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Poland delays crypto law, triggering cross-border firm relocation

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Crypto Breaking News

Poland stands as the last EU member state without a domestically enacted enabling act to implement the bloc’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework, as the Sejm again failed to override a presidential veto on the Crypto-Asset Market Act. According to Cointelegraph, President Karol Nawrocki defended his veto by warning that the draft imposes excessive regulation that could burden small businesses. Critics say the absence of a clear framework exposes the market to fraud and creates a permissive space for illicit activity. The political path forward remains uncertain.

With the MiCA transitional period set to end on July 1, Poland’s lagging implementation stands in contrast to the rest of the bloc. Absent a solution, local firms risk losing a compliant path to operate within the European market, prompting some to relocate their operations abroad in search of a regulatory environment that aligns with MiCA’s standards or speedier licensing processes. The situation illustrates how national politics can influence the EU’s single market for crypto, potentially creating regulatory arbitrage opportunities for Polish firms and shifting competitive dynamics within the region.

Key takeaways

  • Poland remains the sole EU member yet to enact MiCA-compliant regulation, with a July 1 transition deadline looming.
  • The Crypto-Asset Market Act draft has drawn criticism for its length and scope, including measures perceived as beyond MiCA’s remit, such as restrictions on marketing and the potential for administrative website blocking.
  • The Polish Financial Supervision Authority (KNF) would become the sole crypto regulator under the act, with powers to levy fines and maintain a blacklist of “unreliable” domains; licensing timelines under the KNF have been described as some of Europe’s slowest.
  • Industry groups warn that the Polish approach risks restricting competitiveness and driving firms to relocate to MiCA-friendly jurisdictions like Latvia or the Czech Republic.
  • The policy debate remains deeply fissured across political lines, with multiple vetoes, competing drafts, and public disputes shaping the trajectory of Poland’s crypto regime and its EU interoperability.

MiCA transition stalls amid veto cycles

In November 2025, the Sejm passed the Crypto-Asset Market Act, intended to bring Polish law into alignment with MiCA. However, according to Cointelegraph, the government and many industry observers criticized the measure for its breadth and complexity. The Warsaw Enterprise Institute—the business-focused think tank cited as a critic—argued that the Polish bill runs to several hundred articles, whereas other EU members published shorter, more streamlined regimes. The institute also flagged provisions such as a purported ban on certain crypto marketing activities and the possibility of blocking websites by administrative decision, without a court remedy. They contended that such tools would not be justified by MiCA and would disadvantage Polish firms relative to peers in other EU countries.

The proposed regime would vest the KNF with sweeping oversight of Poland’s entire crypto market, including enforcement actions and a formal blacklist of domains deemed unreliable. Critics warned this centralized authority could be slow to react and prone to overreach, especially given the KNF’s existing reputation for protracted regulatory processes. A 2023 European Banking Authority peer review described the KNF as the slowest regulator in Europe for authorizations, a concern echoed by industry observers. In the same period, the Warsaw-based think tank noted Nova data points: the KNF had issued two licenses for brokerages in the last decade and just one electronic money institution license, while Lithuania had registered well over 100 such licenses. These contrasts underscored fears that the Polish regime could place local actors at a competitive disadvantage within the European market. (Source: European Banking Authority peer review via Cointelegraph)

On December 1, 2025, Nawrocki vetoed the law again, arguing the measure’s regulatory footprint was bloated. The government did not override the veto and subsequently reintroduced the identical bill. Nawrocki vetoed again in February, and on April 17 the Sejm failed to override for a second time. The persistence of the veto cycle has kept Poland outside the MiCA-aligned regulatory framework as the July 1 transitional benchmark approaches, according to Cointelegraph’s reporting.

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Regulatory architecture and market implications

If enacted, the Crypto-Asset Market Act would centralize oversight within the KNF, granting it licensing authority, enforcement powers, and the ability to maintain a blacklist of domains. That centralization, while aligned with concerns about consumer protection and market integrity, also raises questions about proportionality and due process, particularly given the envisaged administrative tools for domain blocking and potential penalties. The broader EU policy context—MiCA’s aim for a harmonized internal market—implies Poland would still need to reconcile any national features with cross-border supervisory expectations and potential responsibilities shared with EU bodies.

