Bitcoin (BTC) starts the final week of May with traders optimistic about an $80,000 rebound — will it end up as a liquidity grab?

• Bitcoin recovers from its trip to monthly lows as shorts above $80,000 could get squeezed next.
• Excitement is growing over a US-Iran peace deal, and stock markets are already heading to record highs.
• Inflation pressures remain a headache for the Federal Reserve as PCE data for April is released.
• Binance has seen conspicuously high net BTC inflows over the past ten days and has added 16,000 BTC in a month.
• Bitcoin faces multiple bearish catalysts, research warns, predicting a “large liquidation event” as a result.

Bitcoin shorts face “significant” pressure at $80,000

Bitcoin price action struggled over the weekend, dipping below $75,000 to its lowest levels since mid-April, per data from TradingView.

A rebound then brought $77,000 back into focus in line with optimism around a US-Iran peace deal.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

In its latest market commentary, X analytics account Cryptic Trades called the dip a “fakeout,” noting its proximity to Bitcoin’s lowest levels of 2025, also seen in April that year.

“We saw a brief deviation below the high-timeframe support range aligning with the April 2025 bottoming formation,” it summarized.

BTC/USD one-day chart. Source: Cryptic Trades/X

Cryptic Trades said that BTC/USD needed to reclaim its daily bull market support band — a “strong reversal zone over the last couple of months” — in order to have a bullish bias on low time frames.

“Bulls need to keep holding this area to keep this short/mid timeframe momentum in their favor,” trader Daan Crypto Trades agreed.

BTC/USD one-week chart. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X

Trader and analyst Lennaert Snyder referred to Bitcoin’s trip below $75,000 as a “very nice liquidity sweep.”

“Strong daily close after the sweep and price is taking out the previous daily highs,” he told X followers. 

“I’m intraday bullish on Bitcoin, and I’m still eyeing that 79/80 level to retest. Would be great if the 74.2K low could get us there, I’ll watch 79/80K closely for quality shorts after my trigger.”

Trader CW also eyed exchange order-book liquidity for clues as to how high the price might go next.

“$BTC has risen to just before the high-leverage short position zone. The upcoming rise will be a liquidation process for short positions,” they predicted. 

“There is a significant amount of short position pressure until 80.5k.”

BTC liquidation heatmap. Source: CW/X

Iran peace deal bets send stocks to new highs

There may finally be some good news for risk assets when it comes to the US-Iran war this week.

A peace deal between the two sides seems closer than ever, and markets are already pricing in the end of the conflict.

US stocks futures surged at the weekly open, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 hitting new all-time highs. Japan’s stock market gained 3.5%.

S&P 500 futures vs. Nasdaq 100 futures one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Oil, by contrast, began to fall, with WTI crude nearing $90 per barrel. 

CFDs on WTI crude oil one-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

In a post on Truth Social, US President Donald Trump pledged to make a deal that was “good and proper.”

“Unlike those before me who should have solved this problem many years ago, I don’t make bad deals!” he wrote.

Source: Truth Social

Bitcoin’s response was more muted, continuing a trend from last week where stock market records failed to ignite upward momentum for crypto.

Nonetheless, market participants are already betting on the peace deal acting as the next tailwind.

“I think Bitcoin is ready for higher grounds,” trader and analyst Michaël van de Poppe commented on X.

Van de Poppe saw BTC/USD rising above $80,000 should a deal take effect.

“That is likely the plan,” he concluded, seeing risk assets performing strongly across the board.

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël van de Poppe/X

Inflation flips Fed hawkish ahead of PCE data

The deal would also mean good news for US inflation trends, which have surged on the back of high oil prices.

This week, however, both markets and the Federal Reserve will have to contend with April’s Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index print, which will reflect the full impact of the Iran conflict.

PCE, known as the Fed’s “preferred” inflation gauge, will be the first for its new Chair, Kevin Warsh.

US PCE % change (screenshot). Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis

Expectations remain that policy could tighten to contain inflationary pressures this year. In the latest edition of its regular newsletter, “The Market Mosaic,” trading resource Mosaic Asset Company noted that even Fed officials themselves were changing their tone.

