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Donald Trump Warns US Navy Will Block Strait Of Hormuz

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Donald Trump Warns US Navy Will Block Strait Of Hormuz

The US navy is to blockade the Strait of Hormuz to all ships after talks to end the Iran war collapsed, Donald Trump has announced.

In a post on Truth Social, the US president accused Tehran of “extortion” for charging tolls for oil tankers to use the vital waterway.

Any ships which have paid money to Iran in order to safely sail through the strait will also be hunted down, Trump said.

His comments came after his vice-president JD Vance said that talks between US and Iranian officials in Pakistan had broken down without a peace deal being agreed.

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Trump insisted the talks “went well”, but had broken down over Tehran’s refusal to give up its ambitions to build a nuclear bomb.

He said: “Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz.

“At some point, we will reach an “ALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO IN, ALL BEING ALLOWED TO GO OUT” basis, but Iran has not allowed that to happen by merely saying, “There may be a mine out there somewhere,” that nobody knows about but them.

“THIS IS WORLD EXTORTION, and Leaders of Countries, especially the United States of America, will never be extorted. I have also instructed our Navy to seek and interdict every vessel in International Waters that has paid a toll to Iran. No one who pays an illegal toll will have safe passage on the high seas.”

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Trump said the US navy will destroy any mines which have been laid in the strait, and warned that “any Iranian who fires at us, or at peaceful vessels, will be BLOWN TO HELL”.

“As they promised, they better begin the process of getting this INTERNATIONAL WATERWAY OPEN AND FAST,” he added.

In a separate post, he went on: “Iran will not be allowed to profit off this Illegal Act of EXTORTION. They want money and, more importantly, they want Nuclear.

“Additionally and, at an appropriate moment, we are fully “LOCKED AND LOADED,” and our Military will finish up the little that is left of Iran!”

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Subscribe to Commons People, the podcast that makes politics easy. Every week, Kevin Schofield and Kate Nicholson unpack the week’s biggest stories to keep you informed. Join us for straightforward analysis of what’s going on at Westminster.

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The 11 Best Anti-Chafing Balms, Creams, And Products For Marathon Runners

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The 11 Best Anti-Chafing Balms, Creams, And Products For Marathon Runners

We hope you love the products we recommend! All of them were independently selected by our editors. Just so you know, HuffPost UK may collect a share of sales or other compensation from the links on this page if you decide to shop from them. Oh, and FYI — prices are accurate and items in stock as of time of publication.

When you’ve run a whole damn marathon, you want to show it off. It’s only natural.

But there are certain ways you want to do it; we’re guessing bloody nipples isn’t one of them.

Groin, thigh, and neck chafing is also not on our wishlist of wounds (of course, ideally you’d have none, but that’s what you get for running an abnormally long distance in a few hours).

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Whether you want to avoid feeling like your flesh is exposed to the elements, or your pursuits are more shallow (read: looking good in those medal-bearing pics you’re going to plaster all over your socials), here’s everything you need to avoid chafes, blisters, and wounds when running a marathon.

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5 Gut Health Mistakes A Brain Ageing Expert Would Never Make

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5 Gut Health Mistakes A Brain Ageing Expert Would Never Make

Expert comment provided by Dr Hariom Yadav, an associate professor of neurosurgery and brain repair, who looks at how gut health affects ageing. He is also a scientific advisory board member at WonderBiotics.

You probably already know that good gut health can make everything from your mood to your immune system better.

Some studies have suggested that changes to your gut could reveal dementia risk years before diagnosis, too.

And microbiome researcher Dr Hariom Yadav recently published some research which looked at how microbiome imbalances might affect brain ageing (neurodegeneration).

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Here, we asked Dr Yadav to share why our diet might affect how our minds age, some gut health mistakes he’d never make if he wanted to keep his brain younger for longer, and what we can do to make our odds better.

Why might our gut health affect our brain ageing?

Dr Yadav said, “people always ask me about the brain – memory, focus, dementia risk – and they expect me to talk about brain exercises or supplements. But I always tell them, start with your gut.”

He said that some foods can create weaknesses in our gut lining, leading to inflammation.

