Crypto World
BNB price reclaims 4th spot from XRP
The BNB price reclaimed fourth place in the global crypto market cap rankings from XRP on Tuesday as seven straight months of XRP losses combined with BNB’s completed 34th quarterly burn and a broad Tuesday market rally pushed Binance’s native token back ahead in a race that has changed hands multiple times since March.
Summary
- BNB is trading around $613, down approximately 55 percent from its October 2025 high of $1,370, but the completed 34th quarterly burn removed 1.72 million BNB worth approximately $1.28 billion from circulation, reinforcing the deflationary mechanics that have historically supported price recovery.
- XRP’s seven-month decline following its July 2025 peak at $3.65 and the Iran-war-driven macro environment that has kept risk assets under pressure gave BNB the sustained momentum gap it needed to retake fourth place after XRP had briefly held it following the March 17 SEC and CFTC commodity classification.
- InvestingHaven projects BNB could trade between $590 and $900 throughout 2026 with potential peaks above $1,100 during strong bullish phases, while Coinpedia separately targets $1,000 by Q3 following the quarterly burn’s deflationary impact.
GlobeNewswire’s April 14 report confirmed the ranking shift, noting that BNB Chain handled 15 million daily transactions in Q1 2026 and that Kyrgyzstan has selected the network to host its national stablecoin with BNB included in a sovereign crypto reserve. The fourth-place ranking carries institutional significance beyond price: it determines which assets get tracked by index funds, which ETF products get approved first, and which assets are included in institutional compliance frameworks. BNB has held that position through multiple cycles and is now fighting to make the hold permanent.
The BNB versus XRP race has been one of the tightest and most volatile market cap battles of 2026, with the margin between the two assets rarely exceeding a few billion dollars in either direction.
The 34th quarterly burn is the most direct mechanical support for the analyst price targets. By removing 1.72 million tokens worth $1.28 billion from the total supply, the burn reduces the denominator in BNB’s value equation at a time when demand from BNB Chain’s 15 million daily transactions, opBNB’s Layer-2 activity, and sovereign reserve adoption is stable. The $900 level that InvestingHaven identifies as the top of its 2026 range corresponds to a roughly 47 percent gain from current prices, which is achievable within the year if the macro environment turns risk-on following a resolution to the Iran war.
What BNB Chain’s 2026 Technical Roadmap Adds to the Thesis
BNB Chain’s published 2026 roadmap targets 20,000 transactions per second and sub-second finality through software optimizations and a new Rust-based client. The opBNB Fourier hard fork already cut Layer-2 block time to 250 milliseconds. These infrastructure improvements are designed to attract DeFi and AI-based projects that need fast, low-cost execution. If they deliver developer adoption at scale, the demand for BNB as the network’s gas and settlement token grows organically alongside usage.
What XRP’s Path Back to Fourth Looks Like
XRP’s commodity classification from the SEC and CFTC in March and the CLARITY Act markup expected in late April remain the two catalysts most likely to push XRP back ahead of BNB in market cap. The ranking battle ultimately tracks which asset gets more institutional capital, and that question in 2026 is almost entirely a regulatory variable that CLARITY Act passage would resolve decisively in XRP’s favor.
Bitcoin’s addressable market has the potential to surpass the $34 trillion gold market if it is eventually widely used as both a currency and a store of value, according to Bitwise’s chief investment officer Matt Hougan.
Hougan said on Tuesday that while Bitcoin (BTC) has been seen as a contender to gold, the war in Iran has shown that Bitcoin can also serve in a “currency-like manner,”, referring to Iran’s proposed plan to charge a toll that can be paid in crypto for ships to navigate the Strait of Hormuz.
“In a world where countries have weaponized their financial rails, Bitcoin is emerging as an apolitical alternative,” Hougan said.
“It tells you that Bitcoin’s total addressable market is probably a lot bigger than the… gold market alone.”
Hougan previously predicted that if Bitcoin captures even 17% of the store-of-value market over the next decade, it could reach $1 million a coin. Taking a role as an international currency would likely see it go much higher.
“If Bitcoin starts to take on a dual role as both a store of value, like gold, and an actual currency, like the dollar, we may need to revise our targets higher.”
Bitcoin is trading around $74,500 with a market capitalization of roughly $1.4 trillion, according to CoinGecko. Gold is trading for $4,854 an ounce, and its market cap is estimated to be more than $33.7 trillion as of Wednesday.