“In a speech last week, Christopher Waller stated that ‘inflation is not moving in the right direction’ and can ‘no longer rule out rate hikes further down the road,’” it reported, referring to a member of the Fed Board of Governors. 

“Waller previously was a leading proponent for cutting rates on labor market concerns.”

Fed target rate probabilities (screenshot). Source: CME Group

Data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool likewise underscores the lack of optimism when it comes to interest-rate cuts before 2027.

While that is ostensibly a headwind for crypto, Mosaic acknowledged that Iran-based inflation upticks could be “temporary,” with stocks primed for further gains.

Binance inflow “intensity” causes alarm

Geopolitical uncertainty has led onchain analytics platform CryptoQuant to warn about a Bitcoin “sell signal.”

In one of its QuickTake blog posts on Sunday, contributor Darkfost flagged nearly 10 days of BTC inflows to the largest global exchange, Binance. 

“On May 16th, the weekly average of inflows on Binance stood at 378 BTC. It now reaches 1,190 BTC today, representing a more than 3x increase in less than 10 days,” he revealed. 

“The largest single day recorded over 3,600 BTC on May 18th, a relatively high level for a single day that clearly illustrates the intensity of the movement.”

Bitcoin netflows for Binance. Source: CryptoQuant

Darkfost noted that Binance’s Bitcoin reserves had increased by 16,000 BTC in a single month.

“When inflows become dominant and consistent on a platform like Binance, this is traditionally interpreted as a potential sell signal,” he continued. 

“Holders transferring their BTC to an exchange most often do so with the intent to sell, whether it be profit taking, reducing exposure, or a more defensive repositioning.”

Last week, Cointelegraph reported on weak US demand causing consistent downside price pressure after the Wall Street open. The Coinbase Premium Index, which measures the difference in price between Coinbase’s BTC/USD and Binance’s BTC/USDT pairs, hit its largest negative values in several months.

Analysis warns of “large liquidation event”

In further bad news for Bitcoin bulls, CryptoQuant contributor XWIN Japan described a cocktail of hurdles that remain unconquered.

Related: Bitcoin price record 90-day uptrend ‘resembles bull market rally:’ New analysis

In addition to the weak demand, institutional capital has been exiting the US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

“US spot Bitcoin ETFs have now seen more than $1.74 billion in cumulative outflows, while the Coinbase Premium has turned deeply negative. Since this metric is often viewed as a proxy for US institutional spot demand, it suggests that large investors are becoming less active buyers,” a QuickTake post read.

Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index. Source: CryptoQuant

Binance’s netflows, meanwhile, come as stablecoin volumes decrease — a sign of waning liquidity and reduced risk appetite.

Traders who remain active, by contrast, are “aggressively long,” and positive funding rates imply that leverage is becoming more popular.

“The problem is that Open Interest remains well below late-2025 highs. This suggests the recent rebound is being supported more by leveraged futures activity than by strong spot demand,” XWIN explained.

Bitcoin open interest-weighted funding rate (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

Looking ahead, this combination of factors suggests that the market is due for a shakeout.

“Historically, periods with ETF outflows, negative Coinbase Premium, weak spot demand, and crowded longs have often preceded large liquidation events,” the post concluded. 

“For now, Bitcoin looks less like a healthy bull market and more like a fragile rebound driven by leverage rather than real demand.”

The US market for spot Bitcoin ETFs continues to wobble as Friday produced six straight days of outflows across the sector, even as year-to-date inflows remain in positive territory. Net inflows into US spot Bitcoin ETFs have cooled to roughly $536 million in 2026, with a Friday session that shaved another $105.2 million from fund totals. The bulk of 2026 demand remains focused on the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), which posted prominent net inflows of about $2.7 billion so far this year, while other funds saw red ink amid a crowded, fee-sensitive landscape.