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“And where does that inflammation go? It goes everywhere – but the organ that suffers the most, the organ that is most sensitive to inflammation, is your brain. It slows down your neurons. It mimics sleep. That afternoon fog you feel? That is actually a punch to your brain.”

He added, “If you are eating those foods three times a day, every day, for years and years, you are throwing punch after punch at your brain. And one day, those punches add up. That is cognitive decline. That is dementia risk. That is your brain ageing faster than it should.”

What gut health mistakes would Dr Yarav never make?

Dr Yadev said “the mistakes I see people making, over and over” are:

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1) Eating ultra-processed, inflammatory foods regularly

“These are the biggest gut lining destroyers. They disrupt your microbiome, they open up your gut barrier, and they flood your system with inflammation,” he said.

2) Ignoring how you feel after eating

“If you feel sleepy after lunch, do not ignore it. Do not normalise it. Your body is telling you something. Listen to it.”

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3) Not feeding your good gut bacteria

“Your microbiome is like a garden. If you are not putting in fibre, fermented foods, diverse plant-based foods – you are starving the very bacteria that protect your gut lining and regulate your brain communication.”

4) Eating at the wrong time

“Timing matters enormously. Late-night eating, skipping meals, irregular eating patterns – all of these disrupt the gut-brain conversation and throw off the signalling that tells you when to start and stop eating.”

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5) Chronic stress without any management

“Stress directly damages gut integrity. The gut-brain axis works both ways – a stressed brain creates a leaky gut, and a leaky gut stresses the brain. It becomes a vicious cycle.”

How can I help to ensure my brain stays healthier for longer?

Aside from not making these gut “mistakes,” Dr Yadav told us that eating healthily can make a huge difference.

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“When we talk about ageing, people often feel helpless. They think, well, my genes are my genes. My age is my age. There is nothing I can do. But the gut? The microbiome? That is one of the most modifiable systems in the entire human body,” the expert told us.

“I would say conservatively, 60 to 70% of your brain ageing trajectory is modifiable through gut health strategies. Biotics – prebiotics, probiotics, postbiotics – dietary diversity, meal timing, stress management – these are not small things. These are powerful, evidence-backed levers that we can pull every single day.”

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JD Vance vows to terrorise global economy

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JD Vance vows to terrorise global economy

On 12 April, Donald Trump announced his latest plan to open up the Strait of Hormuz. As he said, if Iran wouldn’t un-block the strait, the US would…

…implement a blockade of its own.

So double-blocking it, essentially.

He planned to unblock it by double blocking it.

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This was always a ridiculous plan, and now vice president JD Vance has made things worse:

JD Vance announces United States of Terror

As HG reported for the Canary on 12 April:

Iran has blamed the US for the failure of the ceasefire talks in Islamabad, Pakistan. In response, and in true toddler fashion, ‘President’ Trump threatened a naval blockade if “Iran wont bend”.

How many global powers does it take to blockade the same strait?

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That isn’t a joke; it’s a serious question we apparently need to ask.

 

Why did the ceasefire fail?

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Because it was supposed to be a ceasefire across the Middle East, including Lebanon.

Israel ignored this, however, and intensified the attacks on their northern neighbour.

In the clip above, Vance says:

When it comes to weapons of war, what they have done is engage in this act of economic terrorism against the entire world. They basically threaten any ship that’s moving through the Straits of Hormuz.

The US appears to be struggling to understand the consequences of their unprovoked attack on Iran – Iran retaliating via a blockade.

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The US and Israel launched an illegal war against them, and now they’re doing what they can to prevent Iran collapsing in on itself like Libya or Syria.

Vance continued:

Well, as the President of the United States showed, two can play at that game. And if the Iranians are going to try to engage in economic terrorism, we’re going to abide by a simple principle that no Iranian ships are getting out either.

If the US can understand this logic, they can understand why Iran closed the strait in the first place.

There’s a simple pathway to ending all this, and it’s to end the hostilities now.

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That includes the hostilities carried out by Israel.

What’s going on?

The allegiance between the US and Israel is coming at increasingly greater costs – a staggering amount of money sent the way of the genocidaires, unending support, and a humiliating extended defeat to Iran.

At some point, America needs to tell them no.

According to vice president JD Vance, however, that day is not today.

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And we’re all going to suffer as a result.