Related: Bitcoin bounces to $72.5K as markets react to US Strait of Hormuz blockade
Bitcoin is already functioning as a store of value for people in high-inflation economies.
Citizens of Argentina, Turkey, and Venezuela have experienced persistent inflation and currency collapses, prompting many to switch to Bitcoin and protect their wealth.
A January Coinbase survey found that 87% of Argentinians flagged crypto and blockchain technology as a way to enhance their financial independence, while nearly three in four respondents saw crypto as a solution to challenges like inflation.
Bitcoin has also seen adoption by corporates looking to bolster their balance sheets.
Private and public companies tracked by BitBo collectively hold more than 1.5 million Bitcoin valued at more than $116 billion.
However, Bitcoin has also grown as a payment method, with academic publishing company Springer Nature identifying about 11,000 merchants globally using BTC Map data that currently accept Bitcoin as a form of payment.
Magazine: Bitcoin quantum-safe without upgrade? CZ’s 2031 crypto vision: Hodler’s Digest
The Ethereum Foundation announced a joint initiative with audit providers to subsidize security audit costs for Ethereum builders.
The Ethereum Foundation announced an audit subsidy program on Tuesday designed to reduce the cost of security audits for Ethereum builders. The joint initiative with audit providers aims to make security audits more accessible to projects within the ecosystem while strengthening overall security standards.
Security audits are considered a best practice in the Ethereum ecosystem but remain expensive, creating a barrier for many builders. The subsidy program directly addresses this friction point by making professional security reviews more affordable for developers building on Ethereum.
Sources: Ethereum Foundation
This article was generated automatically by The Defiant’s AI news system from publicly available sources.
Cypherpunk Jameson Lopp and five co-authors from the Bitcoin quantum security space have proposed freezing quantum-vulnerable coins on the Bitcoin network, including Satoshi’s $74 billion stash, to prevent them from being stolen once quantum computers become available.
The move is the second part of a three-stage proposal under BIP-361 called the “Post Quantum Migration and Legacy Signature Sunset,” which was posted as a draft to GitHub on Tuesday.
It addresses a major risk to Bitcoin — the potential use of quantum computers to steal roughly 1.7 million BTC locked in early P2PK addresses, including Satoshi’s stash, which are not quantum-proof.
In the wrong hands, these coins could significantly undermine the value of the network.
Three phases to quantum security
BIP-361 builds on BIP-360, released in February, which proposed a soft fork for a new output type called pay-to-Merkle-root (P2MR). It works similarly to Bitcoin’s existing Taproot (P2TR) addresses but with the quantum-vulnerable key path removed.
While BIP-360 protects new coins going forward, it does not address the roughly 34% of the supply that remains vulnerable unless it is transferred to new addresses.
BIP-361 proposes that three years after activation, phase A of the proposal would prevent any new BTC from being sent to old-style addresses, with all users on quantum-resistant address types.
The second phase (B) would invalidate old-style signatures and any Bitcoin still sitting in vulnerable addresses becomes effectively frozen five years after activation.
Related: Bitcoin can be made quantum-safe without protocol upgrade: Researcher
Phase C provides a potential rescue mechanism using zero-knowledge proofs, allowing people who missed the deadline but still have their seed phrase to recover frozen funds.
The authors described it as a “private incentive to upgrade” because lost or frozen coins only make everyone else’s coins worth slightly more, whereas quantum-recovered coins make everyone else’s worth less.
“This is not an offensive attack, rather, it is defensive: our thesis is that the Bitcoin ecosystem wishes to defend itself and its interests against those who would prefer to do nothing and allow a malicious actor to destroy both value and trust.”
Bitcoin community pushes back
However, the proposal would render some existing UTXOs unspendable by their owners if they fail to upgrade, which some have seen as a significant philosophical departure from Bitcoin’s ethos.
Bitcoin protocol developer and researcher Mark Erhardt, who shared BIP-361 on X on Tuesday, was met with community pushback and comments such as “this quantum proposal is highly authoritarian and confiscatory … there is no good rationale for forcing the upgrade and rendering old spends invalid.”
Bitcoin Magazine editor Brian Trollz rejected the proposal outright, TFTC founder Marty Bent called it “laughable,” and Phil Geiger, head of business development at Metaplanet, quipped, “We have to steal people’s money to prevent their money from being stolen.”