On Friday, IBIT led the retreat, losing about $68.9 million, while the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) posted outflows of roughly $36.3 million. In aggregate, the broader group recorded $105.2 million in net withdrawals, contributing to a running total of about $1.55 billion in net outflows since May 14—the last date when any US spot Bitcoin ETF registered a net inflow. Data provider Farside Investors tracks flows across the U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF lineup, illustrating how investor demand has coalesced around a single large product while other funds struggle to keep pace.

Despite the churn, IBIT’s dominance remains intact for the moment. The fund’s cumulative inflows for 2026 are a major driver of the mainstream ETF appetite for Bitcoin exposure, underscoring how institutional demand has persisted even as competition intensifies and fee structures come into sharper focus. The latest numbers place IBIT in a different league from its peers, reinforcing a pattern from recent years where one vehicle captures the lion’s share of inflows even as others wander in and out of net flow territory.

Key takeaways

• IBIT continues to be the primary beneficiary of 2026 inflows, with about $2.7 billion in net inflows year to date, dwarfing other ETF activity.
• Morgan Stanley’s MSBT has emerged as a notable new entrant, attracting $264 million in net inflows since its April 8 launch and surpassing the early products from Invesco and WisdomTree.
• The broader US spot Bitcoin ETF landscape remains in net inflow territory for 2026, but the pace of inflows is uneven, with a heavy tilt toward IBIT and mixed results elsewhere.
• In a sign of shifting risk and pricing dynamics, several institutions trimmed exposure: Jane Street reduced its Bitcoin ETF holdings by roughly 70% in Q1, and Goldman Sachs cut its position by about 10%.
• Interest in altcoin or Ether-focused ETFs has lagged relative to Bitcoin products, as Ether ETFs show net outflows and newer offerings have not attracted the same demand.

Growing competition shapes the Bitcoin ETF landscape

The launch of the Morgan Stanley Bitcoin Trust ETF (MSBT) on April 8 marks a significant milestone in the US Bitcoin ETF race. MSBT has drawn $264 million in net inflows to date, positioning it ahead of rival launches from Invesco and WisdomTree, which entered the market in January 2024. The early momentum for MSBT is widely interpreted as a sign that investors are price-conscious and looking for an ultra-low-fee option in a crowded field; the fund is notable for a market-low fee of 0.14% per year.

Industry observers also took note of the broader competitive dynamics. Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart suggested that the decision by Yorkville America—the sponsor behind the Truth Social-linked Bitcoin ETF plan—to pull multiple crypto ETFs could reflect the intense competition in this space. The 0.14% MSBT fee is a particularly compelling draw in a market where expense ratios have long been a swing factor for investors weighing Bitcoin exposure versus other risk assets. Earlier reporting from Cointelegraph highlighted MSBT’s low-fee approach as a potential differentiator against established incumbents.

Albeit the MSBT development has been positive for Morgan Stanley, the rest of the sector remains mixed. Data show that while the US spot Bitcoin ETF market as a whole remains in positive inflows for 2026, most of that positive momentum has rested with IBIT. In contrast, several other funds have retraced in 2026, and the pace of new capital into the space is not yet on track to replicate the massive inflows seen in 2025, when a single product drew about $25 billion in net new money for that year. That comparison underscores the persistent, yet uneven, demand for regulated Bitcoin access among institutional players.

Performance snapshot for related products

Alongside Bitcoin-focused products, the ether ETF ecosystem has faced headwinds this year, with US-listed spot Ether ETFs registering net outflows so far in 2026. In contrast, new altcoin ETFs have not demonstrated the same appetite from investors, underscoring a preference for established Bitcoin exposure amid ongoing regulatory and market uncertainty. The shift also highlights how issuers and fund sponsors must navigate an evolving regulatory environment and competition when structuring futures or physically-backed vehicles.

Beyond the flows and fund performance, the sector’s sentiment has been shaped by notable strategic moves from Wall Street banks. In Q1, Jane Street reduced its Bitcoin ETF holdings by approximately 70%, a telling sign that even major market makers are rebalancing exposure in a climate of thin liquidity and shifting risk appetite. Goldman Sachs—another heavyweight in the ETF space—trimmed its Bitcoin ETF position by roughly 10% in the same period, signaling a broader recalibration of Bitcoin allocation among traditional banks’ investment desks. Earlier coverage from Cointelegraph noted Goldman’s reduced exposure to crypto-focused ETFs in the first quarter of 2026, reflecting a cautious stance amid regulatory and macro headwinds.