Featured image via Fox News

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Reform candidate wants to destroy the NHS

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Reform candidate wants to destroy the NHS

Increasingly, Reform UK’s lineup for the local elections looks like something out of the Monster Mash. The latest horrorshow we’re drawing your attention to is James Bembridge. Much like Nigel Farage, Bembridge has stated a desire to get rid of the publicly run NHS.

You know – that thing we all rely on to live:

Oh, sorry, you thought that Reform UK were running ‘salt of the earth’ candidates?

No, no – they said they’re running ‘salt the earth’ candidates.

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Good luck if the earth they’re salting is the same that you happen to live on.

Reform on the NHS: “hate is too weak a word”

James Bembridge is the deputy editor of Country Squire magazine. We’re sure Reform’s working class voters know this already, because they’re all avid readers.

If you’re wondering how his work reads, here’s a sample:

‘Just write,’ my editor said.

What a load of Woman’s-Weekly-self-helping bollocks.

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Did Monet just paint? Did Whitney Houston just sing? Did Jemma Jameson just wiggle that tremendous arse of hers? I think not. That arse made men pawns to her star, just as my writing will make –

‘You’re disgusting!’ some small, hen-faced woman says, and I realise I’m thinking aloud again – in Bloomsbury Street of all places.

Dreadful, isn’t it?

The sort of migraine-inducing stuff that makes you glad we have a free-to-use medical service.

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It was Reform Party UK Exposed who drew attention to Bembridge’s opinions on the NHS. They’ve also exposed Bembridge for defending Tommy Robinson (a far-right activist that Reform generally distance themselves from):

You’ll note Bembridge looks like a Doctor Who-style regeneration of the guy from the Crystal Maze (that or a British One-Punch Man). Unlike everything else in this piece, that isn’t a criticism:

Getting back to the criticism, this guy is properly evil:

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Other problematic Reform candidates include the following:

Public health

Unlike Bembridge, most people in the UK don’t want a private insurance system.

graph showing most people support the nationalisation of utilities and other key industries

Using the US as an example, there are two key reasons why we shouldn’t go anywhere near an insurance-based system.

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The first issue is one that most people are aware of. When you have an insurance based system of health, your citizens end up trapped beneath mountains of debt. As Health System Tracker note:

analysis shows that 20 million people (nearly 1 in 12 adults) owe medical debt. The SIPP survey suggests people in the United States owe at least $220 billion in medical debt. Approximately 14 million people (6% of adults) in the U.S. owe over $1,000 in medical debt and about 3 million people (1% of adults) owe medical debt of more than $10,000. While medical debt occurs across demographic groups, people with disabilities or in worse health, lower-income people, and uninsured people are more likely to have medical debt.

Medical debt bankruptcy by country

The second and most shocking issue is the US pays more per head for their healthcare.

That’s right; we’re not saying the US pays more overall; we’re saying more per head.

Despite US citizens having to arrange their own health insurance, the government still – somehow – ends up paying more to prop up their system than we do on a person-to-person basis.

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The sick party

Saying you want to swap the NHS for a Yank-style system is like saying you want to swap your working car for a wheelless junker.

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We’ll be the first to admit the NHS is in a sorry state of affairs following years of ideologically-driven austerity. The solution to that problem isn’t to replace it with the worst system imaginable, though; it’s to properly fund the NHS.

The country squires don’t worry about losing the NHS because they know they won’t be the ones to suffer.

Featured image via Reform UK

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Gov. Brian Kemp’s big tent pitch for a fractured Republican Party

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Gov. Brian Kemp’s big tent pitch for a fractured Republican Party

Gov. Brian Kemp’s big tent pitch for a fractured Republican Party

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Is White Rice Bad For You?

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If you’re focused on heart health, the lack of fiber is a big downside to loading your plate with white rice.

Rice is a staple food for more than half of the world’s population, thanks to its availability and affordability. Most of the rice produced in the US is of the white, long-grain variety, which has a reputation for being unhealthy. But is white rice actually bad for you? And what if you, like billions of people, eat rice every day?

As it turns out, white rice can be part of a healthy diet, so long as you combine it with nutrient-dense foods. Below, we talked to experts about the nutritional facts of white rice and how this popular and versatile grain can affect your health.