Cointelegraph reached out to Lopp for comments, but did not get an immediate response.
Magazine: Nobody knows if quantum-secure cryptography will even work
A high-stakes negotiation over stablecoin yields is shaping the path forward for the Senate’s crypto market structure bill, with lawmakers racing to clear a stalemate that has stretched since the House passed the CLARITY Act in July. Senator Thom Tillis signaled he would release a draft agreement this week aimed at resolving a central dispute: whether third parties, including crypto exchanges, should be allowed to pay stablecoin yields to users. The draft’s reception by both banks and the crypto industry will likely determine whether a broader compromise can finally move the legislation toward floor consideration.
The draft has already been circulated to banking and crypto representatives, according to people familiar with the matter cited by Politico. Initial reactions included pushback from the banking side, which worries that full text is needed to gauge the practical consequences of any yield-related prohibitions. Tillis acknowledged that the document is still evolving and stressed that the group is negotiating against a backdrop of concerns about deposit flight tied to yield programs. “Directionally, it has been instructed by what we consider to be the legitimate issues that we have around deposit flight when we’re talking about yield,” Tillis told Politico.
Key takeaways
- Sen. Thom Tillis intends to publicly release a draft agreement this week that addresses the Senate’s crypto market structure bill and a contentious ban on third-party stablecoin yield payments.
- Banking and crypto groups have expressed concerns about the proposed language, and a full text release is seen as essential for meaningful negotiations.
- The talks have been mediated by the White House, with at least three meetings held to bridge gaps between the sectors.
- Stablecoin yields remain a practical and revenue-critical component for many crypto platforms, complicating policy choices about how yield payments should be treated under banking and securities laws.
- If consensus remains elusive, Tillis says another round of negotiations could occur, potentially marking the fourth government-led mediation effort on the issue.
Draft could unlock a long-standing impasse on yields
The Senate’s crypto market structure bill is designed to outline how the nation’s primary financial regulators—namely the two major federal watchdogs—would oversee the crypto sector. Its chances of advancement depend in part on resolving a central dispute: whether third parties, including exchanges, may offer yield payments on stablecoins or whether such activity should be curtailed or banned altogether. The prospect of a prohibition has been a sticking point since early conversations intensified earlier in the year.
Advocates for a broader, clearer regulatory framework argue that stablecoins — and the incentives around their yields — intersect with traditional banking and savings behavior in ways that could affect deposit stability and consumer protection. Banks and financial incumbents fear yield programs could intensify deposit flight, potentially destabilizing bank balance sheets and prompting risk management concerns. In contrast, crypto industry participants have pushed for clearer guardrails that would allow legitimate yield activities to continue under a predictable regulatory regime, rather than a blanket restriction that could push operations overseas or into a more uncertain gray area.
Tillis’s comments underscore a willingness to adjust the draft as negotiations proceed. He noted progress on anti-evasion provisions but indicated that enforcement language remains a work in progress. With the White House having hosted multiple meetings between the groups, the process has been shaped not only by lawmakers but by executive-branch engagement intended to surface workable compromises rather than political theatrics. The goal, as described by Tillis, is to land on a “mark” — a final set of provisions that both sides can accept and that lawmakers can advance to a vote.
Industry tensions: what’s in play and why it matters
Stablecoin yields are a practical business line for crypto platforms, representing a channel through which users earn returns on their digital dollars. Banks view such yield payments through the lens of traditional financial stability and supervision, arguing that third-party yield offerings can complicate customer behavior around savings, liquidity, and the movement of deposits. The core concern is depositor discipline and the potential for destabilizing flows that could spill over into the broader regulated banking system.
Crypto industry participants counter that clear, enforceable rules are preferable to opaque or ad hoc prohibitions. They argue that a well-defined framework could bring stablecoins and their yield mechanisms under accountability without forcing projects to relocate out of the United States or shutter legitimate financial services. The ongoing dialogue, including White House mediation, reflects a broader policy question: how to balance rapid financial innovation with prudent oversight. The outcome could influence how exchanges and other service providers structure stablecoin programs for the foreseeable future.
The evolving draft has already drawn scrutiny from observers who remind markets that the bill’s trajectory could affect more than the yield debate. A stable regulatory environment that clarifies which actors can provide yield and under what conditions can reduce uncertainty for issuers, users, and institutional participants. Conversely, a restrictive stance may curb experimentation and push some yield initiatives underground, creating potential compliance challenges.