On the regulatory and market-facing side, there was chatter about the potential launch of a Truth Social-backed Bitcoin product before Yorkville America withdrew multiple crypto ETF bids for the social platform. The episode has been read by analysts as evidence of the highly competitive and rapidly evolving environment for crypto asset investment products, where timing, pricing, and sponsor strength all play a role in whether a fund can attract sustainable capital.

Flows compiled by Farside Investors show a clear concentration of investment interest in a single, well-known conduit for Bitcoin exposure. The data also illustrate how institutional demand often follows the path of least resistance—where size, liquidity, and a favorable fee structure align—rather than dispersing evenly across the entire ETF family.

What this means for investors is nuanced. The ongoing inflow strength of IBIT signals that large institutions remain willing to allocate capital to regulated, cash-settled Bitcoin exposure, especially when the structure includes a trusted sponsor and transparent fee economics. At the same time, the emergence of MSBT and the strong early momentum it has shown indicate that new entrants can capture meaningful shares if they can offer a compelling price point and a clean regulatory narrative. As the market moves forward, observers will watch whether MSBT and other entrants can sustain inflows in a year that is already notable for macro volatility and regulatory scrutiny.

For readers looking ahead, the central questions are where net flows will land in the coming quarters, how much demand will accrue to the largest fund IBIT versus newer entrants, and whether altcoin-focused ETF offerings will begin to close the gap with Bitcoin products. The next few monthly data cycles will be telling as investors digest evolving fee structures, sponsor credibility, and the broader macro backdrop that has driven crypto allocations in recent years.

In the meantime, the landscape remains a study in how institutional appetite for regulated crypto exposure coexists with competitive pressure and shifting sponsor strategies. The market is watching not just the totals, but the composition of inflows across products, as well as the actions of major market makers and banks that help determine liquidity and price discovery in this still-nascent segment of traditional finance.

Looking ahead, investors should monitor whether MSBT and other competitive launches can sustain momentum, whether IBIT maintains its leadership in inflows, and how regulatory developments may influence fund flows and product approvals. The story of 2026’s US spot Bitcoin ETF market is still being written, with the balance of power likely to shift as new entrants refine their offerings and institutions reassess their exposure to regulated crypto investments.

Key Takeaways

• Barclays projects the humanoid robotics sector will surge from approximately $2–3 billion currently to $200 billion by 2035
• Manufacturing costs per humanoid unit have plummeted from $3 million ten years ago to roughly $100,000 today
• AeroVironment delivered 143% revenue expansion to $408 million with a funded backlog exceeding $1.1 billion
• Rockwell Automation achieved 12% sales increase and 36% operating earnings growth in fiscal Q1 2026
• Symbotic reached profitability with $630 million in quarterly revenue, marking 29% annual growth

The humanoid robotics sector is experiencing explosive expansion, with several publicly-traded companies already capturing substantial market share. The financial data paints a compelling picture.

A recent Barclays analysis forecasts the humanoid robot industry will balloon to $200 billion by 2035. Current market valuation sits between $2 billion and $3 billion. While this represents massive growth, the underlying fundamentals support these projections.

Manufacturing expenses for humanoid robots have experienced a dramatic decline, falling from approximately $3 million per unit ten years ago to roughly $100,000 currently. Chinese producers have driven prices even lower through mass production capabilities and vertically integrated manufacturing ecosystems.

Deployment rates are climbing rapidly. Approximately 2,000 units entered service during 2024. This figure jumped to 15,000 throughout 2025, with forecasts indicating 60,000 installations in 2026. China dominates with roughly 85% of worldwide deployments, supported by significant government initiatives.