White Rice Is Mainly A Source Of Energy

“Even though we’re told to eat more whole grains, like brown rice, that doesn’t mean white rice is lacking in nutrition,” Amanda Sauceda, a registered dietitian and gut health nutritionist, told HuffPost. One cup of unenriched, long-grain white rice, cooked and unsalted, contains approximately 45 grams of carbohydrates, 4 grams of protein, less than 0.5 grams of fat and less than 1 gram of fibre.

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Along with providing a quick source of energy, white rice is easy to digest, which can be helpful if you’re recovering from an illness or engaging in physical activity. And although rice is low in fat, it does have some drawbacks. “Unenriched white rice contains relatively small amounts of vitamins and minerals because the bran and germ, where most micronutrients are located, are removed during processing,” explained Qianzhi Jiang, a pediatric and family dietitian at The Nutrition Changer.

However, most of the rice consumed in the US is enriched with nutrients such as iron, folic acid and B vitamins, including thiamin, riboflavin, niacin and vitamin B6. “Eating rice daily is not inherently harmful, but potential risks depend on portion size, dietary balance and the type of rice consumed,” she said.

Michelle Routhenstein, a preventive cardiology dietitian and certified diabetes educator, added that filling your plate with rice could mean that you’re missing out on other nutrient-dense foods like vegetables, legumes and whole grains, which provide more fibre, magnesium, potassium, antioxidants and heart-protective nutrients. As with any diet, it’s best to aim for balance and variety while considering your health needs.

If you’re focused on heart health, the lack of fiber is a big downside to loading your plate with white rice.
If you’re focused on heart health, the lack of fiber is a big downside to loading your plate with white rice.

Eat Rice With Your Health Needs And Goals In Mind

Brain Health

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White rice provides glucose, the brain’s main energy source. Enriched rice and brown rice additionally supply some B vitamins that support neurological functioning that regular white rice doesn’t, Jiang said. However, you can just as easily obtain these vitamins from berries, leafy greens and starchy vegetables like sweet potatoes. In addition, “diets high in refined carbohydrates like white rice may contribute to blood sugar fluctuations, which over time can affect metabolic health and cognitive function,” she said.

If you regularly eat large quantities of white rice, you might be missing out on omega-3 fats, antioxidants and B vitamins, which support brain health. “In practice, rice works best as a neutral base for meals that include nutrient-dense foods like vegetables, legumes, nuts and lean proteins,” she said. “Other grains I like to mix with or use instead of white rice in traditional Chinese meals are wild rice, millet and barley.”

Immune Health

Whether you’re concerned about a chronic illness or cold and flu season, eating rice daily has some downsides. “Diets dominated by refined grains may be lower in nutrients like zinc, magnesium and antioxidants, which are important for immune function,” Jiang said. “White rice alone contributes few immune-supportive phytochemicals compared with whole grains or vegetables.” Phytochemicals protect plants against bacteria and viruses and may offer similar benefits to people.

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That said, enriched rice contains iron and B vitamins, which support immune cell function and energy metabolism. Plus, if you’re sick, rice is gentle on your stomach. Another way to boost antioxidants is to add leafy greens, broccoli, peppers or mushrooms, Routhenstein said.

Heart Health

If you’re focused on heart health, the lack of fibre is a big downside to loading your plate with white rice. “Fibre plays an important role in helping lower LDL cholesterol and supporting overall cardiovascular health,” Routhenstein said. Another concern is blood sugar spikes. “Over time, repeated spikes in blood glucose and insulin can contribute to inflammation and damage to blood vessels, which may accelerate the process of plaque buildup in the arteries,” she explained.

Still, a heart-healthy diet doesn’t mean ruling out rice. Since it’s naturally low in sodium and fat, rice can serve as a base for heart-supportive foods like vegetables, beans and fish, she said. She recommended choosing brown rice, quinoa or farro. “These whole grains provide more fibre along with nutrients like magnesium and potassium, which play a role in blood pressure regulation and cardiovascular health,” she added.