Next steps: where the process goes from here
With Tillis indicating openness to further changes, the immediate question is whether the forthcoming draft will present a sufficiently narrow and precise set of rules to garner bipartisan support. If banking and crypto groups still diverge after a full text becomes public, Tillis said he would consider convening another negotiation session that could bring in additional participants or proposals. He described the process as potentially continuing through a fourth round of government-facilitated talks if needed to finish the “final pieces” and reach a mark that lawmakers can advance.
The momentum depends on how convincingly the draft reconciles two core concerns: protecting the stability of the banking system and enabling legitimate, compliant crypto yield offerings. The White House-mediated meetings signal a heightened emphasis on achieving a balanced outcome that can withstand political scrutiny while delivering a practical regulatory framework for markets. Investors, traders, and builders in the crypto space will be watching closely for the exact language on enforcement, anti-evasion measures, and the precise scope of any ban on third-party yield payments.
Broader implications for policy, markets, and adoption
Beyond the immediate legislative maneuvering, the outcome of the yield provisions could shape the tempo of stablecoin adoption and the maturation of the crypto economy in the United States. A well-structured agreement that provides clarity without stifling innovation could reassure issuers and users that stablecoins will operate under predictable rules. It could also influence how exchanges, custodians, and on/off-ramp providers design their product offerings to align with future compliance expectations. For policymakers, the challenge remains to strike a balance between consumer protection, financial stability, and the competitive advantage that clear rules can offer to domestic innovators.
As the draft is unveiled and debated in the weeks ahead, market participants should monitor not only the yield provisions themselves but also the broader framework for how the bill would allocate regulatory authority between the nation’s principal watchdogs. The ultimate shape of the text will influence not just the economics of stablecoins but the regulatory posture that defines the U.S. stance toward crypto markets in the coming years.
Thus, the key questions for readers and market participants are straightforward: Will the forthcoming draft provide a credible path to de-risk yield programs while preserving financial stability? How decisive will the enforcement language be, and what guardrails will govern anti-evasion measures? And finally, when can market participants expect a final mark that the Senate can move through committee and toward a vote?
Keep watching regulatory filings and official statements for the full draft text and any subsequent revisions. The next few weeks are likely to define whether the United States can strike a middle ground that both protects consumers and supports responsible financial innovation in stablecoins.
Onchain investigator ZachXBT said a fake Ledger Live app listed on Apple’s App Store was tied to about $9.5 million in crypto stolen from more than 50 suspected victims between April 7 and 13.
In a Tuesday Telegram post, ZachXBT said the alleged thefts affected users across Bitcoin, Solana, Tron, XRP Ledger and Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM)-compatible networks. He claimed the stolen funds were laundered through over 150 KuCoin deposit addresses allegedly tied to AudiA6, which he described as a centralized mixing service.
ZachXBT said the fake app was removed by Apple on April 13 and identified three seven-figure losses among the largest known cases. He said one victim lost about $1.95 million in Bitcoin (BTC), staked Ether (stETH) and Ether (ETH), another lost $3.23 million in USDt (USDT) on April 9, and a third victim lost about $2 million in USDC (USDC) on April 11.
ZachXBT said Kucoin had seen an increase in illicit activity recently, and pointed out that the company had been banned from onboarding new European Union users in February, shortly after receiving its Markets in Crypto Assets Regulation (MiCA) license. He also questioned whether the incident presented grounds for a class action against Apple.
Related: Counterhacker exposes DPRK unit that made $1M a month working IT jobs
Key details, including the total losses, victim count and laundering route, remain based on ZachXBT’s findings and had not been confirmed by Apple or KuCoin at publication. Cointelegraph asked both companies for comment but had not received a response by publication.
Ledger warns users never to enter seed phrase into apps
Ledger chief technology officer Charles Guillemet said in a statement to Cointelegraph that the company never asks users for their 24-word recovery phrase and warned that official-looking software environments should not be treated as inherently safe.
“You cannot trust the software environment around you – not your browser, not your app store, not your desktop,” Guillemet said, adding that attackers “operate wherever the opportunity exists,” including official distribution platforms.
Related: Web3 hacks cost $482M in Q1 as phishing drives majority of losses: Hacken
The latest incident follows a smaller but similar case reported on Monday. Musician Garrett Dutton, also known as “G. Love,” said he lost about $420,000 in BTC after downloading a malicious app impersonating Ledger Live from Apple’s App Store and entering his seed phrase. ZachXBT said the stolen assets were sent to deposit addresses associated with KuCoin.