From a compliance and banking perspective, the timing and shape of Poland’s regulatory approach carry material implications. Banks and payment institutions evaluating crypto-related exposure often require clear, predictable licensing regimes and robust consumer protections. Prolonged regulatory uncertainty can complicate onboarding, risk assessment, and liquidity planning for licensed operators, while a slow or opaque domestic framework could push firms to establish or relocate operations in jurisdictions with clearer paths to EU-wide market access.

Political dynamics and cross-border implications

The policy debate in Poland has unfolded amid broader political tensions and contentious public discourse around crypto regulation. Some industry voices portrayed Nawrocki’s veto as a principled insistence on proportional regulation rather than an anti-crypto stance. However, political actors have reacted in various ways to the stalemate. Prime Minister Donald Tusk has accused a local exchange of illicit funding and ties to Russian criminal networks, allegations that feed into a narrative about the risks presented by crypto markets and the political sensitivity of crypto policy. Zonda Crypto, the Polish exchange formerly known as BitBay, has not responded to Cointelegraph’s requests for comment on these claims. The episode illustrates how regulatory design, political alignments, and public narrative can interact to shape the policy landscape and the attractiveness of Poland as a jurisdiction for crypto firms.

Beyond the vetoes, industry participants have sounded the alarm about a potential outflow of businesses. The Warsaw Chamber of Commerce for Blockchain and New Technologies notes that a substantial share of Polish crypto firms have already looked abroad since the regulatory discussion began. Some prominent operators—such as Kanga—have signaled a willingness to relocate to MiCA-friendly environments like Latvia, where faster procedures and relatively lower regulatory burdens are cited as advantages. The chamber’s president has asserted that Polish firms may lose critical scale without a domestic pathway, while regulators emphasize the need to preserve tax bases and domestic innovation. The government’s own messaging has highlighted the risk that overregulation could push companies to neighboring jurisdictions, including the Czech Republic, Lithuania, or Malta, thereby eroding Poland’s domestic crypto ecosystem.

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The evolving dynamic suggests a broader policy question for Poland: should the country pursue a tightly regulated, MiCA-aligned regime with clear consumer protections and supervisory certainty, or accept a continued regulatory fragmentation that risks market fragmentation and capital flight? As July 1 nears, the decision will have immediate commercial implications for firms operating in Poland and longer-term strategic consequences for Poland’s role in Europe’s evolving crypto market.

The Polish president’s office and parliament are still weighing options, while industry participants monitor whether a revised legislative approach or an alternative regulatory package will emerge before the MiCA transition window closes. The path forward will help determine whether Poland remains a hub for crypto innovation or becomes increasingly peripheral to the EU’s integrated regulatory regime.

Closing perspective: As the MiCA deadline approaches, Poland faces a defining choice about regulatory design, implementation speed, and alignment with EU standards. The coming months will reveal whether a scaled, proportionate framework can be enacted to sustain domestic innovation, support compliant banking relationships, and preserve Poland’s standing as a crypto market within the European single market or whether regulatory fragmentation will continue to push firms toward neighboring jurisdictions.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Trump administration discussing currency swap line with UAE

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How the Iran war is disrupting Dubai’s economic rise
How the Iran war is disrupting Dubai’s economic rise

The White House has discussed offering a financial lifeline to the United Arab Emirates as the U.S. war with Iran wreaks havoc on the Gulf state’s economy, a White House official told CNBC.

The UAE has not formally requested a currency swap line, and plans are not currently being drawn up, the official said, speaking on condition of anonymity to talk about nonpublic plans. Still, it is being discussed within the administration, the person said. Such a move would provide liquidity in dollars to the oil-rich UAE, but could be politically tenuous for the administration as U.S. consumers grapple with higher prices at home.

The UAE and other Persian Gulf nations have been hit hard by the U.S. war with Iran. Tehran has fired troves of missiles at the U.S.’ regional allies, damaging economic infrastructure. Iran’s closure of the Strait of Hormuz has also largely choked off oil exports that the UAE depends on for cash flow.

Read more CNBC politics coverage

The UAE is a particularly close ally of the Trump administration, and has labored to extend overtures to Washington since Trump returned to the White House. The country committed to invest more than $1 trillion in the U.S. last year. The leaders of the Gulf nation are also reportedly intertwined with President Donald Trump‘s family business.