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Digestive Health

Current dietary guidelines recommend that people aged 2 and older consume 14 grams of fibre for every 1,000 calories. For reference, a cup of instant oatmeal contains 4 grams of fibre. “Most people are not meeting these goals, and this can contribute to constipation,” Sauceda said. “If you’re eating a lot of white rice and not many fibre-rich foods, this can affect your gut health.”

For better results, she suggested allowing your rice to cool. “When rice and other starchy foods like potatoes are cooked and cooled, some resistant starch forms, which acts like fibre in that it resists digestion and benefits your blood sugar,” she explained. Violeta Morris, a registered dietitian at The Concierge Dietitian, agreed, adding that brown rice is a good choice for slowing digestion. In addition, “fibre from plant foods helps feed the good bacteria in our intestines,” she said.

Another way to increase your fibre intake is to mix white rice with other grains. Sauceda suggested combining brown and white rice or adding starchy grains such as lentils or quinoa. Jiang suggested cooking rice with mung beans, adzuki beans, sweet potatoes or winter squash for added flavor and nutrients.

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Gluten Sensitivities

If you have a gluten sensitivity or celiac disease, you can still enjoy rice since it’s naturally gluten-free. “However, a gluten-free diet that relies heavily on refined grains may lack fibre and nutrients such as magnesium and potassium that are protective against chronic disease,” Routhenstein said. “Instead of eliminating rice, a better strategy is to build a more balanced plate.”

She suggested incorporating gluten-free whole grains such as brown rice, wild rice, quinoa and buckwheat to increase fibre intake and nutrient diversity. If gluten is an issue, you’ll want to avoid farro. “You can also mix rice with lentils or beans to increase protein and fibre,” she said.

Diabetes Management

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If you have diabetes or insulin resistance, eating large servings of white rice can make it harder to manage your blood sugar. “White rice has a higher glycemic index, meaning it can raise blood sugar relatively quickly when eaten on its own or in large portions,” Routhenstein said. Following this spike, your blood sugar can drop, leading to tiredness, fatigue and increased hunger after a meal that is already high in calories, Morris said.

In a systematic review, researchers found that people who ate the most white rice had a slightly higher risk of developing type 2 diabetes. “For every additional 150 grams (about 3/4 cup of cooked rice) consumed per day, the risk of type 2 diabetes increased by about 6%, with a slightly higher risk observed in women,” she said.

Fortunately, there are ways to manage your blood sugar while still enjoying rice. For instance, pay attention to the order in which you eat. “Continuous glucose monitor data shows that eating fibre-rich vegetables and proteins, such as chicken or fish, first and saving the rice for last may help reduce the rise in blood sugar after the meal,” Morris said. She also recommended reducing your portion size to half a cup of cooked rice, whether it’s white or brown, or swapping rice for half a cup of beans or lentils.

Combining white rice with other nutrient-dense foods (like vegetables) can offset what it lacks in nutrition.

Annie Japaud via Getty Images

Combining white rice with other nutrient-dense foods (like vegetables) can offset what it lacks in nutrition.

Along with smaller portion sizes, Routhenstein suggested including fiber, lean protein and healthy fats, for example, by eating vegetables, beans, tofu, chicken or fish. “Choosing whole-grain varieties like brown rice also provides more fiber, magnesium and resistant starch, which can help slow digestion and support better blood sugar control,” she said. She also suggested cooling cooked rice to improve your blood sugar response.

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Another helpful strategy is walking after a meal. “Even a 10- to 15-minute walk after eating can help your body use glucose for energy, improve digestion and support better blood sugar control,” Morris added.

Cancer Prevention

Compared to whole grains, white rice contains very little fibre and plant compounds. “Some studies link higher refined grain intake with poorer metabolic health, which may indirectly influence cancer risk,” Jiang said. Another concern is that rice can accumulate arsenic. At high levels, arsenic is linked to cardiovascular disease, although researchers did not find higher rates of heart disease, inflammation or blood vessel problems in people who ate one or more servings of rice per day, Morris said.

In addition, inorganic arsenic is a known carcinogen (cancer-causing agent), Jiang said. The levels of inorganic arsenic in US rice are generally not regulated. Although rice itself is not a carcinogen, frequent consumption, especially among children, may modestly increase exposure to arsenic. “Prolonged arsenic exposure has been linked to skin lesions, cardiovascular diseases and gastrointestinal disorders,” she said.