Barclays characterizes humanoid robots as the evolution beyond traditional industrial machinery and digital AI systems. Unlike previous generation robots engineered for narrow applications, humanoids function effectively in human-designed environments, utilizing standard tools and facilities without requiring extensive infrastructure modifications.

Market drivers include demographic aging trends, workforce availability constraints, and increasing challenges recruiting workers for physically intensive roles across manufacturing, distribution, healthcare, and elderly care sectors.

The research highlights three core technology pillars enabling humanoids: brains, encompassing artificial intelligence algorithms and sensor arrays; brawn, representing actuators and physical mechanics; and battery systems providing operational power.

Public Companies Showing Strong Performance Metrics

Beyond long-range forecasts, several corporations are delivering impressive financial performance right now.

AeroVironment, specializing in military drones and autonomous aerial systems, announced fiscal third quarter revenue reaching $408 million. This represented a remarkable 143% year-over-year increase. The company maintains a funded backlog totaling $1.1 billion, with management projecting fiscal 2026 revenue between $1.85 billion and $1.95 billion.

AeroVironment, Inc., AVAV

Rockwell Automation, a major industrial automation provider, recorded sales of $2.105 billion during fiscal Q1 2026, representing 12% year-over-year growth. Total segment operating earnings climbed 36% during the identical timeframe. Annual recurring revenue expanded 7%.

Symbotic, concentrating on warehouse automation and intelligent supply chain technologies, disclosed $630 million in fiscal Q1 2026 revenue, reflecting 29% year-over-year advancement. The organization achieved profitability, recording net income of $13 million versus a $17 million net loss in the prior year period. Second quarter revenue guidance targets $650 million to $670 million.

Investment Implications and Market Outlook

Financial markets are increasingly prioritizing concrete performance over speculative potential in robotics companies. Emphasis has transitioned toward quantifiable metrics: revenue expansion, margin enhancement, and robust order pipelines.

Barclays estimates the comprehensive physical AI ecosystem, incorporating autonomous transportation, unmanned aerial vehicles, and sophisticated robotics platforms, could achieve valuations approaching $1 trillion by 2035.

Investment strategies span humanoid manufacturers, component providers, and specialized robotics exchange-traded funds.

The three enterprises examined represent distinct robotics segments, spanning defense unmanned systems to industrial automation to warehouse optimization. Each company reported recent quarterly financials demonstrating sustained expansion with forward guidance signaling continued momentum.

Key Highlights

• Over the past year, Alphabet’s stock has climbed approximately 130%, pushing its market capitalization to $4.6 trillion.
• First quarter 2026 revenue reached $109.9 billion, representing 22% annual growth — the strongest pace in four years.
• Google Cloud’s revenue surged 63% compared to last year, supported by a $462 billion customer backlog.
• The Gemini AI platform now serves over 650 million monthly active users, reflecting 45% quarterly expansion.
• Capital spending is projected at $180–$190 billion for 2026, sparking debates over future profitability.

Alphabet (GOOGL) shares are currently hovering near $383, marking an impressive 130% gain over the trailing twelve months. This performance positions the tech giant among the top-performing large-cap stocks of the year, with a market valuation of $4.6 trillion — trailing only Nvidia in size.

Alphabet Inc., GOOGL

The extraordinary rally stems primarily from a single catalyst: artificial intelligence progress that’s translating into measurable financial results.

During the first quarter of 2026, Alphabet reported revenue of $109.9 billion, marking a 22% year-over-year climb that surpassed analyst projections. This represented the company’s most robust revenue expansion in four years.

Google Search revenue advanced 19% from the prior year. Chief Business Officer Philipp Schindler attributed the strength to AI Overviews and AI Mode, which have driven increased search activity, particularly in commercial queries.

YouTube advertising revenue expanded nearly 11%, while Waymo is now handling more than 500,000 weekly rides.

Cloud Division Steals the Spotlight

Google Cloud emerged as the quarter’s undisputed champion. Revenue soared 63% year over year — outpacing both Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure’s growth rates.