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Trump, on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” Tuesday, appeared to say that he was willing to assist the UAE when asked directly about whether a currency swap was under consideration.

“If I could help them, I would,” the president said. “It’s been a good country. It’s been a good ally of ours.”

A potential currency swap line comes with political risk for Trump, however, as U.S. voters could view it as a bailout of a foreign country — and a wealthy one — while American consumers are swallowing higher prices.

The White House official said Trump sees the UAE as a major ally of the U.S. and is open to helping them, but cautioned that a swap is still “something we’re thinking about considering.”

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Even if the administration is open to providing support, the ultimate decision on providing swap lines rests with the Federal Reserve.

Swap lines historically have been limited to major central banks and systemically important markets, so offering one to the UAE would represent an unusual broadening of scope.

The prospect of a swap line between the U.S. and the UAE first cropped up on the sidelines of last week’s World Bank and IMF meetings in Washington, when U.S. Treasury officials pulled some Gulf allies aside to ask what they might need to rebuild their economies after the Iran war concludes, the official said. The UAE later raised a potential currency swap, but did not make a formal request for one, The Wall Street Journal first reported.

The Journal also reported the UAE warned it may have to use the Chinese yuan for oil sales and other transactions if it runs short on dollars, a threat to the supremacy of the dollar on oil markets.

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The UAE, in a statement from its embassy in the U.S. posted to X, refuted that it needs a bailout.

“Any suggestion that the UAE requires external financial backing misreads the facts,” the statement read. “The UAE and the United States will continue to prosper together for decades to come, not because one depends on the other for support, but because both benefit from one of the world’s most important economic partnerships.”

CNBC’s Jeff Cox contributed to this report.

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Prediction markets are the new secret weapon for Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) growth

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Prediction markets are the new secret weapon for Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) growth

Prediction markets are gaining traction as a new growth area for Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD), as investors look beyond a weak first quarter for crypto trading and focus on future products, according to Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Ramsey El-Assal.

El-Assal said “investors are increasingly treating the quarterly print as backward-looking,” with attention shifting to “forward-looking demand trends and the product roadmap,” including newer offerings such as prediction markets.

Both companies are expected to report softer results for the first quarter of 2026 after a pullback in crypto prices and trading activity. Bitcoin and ether (ETH) fell about 23% and 29% in the quarter, weighing on volumes across exchanges. Trading activity also slowed as the quarter progressed, with Coinbase volumes declining from roughly $66 billion in January to $54 billion in March, based on third-party data.

Cantor estimates Coinbase’s consumer and institutional trading volumes at $35 billion and $167 billion, both below Wall Street expectations. The firm also projects exchange revenue below consensus. Still, El-Assal maintained an “overweight” rating on the stock and raised his price target to $250, citing improving sentiment and longer-term growth drivers.

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Robinhood faces similar near-term pressure. The analyst expects a sequential decline in trading volumes due to softer market conditions, along with a hit to net interest revenue from lower rates. But the company’s business model offers some cushion. Higher volatility can lift trading margins, and Cantor expects stronger yields in equities and options to partly offset weaker activity.

At the same time, crypto revenue quality may come under pressure. El-Assal noted the platform’s “tiered pricing structure … earns lower yields on large active traders … and higher yields on marginal traders,” with the latter group pulling back during volatility.

Despite these headwinds, both stocks have rallied in recent weeks. Coinbase shares are up about 18% quarter-to-date, while Robinhood has climbed roughly 40% in April from late-March lows, helped by improving risk sentiment and easing geopolitical tensions.

The focus now is on what comes next. For Coinbase, investors are watching regulatory developments and new business lines. The company’s prediction markets offering, launched this year, “continues to attract meaningful interest,” El-Assal said.

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Robinhood is also leaning into prediction markets alongside other initiatives such as tokenization and private market access. The analyst said these efforts, along with regulatory changes like updates to pattern day trading rules, could help drive future growth.

Cantor maintained an “overweight” rating on Robinhood and raised its price target to $110.

The broader view, according to El-Assal, is that while current trading trends remain tied to crypto price cycles, the next phase of growth will depend more on product expansion and new use cases.

Later on Tuesday, the New York Attorney General’s office filed a lawsuit against Coinbase and fellow crypto exchange Gemini over their prediction market offerings, alleging that the products were actually gambling products and therefore in violation of state regulations.