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However, you can reduce the arsenic level in rice by rinsing rice before cooking and using and discarding excess water in the cooking process. “While typical dietary exposure from rice in the US is considered low risk, diversifying grains can reduce cumulative exposure,” she said. “When consumed in moderation as part of balanced meals with vegetables, legumes and healthy fats, rice can fit into healthy dietary patterns associated with lower cancer risk.”

Bone Health

To stay strong and rigid, our bones need magnesium. “A 45-gram serving of brown rice has 12% of your daily value of magnesium, while white rice has only 2%,” Sauceda said. In addition, uncooked brown rice contains 303mg of phosphorus compared to 108mg in white rice.

Joint Health

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If you have achy or swollen joints, you’ll want to avoid refined grains. “A diet that’s higher in refined grains can encourage more inflammation in the body, which could negatively impact your joint health,” Sauceda said. “When eating for joint health, focus on antioxidants that have anti-inflammatory properties, which you find in brown, black and red rice.”

Vision Health

“Regular white rice usually does not contain vitamin A, which is important for vision health,” Morris said. Scientists have developed Golden Rice, which contains beta-carotene, a nutrient that the body can convert into vitamin A. Golden Rice isn’t commonly available in the US, but grocery stores sell enriched and unenriched varieties. “I recommend enriched rice, since it helps replace some of the nutrients lost during processing,” she said.

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Politics Home Article | UK’s first net zero port

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UK’s first net zero port
UK’s first net zero port

Next stop – the world’s first high-volume green shipping corridor, says The Port of Dover.

Port of Dover has achieved its highly ambitious net zero Scope 1 and 2 target, ‘Target 2025’, positioning it as the first UK port to reach net zero.

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It has done so an incredible five years ahead of any other UK port and 25 years ahead of the Government’s own maritime net zero target.

Since 2007, Dover’s carbon emissions for Scope 1 and 2 have fallen dramatically by a staggering 98.3%, with the residual 1.7% of emissions being offset through an approved local regenerative farming scheme. 

The Port’s announcement has come after emissions were independently verified against ISO 14064: 2018 and the GHG Protocol Corporate Accounting and Reporting Standard to ensure accuracy.

Operating on one of the busiest shipping corridors in the world, the Port of Dover / Short Straits system accounts for eight percent of all UK international maritime emissions, so this news is a major step forward for the future of maritime decarbonisation.

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That importance, and the disproportionate benefits that the shortest sea crossing delivers for Britain and its single biggest trading partner, means that there is a fantastic opportunity for the Port, in partnership with government, to demonstrate significant global leadership in maritime decarbonisation and avoid future UK, European and global carbon levies.

Decarbonising the Short Straits is not, however, just about doing the right thing for the planet, as important as that is for the port.  It will keep consumer and supply chain prices down at a time of ongoing pressure on energy prices and the wider cost of living, reflecting the crucial role that Dover plays for the whole nation.

With 130 ferry movements a day facilitating £144 billion of trade per annum – that’s a third of the UK’s trade in goods with the EU – ‘Target 2025’ represents a key milestone on Port of Dover’s mission to establish the Short Straits as the world’s first high-volume Green Shipping Corridor.

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On its journey to leadership on the global stage, the port has already been recognised by the Ecoports Port Environmental Review System, the main environmental management standard of the European ports sector.

“Dover’s leadership sets an inspiring example for all other ports across Europe and beyond.” (Tim Verhoeven, EcoPorts Coordinator)

There is incredible pride at the port, particularly in the way its in-house environment team have implemented modern and forward-thinking assets, sustainable processes and progressive behaviours across all areas of the port to get here.  This has given Dover the tools for its customers, partners and internal stakeholders to follow. 

One such example is the Port’s SEA (Safety and Environment Awareness) Award, a Dover-created initiative which recognises cruise lines that minimise their environmental footprint whilst in port through emissions reduction and recycling.

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Dover’s committed sustainability drive is an essential part of its masterplan to 2050, helping to protect the UK’s competitiveness and drive economic growth, whilst future-proofing its operation and business on the UK’s key trade artery.