The division concluded Q1 with an impressive $462 billion customer backlog, nearly twice the level recorded three months earlier. Market analysts are forecasting 60% year-over-year cloud revenue growth for fiscal 2026, approximately 11% above consensus projections.

Backlog expansion accelerated to 82% in recent quarters, up sharply from 37% in the previous period — an indicator of robust pipeline visibility.

Gemini’s Rapid User Expansion

The Gemini AI platform has accumulated more than 650 million monthly active users, representing 45% quarter-over-quarter growth. Daily active mobile users increased 14%, while monthly engagement climbed 18%.

The Gemini 3.0 rollout received positive market reception, alleviating concerns about potential search cannibalization. Additional growth opportunities include consumer subscription offerings and a potential integration with Apple’s Siri assistant.

Alphabet’s adjusted operating margin reached 39.7% after accounting for a $3.5 billion European Commission penalty — exceeding market expectations.

The stock currently trades at a price-to-earnings multiple of approximately 29.6. Wall Street analysts anticipate diluted earnings per share will compound at roughly 17% annually from 2025 through 2028. Fiscal 2026 revenue is estimated at $479.86 billion, climbing to $561.50 billion in 2027. Thirty analysts have recently increased their earnings forecasts for upcoming periods.

The Capital Investment Challenge

This growth trajectory requires significant investment. Alphabet allocated $91 billion to capital expenditure in 2025 and plans $180–$190 billion in 2026. CFO Anat Ashkenazi has indicated that capex will increase further in 2027.

The company also intends to scale compute capacity to 35 gigawatts by 2028. Analysts project capex could reach $124 billion in 2026 as infrastructure buildout continues.

Elevated depreciation from these investments will pressure margins in coming periods. Analysts believe robust cloud and search performance will counterbalance this impact, though investment returns remain the critical variable.

Wells Fargo maintains a $387 price target with an Overweight rating, while Bank of America carries a Buy recommendation with a $335 price objective.

Hyperliquid’s native token HYPE has surged more than 40% over the past seven days, fueled by aggressive institutional accumulation, fresh all-time highs in derivatives activity, and a major technical breakout that has traders eyeing another leg higher.

According to data from crypto.news, Hyperliquid (HYPE) climbed from around $45 last week to an intraday high near $64 on May 25 before consolidating around the $63 region at press time. The move came even as Bitcoin struggled to decisively reclaim the $110,000 level and several large-cap altcoins traded sideways amid renewed macro uncertainty tied to U.S. Treasury yields and Federal Reserve rate expectations.

Institutional catalysts have played a central role in the rally. Earlier this month, both the 21Shares Hyperliquid ETF and Bitwise’s Hyperliquid ETF debuted on U.S. exchanges, opening direct institutional access to HYPE exposure. Combined inflows into the two products reportedly surpassed $53 million during their opening sessions, adding significant spot demand pressure to an already supply-constrained market.

Adding to the bullish narrative, Bitwise disclosed that it would allocate 10% of ETF management fees toward purchasing and holding HYPE tokens on its balance sheet. Traders interpreted the move as an early sign that asset managers may begin treating HYPE as a strategic treasury asset rather than merely a speculative trading token.

Meanwhile, the protocol’s structural partnership with Coinbase and Circle under the AQAv2 framework strengthened the long-term revenue outlook for Hyperliquid’s ecosystem.

Coinbase agreed to route a large share of reserve-yield revenues generated from USDC deployed on Hyperliquid back into the protocol, while Circle committed to staking 500,000 HYPE tokens to support liquidity infrastructure on the network.

Protocol fundamentals have accelerated alongside the price rally. Hyperliquid’s perpetual futures platform recently crossed record volumes in synthetic commodities, binary prediction contracts, and pre-IPO trading markets, sharply boosting fee generation. Forbes previously noted that between 97% and 99% of all trading fees generated on Hyperliquid are redirected toward automatic HYPE buybacks through its on-chain Assistance Fund.

As trading activity intensified, the protocol’s buyback engine continuously purchased HYPE tokens at block intervals, creating a feedback loop between rising volumes and spot demand. Traders increasingly view the model as one of the most aggressive deflationary mechanisms currently operating within crypto markets.

