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Markets Roar Back as Nasdaq and Russell 2000 Wipe Out War Losses in Powerful Rally

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Nasdaq and Russell 2000 have fully recovered losses from the March selloff, rising nearly 9% from recent lows.
  • Strong liquidity conditions and rising global M2 supply continue to support equity market resilience and recovery.
  • ISM data holding above 52 for three months signals steady economic activity backing market strength.
  • Large-cap stocks lead the recovery while small caps follow, reflecting improving but cautious risk appetite.

U.S. equities have staged a swift recovery, with major indices erasing losses linked to recent geopolitical tensions. Market data shows both large-cap and small-cap benchmarks rebounding sharply, supported by strong liquidity conditions and steady macroeconomic signals.

Nasdaq Leads Recovery as Large Caps Approach Record Levels

A recent post by Bull Theory noted that both the Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 have fully recovered from declines tied to the US-Iran conflict. The Nasdaq 100, in particular, has climbed back near its all-time highs after a sharp March 2026 drop.

Weekly data shows the Nasdaq opened at 24,143 and closed at 25,116, after reaching a high of 25,226. The index had fallen toward the 23,000 level during the geopolitical selloff. However, buyers returned quickly, pushing prices back above key support at 24,000.

The broader trend remains upward, with the index rising from around 16,500 to near 26,000 before the correction.

Earlier disruptions, including tariff-related concerns in 2025, did not slow the longer-term move. Instead, price action shows consistent recovery patterns after each macro-driven decline.

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Current levels place the Nasdaq close to resistance between 25,500 and 26,000. Market behavior suggests continued strength, with multiple bullish weekly candles forming after the March low. This pattern reflects sustained demand, particularly in large-cap technology stocks.

At the same time, the speed of the rebound indicates that market participants are responding more to liquidity conditions than short-term geopolitical risks. The absence of extended consolidation also points to strong underlying momentum.

Russell 2000 Follows With Steady Gains as Risk Appetite Builds

The Russell 2000 has also recovered, though it remains slightly below its previous highs. According to the Bull Theory update, the index is up roughly 9% from its March bottom, mirroring the Nasdaq’s recovery pace.

Weekly figures show the Russell opened at 2,527 and closed at 2,630, with a high of 2,646. During the March decline, it dropped toward the 2,400–2,450 range. That move marked an approximate 11% pullback before buyers stepped in.

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The index has since reclaimed the 2,600 level, supported by a series of strong weekly gains. Still, it trails the Nasdaq in reaching its peak, with resistance seen between 2,650 and 2,700. This slower recovery aligns with typical market behavior, where large caps often lead before smaller stocks catch up.

Earlier tariff-related volatility in 2025 also triggered a sharp dip near 1,800, followed by a rapid rebound. That pattern has repeated, reinforcing the view that recent declines were driven by external shocks rather than internal weakness.

Across both indices, synchronized movements suggest a shared macro influence rather than isolated sector stress. The quick recovery from the March selloff reflects stable demand conditions and continued capital flow into equities.

Supporting data adds context to the rebound. Global M2 money supply has reached record levels, while ISM readings have stayed above 52 for three straight months. Inflation trends also remain contained, near multi-year lows.

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As markets approach resistance zones, price action around these levels will guide the next phase. A sustained move above recent highs could extend the rally, while rejection may lead to a consolidation range.

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STRC trading surge drives record volume and signals largest bitcoin purchase since launch

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Strategy’s STRC maintains dividend at 11.5% after steady increases

Stretch (STRC), the perpetual preferred security sold by Strategy (MSTR) to fund its bitcoin purchases, posted record trading volume on Monday, funding the biggest single-day buying splurge through the company’s at-the-market (ATM) program.

The world’s largest publicly traded bitcoin holder is estimated to have added 7,800 BTC, according STRC.live, as STRC volume surged to $1.16 billion, more than four times the 30-day average of $278 million.

This comes after Strategy purchased $1 billion worth of bitcoin last week, funded entirely by STRC, which offers an 11.5% annual dividend, paid monthly in cash. The stock maintained its $100 par value throughout the entire trading session.

Historically, the trading day preceding the ex-dividend date, the cutoff date after which new buyers are no longer entitled to the next dividend payment, tends to see the highest trading volume. That’s Wednesday, so it’s possible trading on Tuesday may be even higher than Monday’s record.

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STRC now has a market capitalization of $6.4 billion, exceeding the combined market cap of the company’s other preferred securities, including STRD at $1.1 billion, STRK at $1 billion, and STRF at $1.2 billion, according to the MSTR dashboard.

The common stock rose 2.9% on Monday and was 3.7% higher in pre-market trading.