The Port’s longer-term ambitions require strong partnerships with industry and government, and the Port is already working hard with both.  Its Scope 1 and 2 achievements have, nevertheless, all been accomplished through its own drive and determination to champion sustainable maritime trade and travel through a range of targeted measures.  These have included the use of alternative fuels, renewable energy generation and efficiency initiatives.

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The House Opinion Article | The Professor Will See You Now: Ageing

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The Professor Will See You Now: Ageing
The Professor Will See You Now: Ageing

Illustration by Tracy Worrall


4 min read

Lessons in political science. This week: ageing

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As politicians get older, they talk less about the future. That’s the key finding from an article forthcoming in the Journal of Politics, based on analysis of parliamentary debates in Australia, Canada, Ireland and the UK.

Sentences spoken in debate were classified depending on whether they focused on the past, the present, or the future. To do this, a team of researchers initially coded a sample by hand, and then – using the data from that exercise – trained a computer program to code the rest automatically. This allowed an impressive scale of analysis: the British data alone draws on 709 million words spoken in the Commons, back to the 1940s; there are around 900 million words of text from the other three countries.

Overall, politicians mostly talk about the here and now; 64 per cent of all sentences spoken in the Commons since the 1940s have been about the present. The past accounts for 23 per cent, with the future just 13 per cent. But the future focus of speeches declines with increasing age. The decline is shallow before a politician hits 65, but it becomes much steeper thereafter. The effect is at its most extreme in Australia, and less sharp in Ireland, but it was evident in all four countries.

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Yet although older legislators talk less about the future, it’s not because they are banging on about the glories of the past. If we take the UK as an example, the proportion of past-focused speech increases until roughly 45 and plateaus after that.

And some good news, I think: “Ministers in our data tend to talk more about the future than backbenchers.” That’s all those targets and missions.

As someone who recently pondered how many general elections he might have left in him – like a psephological J Alfred Prufrock measuring out my life in parliaments – I wonder whether this effect is specific to politicians or more general; perhaps we all become less future-focused once we’ve realised that most of the sand is in the bottom of the hour glass.

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Either way, interesting as it is, I’m less convinced it matters hugely in substantive terms, because although the effect is clear it isn’t all that large. At its maximum, there’s about five percentage points difference comparing the oldest politicians to the youngest. Plus, the percentage of parliamentarians over 65, when the effect becomes steepest, is relatively small, at least in the UK. Still, if we want more politicians who look to the future, rather than the short term, then we need fewer oldies.

Relatedly, some research published recently in the Policy Studies Journal shows that when a politician talks about the short term, the British public thinks that means around a couple of years; “long term” typically means something in the range of five to 10 years. Those figures vary little across party lines, age groups, and such like.

In electoral terms, then, the public’s view of the short term is roughly the first half of any parliament; the long term is two parliaments. This government‘s short term is therefore coming to an end very soon.

You are a bright bunch, and so you will see the broader issue here. Lots of public policy takes a lot longer than even 10 years to come to fruition. To take one example: the government recently announced new reservoirs, the first to be built since the 1990s; the initial two are planned to come online in 2036 and 2040, with nine by 2050, some 25 years after the announcement. Another example: the all-England coastal path inaugurated by the King last month was initiated during the government of Gordon Brown; it took 18 years and seven prime ministers. This is less a case of jam tomorrow, rather jam at some point in the far-off distant future. 

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Further reading: C Hanretty et al, Legislators talk less about the future as they age, The Journal of Politics (2026); M Barnfield et al, Long-Term Time Horizons and Support for Public Investment. Policy Studies Journal (2026)

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Politics Home | Switzerland restored trust in its asylum system. What can the UK learn?

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Switzerland restored trust in its asylum system. What can the UK learn?
Switzerland restored trust in its asylum system. What can the UK learn?

Denmark is widely reported as the model for the UK to follow as the government resets its asylum system. Other European countries like Switzerland also offer a helpful case study in regaining the public’s trust

Like other European countries, the United Kingdom faces twin pressures of meeting its legal obligations to people seek­ing asylum while responding to public concern about cost, capacity and local impact. Accommodating those arriving in the UK sits at the heart of this challenge – highly visible, operation­ally complex and central to both those housed in it and maintaining public trust.