Whale activity has added another layer of volatility to the recent move. According to blockchain tracking platform Lookonchain, trader Garrett Jin accumulated 145,050 HYPE worth roughly $9.05 million over the past four days and simultaneously placed a TWAP order to acquire an additional 39,940 HYPE valued near $2.44 million.

At the same time, not all large holders are positioning for further upside.

The positioning suggests some whales are beginning to distribute into strength as HYPE price approaches psychologically important resistance zones.

Can Hyperliquid’s technical breakout trigger another rally?

On the daily chart, HYPE appears to have completed a powerful breakout from a multi-month ascending channel formation that had capped price action since February.

After consolidating near the upper trendline throughout April and early May, bulls forced a vertical breakout above channel resistance near $50, triggering an accelerated momentum move toward the current $64 region. The breakout also invalidated previous bearish divergence concerns that had emerged earlier this quarter.

The 50-day moving average currently sits near $44 while the 200-day moving average remains around $34.5, highlighting the strength of the ongoing trend structure. HYPE continues to trade substantially above both key support levels, a setup that typically signals strong bullish continuation conditions.

Momentum indicators have also turned decisively bullish. On the daily timeframe, the MACD histogram remains deeply positive while the MACD line continues expanding above its signal line after a strong crossover earlier this month. Expanding histogram bars suggest buying momentum has not yet fully exhausted itself despite the steep rally.

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Derivatives positioning also points toward elevated volatility ahead. According to CoinGlass liquidation heatmaps, large leveraged short liquidation clusters are concentrated between $65 and $66.7. A decisive breakthrough in this region could trigger forced liquidations from overleveraged bears, potentially accelerating upside momentum in a short squeeze scenario.

Beneath current prices, notable liquidity pockets have formed near $61 and $60.5, creating important short-term support zones in the event of profit-taking pressure. Heavy leverage concentration around these levels suggests bulls will likely attempt to defend them aggressively during pullbacks.

Funding rates across major exchanges have remained positive but have not yet reached the overheated extremes typically associated with local cycle tops. Open interest, however, has climbed sharply alongside price, indicating new leveraged positions continue entering the market rather than traders merely closing shorts.

Market analyst Altcoin Sherpa noted on X that HYPE remains “one of the strongest trend structures in crypto right now,” adding that momentum traders will likely continue buying dips unless Bitcoin experiences a sharp macro-driven correction.

What risks could slow the HYPE rally?

Despite the strong trend, several macro and market risks could disrupt the rally over the coming sessions.

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Federal Reserve policy expectations remain a major variable for speculative assets. Recent U.S. economic data showed inflation pressures stabilizing more slowly than expected, pushing Treasury yields higher and reducing expectations for immediate rate cuts. Higher yields have historically pressured risk assets, particularly highly leveraged crypto trades.

Oil markets also remain volatile amid ongoing geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran and shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Sudden spikes in crude prices could weaken overall market risk appetite, even though Hyperliquid has benefited from increased commodities trading activity tied to these same tensions.

Profit-taking pressure from whales may also intensify near the $65 to $70 region, particularly as traders begin locking in gains after HYPE’s nearly uninterrupted multi-week advance. Large limit sell walls identified by on-chain trackers could temporarily cap upside momentum unless fresh spot demand absorbs the supply.

Still, structural demand drivers continue supporting the bullish case. ETF inflows, automatic protocol buybacks, expanding derivatives volume, and institutional integrations have combined to create one of the strongest narrative setups currently present in the altcoin market.