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Bitcoin (BTC) reached monthly highs above $76,000 on Tuesday as US inflation data continued to buoy risk assets.
Key points:
-
Bitcoin upside continues as bulls target $76,000 — the highest price since early February.
-
US PPI inflation remains below market expectations despite the war in Iran having no end in sight.
-
Bitcoin traders stay risk-off on overall market strength.
Bitcoin tops $76,000 amid fears that “inflation is back”
Data from TradingView showed new local highs of $76,038 on Bitstamp — Bitcoin’s best performance since mid-March and on track to hit a two-month record.
The March print of the Producer Price Index (PPI) came in below expectations despite the US-Iran war.
“On an unadjusted basis, the index for final demand rose 4.0 percent for the 12 months ended in March, the largest 12-month advance since increasing 4.7 percent in February 2023,” an official statement from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) noted.
“The March rise in final demand prices can be attributed to a 1.6-percent advance in the index for final demand goods. Prices for final demand services were unchanged.”
Markets had expected a 4.7% year-on-year increase, with a 1.1% month-on-month jump — but it ultimately came in at 0.5%.
Despite this, reactions were hawkish, noting that inflation was showing a clear uptrend overall.
“We are now officially seeing inflation metrics in the US that are at 4% or higher,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter responded on X.
“Inflation is back.”
Correspondingly, markets kept bets of interest-rate cuts from the Federal Reserve firmly at the end of next year, per data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool.
Bitcoin’s 21-week trend line is a line in the sand
Among traders, BTC price action continued to cause suspicion.
Related: Oil price surges 8% on Iran tensions: Five things to know in Bitcoin this week
CryptoReviewing, the pseudonymous cofounder of the trading community Wealth Capital, noted that the move to $75,000 had triggered a wave of short liquidations.
$BTC $73,500 – $76,500 liquidity sweep complete ✅$BTC precisely wiped out the largest liquidation cluster zone at $73.5k – $76.5k within hours from this post.
More liquidity updates coming soon ✍️ https://t.co/b4vFL4X5Oi pic.twitter.com/sSCO42NaXV
— CryptoReviewing (@CryptoReviewing) April 14, 2026
As Cointelegraph reported, market participants had already been gearing up for a short squeeze, with its price still stuck in its local range.
“Bitcoin’s recent PA hasn’t deviated much from what we saw in 2022,” Keith Alan, cofounder of trading resource Material Indicators, argued on the day.
“Nothing says that $BTC has to continue to mimic history, but if it does we should see price flirt with the 21-Week Moving Average ~$78.3k.”
Alan said that the trend line would “not be an easy level to break.”
“A rejection from that level would send the Weekly RSI back below the R/S flip line at 41, and send BTC to the next leg down,” he warned, referring to the relative strength index (RSI) indicator.
Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on early RSI signals regarding a bear-market trend reversal.
The US passage of the CLARITY Act and the end of the war in Iran, on the other hand, could send Bitcoin back toward its yearly open price of $87,500.
This article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute investment advice or recommendations. All investments and trades carry risk; readers are encouraged to conduct independent research before making any decisions. Cointelegraph makes no guarantees regarding the accuracy or completeness of the information presented, including forward-looking statements, and will not be liable for any loss or damage arising from reliance on this content.
Bank and crypto lobbyists have both relayed concerns over the latest proposal to end the stalemate on stablecoin yields in the Senate’s crypto market structure bill, legislation that has been in limbo since the House passed the CLARITY Act in July.
Senator Thom Tillis told Politico on Monday that he plans to publicly release a draft agreement this week that aims to end a fight over a provision in the Senate’s crypto policing bill that would ban third parties, such as crypto exchanges, from offering stablecoin yield payments.
The draft had already been seen by banking and crypto representatives earlier this month, with Politico reporting that it drew pushback from the banks, according to three people with knowledge of the matter.
“I think that people are apprehensive because they haven’t seen the full text,” Tillis said. “Directionally, it has been instructed by what we consider to be the legitimate issues that we have around deposit flight when we’re talking about yield.”
The Senate’s crypto market structure bill would outline how the country’s two major market watchdogs would regulate the sector, legislation that the crypto industry has widely pushed for with the Trump administration.
