to areas across England without devolved power.

The government’s decision to row back on local government reorganisation has been welcomed by many MPs who criticised the one-size-fits-all approach. But it now leaves unanswered questions over who gets power, who loses it, who gets the money and who is accountable.

Oil and gas

There is growing pressure on Burnham to approve North Sea oil and gas projects, notably Rosebank and Jackdaw. He has previously said he is “open-minded” about North Sea drilling and recognises the need to balance energy security, jobs and the transition to net-zero.

It is widely expected that Burnham will green-light Jackdaw, but the announcement has been delayed. It is thought that a decision will now only come after the Holborn and St Pancras by-election next month, amid fears it could lose votes to the Greens.

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The issue has split Labour. Labour MP Henry Tufnell broke ranks back in March to publicly call for North Sea drilling, arguing it would boost economic growth, create jobs and prevent further deindustrialisation. Unions are also watching the decision closely, with Unite and the GMB in favour of drilling.

But some on the soft left of the party, many of whom are now in government, remain hostile to new oil and gas licences. Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband clashed with the Treasury over the decision when he was energy secretary.

In August, Labour MP Clive Lewis wrote a letter to the new Energy Secretary, Miatta Fahnbulleh, urging against new oil and gas licenses. He wrote on X: “Framing this as a choice between protecting the climate and protecting jobs is misleading. The real risk lies in clinging to volatile fossil fuels, which leave us vulnerable to energy price shocks.”

This new government will not be able to satisfy every wing of the party. For a Prime Minister who has promised to end the factionalism of the Starmer years, Burnham’s first real test may be learning to accept he can’t please everyone. 

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Bellybutton Smell May Show Parkinson’s Or Cognitive Decline

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Bellybutton Smell May Show Parkinson's Or Cognitive Decline

Parkinson’s currently affects about 153,000 people in the UK. The neurodegenerative condition can lead to both physical symptoms, like tremors, and “non-motor” issues, such as “depression, anxiety, apathy, hallucinations, constipation, orthostatic hypotension, sleep disorders, loss of sense of smell, and a variety of cognitive impairments,” Parkinson’s Foundation writes.

Meanwhile, cognitive decline, which is sometimes seen as a precursor to dementia, is a little harder to measure. But some research suggests it could be on the rise.

Neither condition can currently be conclusively diagnosed with a single test. However, a new study published in the journal Scientific Reports may have found useful clues for both in an unexpected place: our belly buttons.

What can our belly buttons say about Parkinson’s and cognitive decline?

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Apparently, it’s all about the smell.

The paper reads: “The body emits certain odors – from skin sebum or sweat – that serve as early diagnostic warning signs” for conditions like these.

Perhaps surprisingly, this is nothing new. Joy Milne, who learned she could “smell” Parkinson’s, previously led researchers to look into the subject further. After the Milne-inspired study, scientists found 500 smelly chemicals, known as “volatile organic compounds” or VOCs, that are specific to the condition.

As for where these VOCs are most readily available, the research reads: “swabs from the anterior part of the nasal cavity, from the navel, and from the concha part of the ear are less exposed to perfume, soap, and other factors”.

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These less exposed body parts aren’t as likely to get covered in things like deodorant, making them a particularly useful source of VOC.

Using new technology called “laser-based photoacoustic spectroscopy”, which analyses the gases on people’s bodies, scientists took samples from these areas.

The 24 participants either had Parkinson’s, mild cognitive decline, Covid-19, or were healthy.

Belly button swabs seemed particularly good at giving distinct smell profiles, from which researchers appeared to be able to identify Parkinson’s, mild cognitive impairment, and Covid-19.

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These results are “promising”, but there are caveats

Though the study authors say these results are “promising”, they are only preliminary, and came from a very small sample size (24 people all-in).

And “the study was conducted under controlled laboratory conditions”, whereas in real life, background smell and patient hygiene could provide complicating variables.

Therefore, they ended: “Further validation studies in real-life conditions and on larger, more diverse populations are needed to confirm robustness and generalisability”.

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