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If bulls successfully clear the $66.7 liquidation cluster in the near term, the next major psychological resistance sits near $70, followed by a potential extension toward the mid-$70 range. Failure to hold above the $60 support zone, however, could expose HYPE to a deeper retracement toward the breakout region near $50, where previous channel resistance may now act as support.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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TLDR

• Sivers Semiconductors jumped approximately 50% in a two-day period after landing a $6.6M Department of Defense contract for year two of the EW STAR initiative under CHIPS Act funding.
• Shares reached 87.70 Swedish kronor during Monday trading, marking a 20.30% daily increase after climbing 23.45% the previous session.
• The firm revised its financial statements for both 2024 and 2025, showing an expanded 2025 net deficit of 222.6 million kronor versus the initially disclosed 186.5 million.
• Swedish authorities are probing potential insider trading related to premature disclosure of the company’s planned Nasdaq dual-listing.
• Current valuation reflects a price-to-sales ratio of 59.69, significantly exceeding the consensus analyst target of 6.55 Swedish kronor per share.

Sivers Semiconductors has delivered one of the most dramatic stock performances in European markets this year. The Swedish manufacturer of photonics and RF semiconductor components rallied approximately 50% over just two trading days — powered by a $6.6 million U.S. military contract and growing investor enthusiasm for AI infrastructure opportunities.

When markets closed on Monday, shares stood at 87.70 Swedish kronor, representing a 20.30% single-day advance. This came immediately after a 23.45% surge from 72.90 kronor in the preceding session. The consecutive gains elevated the company’s market capitalization to approximately 21.54 billion Swedish kronor.

The driving force behind this momentum was the second-year funding approval under the EW STAR initiative, administered through the U.S. Microelectronics Commons program with backing from the CHIPS and Science Act. The Pentagon-supported financing comes via the Northeast Microelectronics Coalition Hub, which encompasses eight states across the northeastern United States. Significantly, these funds are milestone-dependent — Sivers secured payment only after successfully completing year-one technical objectives, lending some legitimacy to the achievement.

EW STAR concentrates on developing broadband antenna array systems designed for simultaneous transmission and reception capabilities in electronic warfare, radar detection, and secure communications. Sivers is simultaneously marketing its beamforming and photonic innovations for satellite connectivity and AI-powered data center infrastructure — two segments where investor demand has been particularly intense recently.

Momentum Accelerates Without Fresh Catalysts

Monday’s 20% spike occurred without any new company disclosures. The preceding days had featured governance announcements — a recommended board restructuring that would introduce two new directors with expertise in capital markets and technology expansion, while removing several founding members and early investors. The incoming nominees, Joakim Nideborn and Helena Svancar, align with the company’s strategic pivot toward American markets and AI-related infrastructure.

The board overhaul also signals mounting pressure from various stakeholders. Achilles Capital, Sivers’ top individual shareholder, maintains connections to DDM Finance, currently undergoing debt restructuring with plans to liquidate €30–50 million in holdings. Whether Sivers shares factor into that disposal remains uncertain. Meanwhile, short positions include Voleon Capital at 1.86% and Two Sigma at 1.78%.

Financial Revisions and Criminal Scrutiny

The company’s financial standing presents challenges. Sivers reissued its accounts for 2024 and 2025 to align with U.S. PCAOB compliance requirements in preparation for a prospective Nasdaq dual-listing. The 2025 revision showed revenue of 306.6 million kronor, while the operating deficit expanded to 177.8 million kronor and the net loss reached 222.6 million kronor — substantially higher than the previously disclosed 186.5 million. The 2024 adjustments proved even more significant, reducing revenue from 243.7 million to 219.2 million kronor and enlarging the net loss from 116.3 million to 183.9 million kronor.

Compounding these concerns, Sweden’s Economic Crime Authority has launched an investigation into suspected insider trading. An unidentified social media profile with substantial reach published specifics about the Nasdaq listing strategy approximately 48 hours ahead of the official statement, triggering abnormal trading activity. Prosecutor Jonas Myrdal is evaluating whether violations of EU Market Abuse Regulation occurred.

Despite these headwinds, the stock commands a price-to-sales multiple of 59.69 and a price-to-book ratio of 20.00. The mean analyst price target remains at only 6.55 Swedish kronor — substantially below current trading levels.

Sivers has postponed its Q1 earnings release until May 29 and scheduled its annual general meeting for June 15, where investors will decide on a management incentive structure covering up to 7 million stock options, equating to roughly 2% equity dilution.