However, the bill’s progress has been stalled as banking and crypto groups have been at odds over language banning stablecoin yields, despite three White House-mediated meetings between the groups to find a middle ground.
Stablecoin yields are a major business for crypto platforms, but the bank lobby wants to outlaw third-party stablecoin yield payments, arguing it is a risk to the banking system, as customers may pull deposits out of savings accounts.
Tillis said he was open to making changes to the proposal and was aware of the pushback on the agreement. “That’s why we need to get down to a mark that we’re negotiating,” he said.
He added the group had “made progress” on anti-evasion provisions, but was “still working on” language around enforcement.
Related: Banks challenge White House report on stablecoin yields
Tillis said he would look to broker another meeting with the bank and crypto groups if they still can’t agree on a way forward, which would mark the fourth time the government has mediated the two sides.
“If we’ve still got a disagreement from either banking or crypto — and there’s some concern out of crypto, too — then we’re going to get the people in the room and call balls and strikes on the final pieces and see if we can get a mark done,” he said.
Magazine: How crypto laws changed in 2025 — and how they’ll change in 2026
Bitcoin held above $74,000 on Wednesday as a wave of risk appetite swept through global markets, with Asian equities joining Wall Street benchmarks in fully recouping losses sustained since the US-Iran conflict began in late February.
Ether gained 4% on the week to trade near $2,325, outpacing bitcoin’s 3.9% move. Solana dropped 1.5% to $83, Cardano’s ADA fell 1%, while dogecoin fell 1.3% to $0.093. Tron bucked the trend with a 3% weekly gain.
China’s CSI 300 became the latest gauge to fully erase war-related declines, joining Taiwan and Singapore. The S&P 500 is closing in on its record high from late January.
Optimism that the US and Iran will enter a second round of talks in the coming days has kept crude oil below $100 a barrel, easing the inflationary overhang that weighed on markets through March.
The current bitcoin price sits near the estimated average entry price for holders of U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs, a level that could act as a floor rather than a ceiling. Investors who held through the drawdown below $60,000 have little incentive to sell at breakeven, removing a layer of potential overhead supply.
U.S. spot ETFs posted $471 million in net inflows on April 6, their strongest single-day intake since February, pushing cumulative inflows past $56 billion since the products launched in January 2024 – a move some watchers say is reflective of bullish market structure.
“This is bullish for adoption even though it’s no self-custody,” said Vikrant Sharma, founder of CakeWallet.
“Institutions pouring in $471 million in a single day and pushing past $56 billion cumulative means bitcoin is getting a whole new class of long-term holders. Self-custody wallets selling off is just natural profit-taking, but the fact that it’s not leading to price collapse is a very bullish sign,” he added.
Market participants are also pricing in the possibility of Federal Reserve rate cuts later this year, a development that would channel additional liquidity into risk assets after months of range-bound trading.
The PI price is flashing a falling wedge chart pattern on its 12-hour chart that analysts at Invezz say could push the token 22 percent higher toward the $0.200 resistance level, with smart contract catalysts and a Kraken listing adding fundamental weight to the technical setup.
Summary
- PI is trading around $0.164 to $0.167 and has exited the upper side of the falling wedge channel, a move that Invezz analysts say signals a likely rebound toward the next key resistance at $0.200, approximately 22 percent above the current level.
- A drop below the support level at $0.15 would invalidate the bullish outlook; a single whale address has accumulated approximately 350 million PI worth roughly $134 million, becoming the network’s sixth-largest holder, which signals long-term accumulation even as daily token unlocks of roughly 230 million PI create consistent sell-side pressure.
- Four near-term catalysts are cited for the setup: the RPC testnet launch on April 11, the Protocol v23 smart contract upgrade due May 18, a Kraken listing, and the ongoing KYC verification process that has already cleared over 16 million users.
Invezz’s April 14 analysis identifies the falling wedge as a classic continuation pattern in which price compression within converging trendlines precedes a directional breakout. Pi has also remained above the Supertrend indicator and moved slightly above the 50-period moving average, with the RSI pointing upward from neutral territory near 42. Those conditions collectively suggest the selling pressure that has weighed on PI since its peak above $2.90 may be approaching exhaustion at the current level.
The PI token has spent much of 2026 between $0.16 and $0.20 after falling sharply from its open-market high, weighed down by the token unlock schedule and the absence of smart contract functionality that would give the network real DeFi utility.