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Over the course of three decades, Serco has provided immigration services across the asylum system on behalf of governments. Not just in the UK, but in Switzerland, Germany and other coun­tries around the world. Our experience says that the best asylum systems are grounded in fairness, safety and value for money – both for local communities and for the people being accommodated.

That’s why we support the UK govern­ment’s plan to exit hotels. They were never designed to be a long-term answer. Since the peak in 2023, we have halved the number of asylum hotels in use across the regions we operate. But what is the long-term solution? How can we be flexible to changing flows while delivering value for taxpayers?

A new report by the Social Market Foundation (SMF), sponsored by Serco, shows how Switzerland has overcome these pressures and reformed its asylum process to generate a faster, fairer and firmer approach.

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What differs from the UK is that, upon arrival, claimants are accommodated in larger asylum centres – either purpose-built centres or retrofitted former hospitals, offices and former student accommoda­tion – evenly spread across the country. Located alongside them are officials to process claims, legal advisers and welfare support services. Everyone is accessible; everything needed to resolve a claim is under one roof. That means people can be processed more quickly – a maximum target of 140 days. Those deemed eligi­ble for asylum are then dispersed into communities, while those with no right to remain are removed.

The report by the SMF highlights how accommodation can support the objectives of the asylum system as a whole – enabling faster decision making, better access to services and clearer tran­sitions through the process, ultimately reducing the pressure often felt by local communities. In Switzerland, Serco deliv­ers asylum accommodation on behalf of federal and cantonal governments across over 50 per cent of the country.

Operating in Switzerland, in Germany and previously in Australia gives us valu­able lessons to share. That experience matters if we are to develop long-term sustainable solutions. It means we under­stand not just what works on paper, but what can be delivered at pace, at scale and in partnership with communities. Today, our role is clear: to provide safe, decent accommodation while claims are determined, and to support government ambitions to move away from hotels towards more sustainable solutions.

Looking ahead, exiting hotels is an important milestone, not the end goal. The real prize is a long-term accommodation system that is resilient, cost-ef­fective and publicly credible, built through learning from international practice and a relentless focus on deliv­ery, by experienced delivery partners working with communities.

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To find out more about the Swiss role model report, please click here.

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Aimee Lou Wood To Host SNL UK A Year After Drama With US Show

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Aimee Lou Wood To Host SNL UK A Year After Drama With US Show

The next two hosts of Saturday Night Live UK have been unveiled.

After reaching the halfway point of the season over the weekend, SNL UK is taking a scheduled break this Saturday, and will return on 25 April with Nicola Coughlan as its guest presenter.

Nicola previously made two brief appearances in the first SNL UK live broadcast, first joining inaugural host Tina Fey during her comedy monologue and later sharing the screen with cast member George Fouracres in one particularly popular sketch.

It’s also been confirmed that Aimee Lou Wood will front the sketch comedy a week after the Derry Girls star.

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News of the White Lotus actor’s presenting stint notably comes one year after she called out the US version of Saturday Night Live, over its depiction of her in a parody sketch.

Back in April 2025, SNL comedian Sarah Sherman donned fake teeth and attempted an exaggerated Manchester accent in a political White Lotus parody skit, during which she remarked: “Flouride? What’s that?”

The Bafta winner claimed on Instagram at the time that she’d found the sketch “mean and unfunny”, writing: “Take the piss for sure – that’s what the show is about – but there must be a cleverer, more nuanced, less cheap way?”

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“I have big gap teeth, not bad teeth,” she went on to say. “I don’t mind caricature – I understand that’s what SNL is. But the rest of the skit was punching up and I/Chelsea was the only one punched down on.”

Aimee later claimed she’d received flowers as an apology from Sarah Sherman, before admitting that she felt the fall-out from the SNL sketch, and her comments about it, had grown “very out of control”.

SNL UK has also confirmed Foo Fighters and Meek as its musical guests for Nicola and Amy’s episodes, respectively.

Despite initial scepticism, the first season of SNL UK has proved to be a success for Sky, both in terms of viewing figures and critical reception.

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Tina Fey, Jamie Dornan, Riz Ahmed and Jack Whitehall hosted the first four episodes of the season, which was boosted from six episodes to eight before it began airing.

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