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Whether prediction markets — specifically, sports-related prediction markets — are gambling products are not is currently a topic of debate in both state and federal courts. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has argued that prediction markets are swaps, and therefore properly regulated by that agency at the federal level. States have argued that at least the sports-related contracts are not swaps, and should be licensed and overseen by state regulators. This question is likely to end up before the U.S. Supreme Court.

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Marvel Drops Bitcoin Mention in Daredevil Season 2

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Marvel Drops Bitcoin Mention in Daredevil Season 2

Wilson Fisk proposed diversifying his criminal empire into Bitcoin (BTC) during a flashback scene in Daredevil: Born Again, Season 2, Episode 5, marking one of the MCU’s most direct crypto references to date.

The moment aired on Disney+ on April 14 as part of “The Grand Design,” an episode built around Kingpin’s origin story.

Kingpin’s Bitcoin Pitch Got Overruled

The flashback takes place around 2014 to 2015, before the events of the original Netflix Daredevil series. Fisk, played by Vincent D’Onofrio, rides in a car with his right-hand man James Wesley, played by Toby Leonard Moore.

After discussing complications with an associate known as “The Lion,” Fisk floats the idea of Bitcoin as a way to modernize and diversify their money laundering operations.

Wesley pushes back, viewing crypto as too volatile. He steers Fisk toward the art world instead, mentioning a contact at the Scene Contempo Gallery.

Fisk initially dismisses art as pretentious but agrees to visit. That decision leads directly to his first encounter with Vanessa Marianna, setting up one of the MCU’s defining romances.

The timeline fits. BTC traded around $200 to $300 during that period, still far from mainstream recognition.

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For a forward-thinking crime boss exploring discreet financial channels, the suggestion landed as both plausible and amusing.

Crypto Fans Reacted Quickly

The line went mildly viral on social media. A post on Reddit’s r/Bitcoin community titled “Daredevil: Born Again S2 E5” drew upvotes and comments ranging from “that’s wild” to debates over whether Fisk would have been an early whale.

No later episodes have followed up on the idea. The art pivot is what stuck for Kingpin’s empire.

The post Marvel Drops Bitcoin Mention in Daredevil Season 2 appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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New York Sues Coinbase, Gemini Over Unlicensed Markets

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New York State, Polymarket, Kalshi, Prediction Markets

New York’s attorney general has filed lawsuits against crypto exchange operators Coinbase Financial Markets and Gemini Titan for allegedly violating state gambling laws, according to court records cited by Reuters.

Copies of the complaints show the state alleges both exchanges failed to obtain licenses from the New York State Gaming Commission to operate their markets, Reuters reported

“Gambling by another name is still gambling, ​and it ​is not ⁠exempt from regulation under our state laws and Constitution,” Attorney General Letitia James said in a statement.

James said the lawsuit seeks to recover alleged illegal profits from operating prediction markets in the state, as well as restitution, and would bar Coinbase and Gemini from offering such products to individuals under 21 years of age.

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New York State, Polymarket, Kalshi, Prediction Markets
Source: Office of New York State Attorney General

Related: Polymarket in talks to raise $400M at a $15B valuation: Report

State regulators crack down on prediction markets

The move fits into a broader push by state regulators, including New York, to assert control over prediction markets, which occupy a fast-growing corner of crypto commerce that allows users to bet on real-world events.

Much of the recent scrutiny has centered on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi, which have drawn questions over whether their products fall under financial regulation or gambling laws.

The tension has also reached the federal level. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has taken legal action against several states attempting to regulate prediction markets, arguing it has sole authority over the sector.

New York’s lawsuit underscores a key risk for crypto companies. Even as the federal stance has softened, state-level enforcement remains active. By targeting prediction-style markets, regulators may be opening a new front — one that could force platforms to rethink how these products are offered in major jurisdictions.

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Nevertheless, not every company is taking it lightly. As Cointelegraph reported, Polymarket has filed a lawsuit against Massachusetts, arguing the state lacks authority to regulate prediction markets approved by the CFTC.

New York State, Polymarket, Kalshi, Prediction Markets
Source: Neal Kumar, chief legal office, Polymarket

Related: NYSE parent ICE completes new $600M investment in Polymarket