Read More: The one metric investors are overlooking in Michael Saylor’s Strategy

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Hyperliquid (HYPE) price continues to surge, targeting $50 Mark

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Toncoin (TON) price heavily oversold as Telegram introduces Vaults in TON Wallet

Key takeaways

  • Hyperliquid is up 8% in the last 24 hours, maintaining its position in the top 10.
  • The coin could rally towards the $50 psychological level if the bullish sentiment persists.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) continues its upward momentum, trading above $44 as of Tuesday after an 8% surge on the previous day. With strengthening on-chain data, favorable derivatives metrics, and technical analysis pointing to further gains, the outlook for HYPE remains bullish, with a target of $50 in sight.

Bullish Sentiment Backed by On-Chain and Derivatives Metrics

On-chain data from CryptoQuant suggests a strong buy-side dominance in both Hyperliquid’s spot and futures markets, with cooling conditions indicating a favorable environment for a potential price rise. The market shows mostly neutral conditions across other metrics, reinforcing the possibility of an upside move.

On the derivatives front, CoinGlass data reveals that HYPE’s futures Open Interest (OI) has surged to $1.96 billion on Tuesday, up from $1.5 billion on April 3. This steady rise in OI points to new capital entering the market, which could propel HYPE’s price higher. This is the highest level of futures OI seen since early November.

Moreover, CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for HYPE stands at 1.04, signaling a predominantly bullish sentiment in the market, as more traders expect the price to rally.

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Price Forecast: HYPE bulls target $50

The HYPE/USD 4-hour chart is extremely bullish and efficient. HYPE’s price has extended its gains, surpassing the March high of $43.75 and reaching above $44 on Tuesday. If the upward trend continues, HYPE could target the October 30 high of $50.15.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is currently at 69, indicating strong bullish momentum as it moves toward overbought territory. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator recently showed a bullish crossover on April 10, further supporting a positive outlook for HYPE.

Should HYPE experience a pullback, it could find support near the psychological $40 level. However, the prevailing market conditions suggest a strong potential for further upside, with $50 being the next major resistance.

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Lib Dems Urge FCA Probe into Farage Over Stack BTC Bitcoin Promotion

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Lib Dems Urge FCA Probe into Farage Over Stack BTC Bitcoin Promotion

UK Liberal Democrats have urged the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to investigate Nigel Farage’s ties to Bitcoin treasury company Stack BTC after it disclosed a 37 Bitcoin purchase and published promotional material featuring the Reform UK leader, who is also a shareholder.

In a letter to the FCA, Liberal Democrat deputy leader Daisy Cooper asked the regulator to investigate whether Farage breached market rules by appearing in a promotional video for Stack BTC while holding a financial stake in the company.

“The FCA must investigate whether Farage’s plans to cash in on Crypto could potentially amount to market abuse and a conflict of interest,” she wrote, adding that “we cannot allow political leaders to treat the financial markets like a personal piggy bank to potentially line their own pockets.”

Stack BTC said Monday that it purchased 37 Bitcoin (BTC) for roughly $2.7 million as part of its treasury strategy. In a video tied to the purchase, Farage said that a Bitcoin treasury company cannot exist without holding Bitcoin.

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The scrutiny adds to questions over the intersection of crypto and UK politics as Farage deepens his involvement with Stack BTC and lawmakers push for tighter rules on digital asset donations to political parties. An FCA spokesperson told Cointelegraph that they will “review the letter and respond directly.”

Cointelegraph reached out to Stack BTC for comment, but had not received a response by publication.

Related: UK sanctions $20B scam market by cutting ‘legitimate’ crypto ties

Farage deepens ties to Stack BTC

Farage, leader of Reform UK, has recently deepened his relationship with Stack BTC. In March, he disclosed a $286,000 equity investment in the company, acquiring a 6.31% stake in the company through his media vehicle Thorn In The Side.

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Stack BTC, chaired by former UK Chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng, holds over 68 BTC purchased at an average cost of $72,400 per coin, according to its website.

Cooper’s letter also references the record 9 million British pounds (about $12 million) donation to Reform UK from early crypto investor Christopher Harborne and Farage’s push for crypto-friendly policies.

“Taken together, these facts beg the question whether Mr Farage is promoting cryptocurrencies through his political platform in order to inflate crypto values for his own financial benefit, as well as that of his party and his inner circle of donors,” she wrote.

Source: Daisey Cooper

Related: UK lawmakers seek moratorium on crypto donations to political parties

UK moves to ban crypto political donations

Last month, the Rycroft Review recommended a moratorium on cryptocurrency donations to political parties, warning they could open the door to foreign financial interference in UK elections. The UK government moved forward with the proposal, with Prime Minister Keir Starmer stating the government will impose a temporary ban on crypto donations until stronger safeguards are in place.

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Several members of parliament, including the chair of the security committee, have been pushing for a full ban this year.

Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026