The most significant near-term catalyst is Protocol v23, due May 18. The upgrade introduces smart contracts to the Pi mainnet for the first time, turning the network from a payment token into a programmable platform that developers can build lending, gaming, and DeFi applications on. The protocol is built on Stellar’s tech, which has already implemented similar features, meaning the transition is expected to be more stable than a greenfield smart contract rollout. Node operators must upgrade sequentially through v22.1 on April 22 before v23.0 goes live.
Why the Token Unlock Schedule Is the Counter-Argument
The bullish technical setup runs directly against a structural headwind that is not chart-dependent. Approximately 230 million PI tokens are scheduled to unlock in the next 30 days, adding consistent sell pressure regardless of technical patterns or protocol upgrades. That daily unlock rate has been the primary reason PI has underperformed the broader market since its listing. Any 22 percent move toward $0.200 would need buying volume to absorb that supply, which historically has required either a major exchange listing or a significant utility event to materialize.
What Traders Are Watching as the April 22 Node Deadline Approaches
The v22.1 node upgrade deadline on April 22 is the next verifiable milestone on the road to Protocol v23. All mainnet node operators must complete it to remain connected to the network. Successful on-schedule completion would signal to the market that the May 18 smart contract launch is on track. As Pi builds toward that milestone, the $0.15 level remains the line that separates the current bullish setup from a deeper consolidation.
The PI network is heading toward its most consequential technical upgrade yet as Protocol 23 prepares to go live on May 18, bringing smart contracts, real-world asset tokenization, and AI App Studio integration that analysts say could shift how institutional investors view the project.
Summary
- Protocol 23 is built on Stellar technology that has already implemented the same features, meaning Pi’s transition is expected to be smoother and more stable than a typical greenfield smart contract rollout on a new blockchain.
- Beyond smart contracts, the upgrade adds .pi domains for unique user and app identities, pushes Pi Browser into deeper Web2 to Web3 integration, and takes the AI App Studio out of beta, opening the door for developers to build advanced applications directly inside the network.
- Real-world asset tokenization is the feature with the clearest path to institutional recognition: Protocol 23 will allow physical assets like property, stocks, and commodities to be broken into digital tokens on the Pi blockchain, giving the network a use case that Wall Street is actively building toward on other chains.
Coinpedia’s April 14 report describes Protocol 23 as “turning Pi from just a token into a full ecosystem.” The roadmap to May 18 runs through two mandatory intermediate node upgrades: v22.1 on April 22 and then v23.0 on May 18. All mainnet node operators must complete each step sequentially to remain connected to the network. The Pi Core Team has been explicit about the deadline-driven rollout, and the April 6 v21.2 upgrade completed on schedule, keeping the network on track.
PI is trading around $0.164, down more than 94 percent from its all-time high above $2.90, meaning the gap between the network’s technical ambition and its current market price is wide.
Smart contracts change what Pi can be used for. Without them, PI is a payment token. With them, it becomes a programmable platform where developers can build lending protocols, decentralized exchanges, gaming applications, and automated reward systems without relying on intermediaries. That transition from payment token to programmable blockchain is the same one Ethereum completed years ago, and it is the characteristic that most institutional capital uses to distinguish infrastructure assets from speculative ones. The Stellar foundation gives Pi a tested codebase to build on, reducing the risk of a failed smart contract rollout that has derailed other projects at this stage.
What Real-World Asset Tokenization Means for PI Specifically
The RWA tokenization feature in Protocol 23 is the closest thing to a direct bridge between Pi’s 47-plus-million-user base and the institutional tokenization market. If property, stocks, and commodities can be represented as Pi tokens, the network gains a use case that connects it to an $80 trillion global equities market and a tokenized asset sector that hit $27 billion in 2026. That is not a guaranteed outcome; it requires developer adoption, liquidity, and regulatory clarity. But it is a different category of utility than anything Pi has been able to offer before Protocol 23.
What the Node Upgrade Schedule Means for Price Before May 18
Each completed node upgrade milestone is a verifiable signal that the May 18 deadline is on track. The market has historically repriced PI ahead of confirmed upgrade completions, and the April 22 v22.1 deadline is the next such checkpoint. If that deadline is met on schedule, it removes one more uncertainty from the Protocol 23 timeline and gives buyers a concrete technical catalyst to position ahead of.
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