Crypto World
Iran Closes Strait of Hormuz, Shattering Fragile Ceasefire
Iran’s Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters announced on June 20, 2026, that the Strait of Hormuz is closed to vessel traffic. The command cited alleged violations of the Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding by the United States and Israel.
This declaration directly challenges the recent de-escalation framework and reintroduces risks to global oil transit at a moment when markets had priced in relief.
The Official Declaration
Iran’s Khatam al-Anbiya Central Headquarters, which coordinates the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and regular armed forces, issued the statement through state media.
It described the closure as the “first step” in response to breaches of the ceasefire agreement. The command warned that further measures would follow if aggression continues.
Iranian outlets including Mehr News carried the announcement.
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The Strait of Hormuz serves as a critical chokepoint. Approximately 20 million barrels of oil pass through it daily.
This volume accounts for roughly 20-25% of global seaborne oil trade. Significant liquefied natural gas exports from Qatar and the UAE also transit the waterway.
Historical disruptions in the region have driven sharp spikes in energy prices and shipping costs worldwide.
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Crypto World
Wall Street Goes All-In on Blockchain Infrastructure in 2026
TLDR:
- Mastercard and Visa are building stablecoin settlement rails for issuers and payment networks.
- Five major US banks plan a tokenized deposit network targeted for early 2027 launch.
- DTCC’s tokenization service spans 50+ firms, with RWA trades starting in July 2026.
- Standard Chartered’s Zodia Custody deal strengthens institutional digital asset custody offerings.
Wall Street’s institutional embrace of blockchain is accelerating, with Citi, Mastercard, Visa, DTCC, and several major banks now testing infrastructure for stablecoins, tokenized deposits, and settlement.
These moves signal a shift from trading-focused crypto exposure toward core financial plumbing, reshaping how money and assets move across global markets.
Payments and Deposits Drive Early Adoption
Stablecoin settlement has become a focal point for payment networks. Mastercard said in June it would add stablecoin settlement options for issuers and acquirers, while Visa is testing private stablecoin settlement with Brale on the Canton Network, a privacy-focused blockchain built for institutions.
Banks are pursuing a parallel approach centered on tokenized deposits. JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, and The Clearing House are planning a bank-led tokenized deposit network targeted for the first half of 2027, according to a Wall Street Journal report.
Retail banking is also entering the space. SoFi launched its own SoFiUSD stablecoin on its retail banking platform and named Bullish as its first centralized exchange partner. The company’s leadership framed this as removing a long-standing barrier between crypto and traditional finance.
As CoinMarketCap noted in its coverage, Wall Street is entering the next phase of institutional crypto adoption, moving beyond trading desks and exchange-traded funds into core financial infrastructure. This shift extends well past payments into asset management itself.
Tokenization Reaches Private Markets and Fund Products
Private market access is expanding through tokenized structures. Citi launched Digital Depositary Receipts for private-company shares in June, creating a new way for investors to access private markets, amid rising demand for exposure to high-profile IPO candidates.
Fund products are following a similar path onchain. BlackRock has filed to expand its tokenized fund suite following the 2024 launch of BUIDL, its first tokenized money market fund.
Separately, Ondo Finance, Kinexys by J.P. Morgan, Mastercard, and Ripple completed a pilot to redeem a tokenized US Treasury fund on blockchain rails in May.
Equities are also moving toward tokenized formats. Coinbase has outlined plans to offer tokenized US equities to non-US customers, while Kraken’s parent company, Payward, has pushed tokenized IPO access through xStocks.
Behind these products, infrastructure providers are building the systems that support settlement and custody at scale.
DTCC said in May it was rolling out a tokenization service with more than 50 financial firms, with initial limited production trades for select tokenized real-world assets planned for July and a broader launch targeted for October.
Custody infrastructure is consolidating as well. Standard Chartered said in May it would acquire Zodia Custody’s crypto custody business and fold it into its own infrastructure, deepening its digital asset capabilities.
Industry observers describe this custody layer as essential groundwork. Ripple and Quinlan & Associates wrote in a February report that digital asset custody forms the foundational layer underpinning all digital asset use cases for financial institutions.
Together, these developments point toward blockchain becoming embedded in everyday financial operations, moving money, issuing securities, and settling transactions across major institutions.
Crypto World
600,000 SOL Moved to Exchanges: Is a Drop to $50 Next?
Solana investors have changed their tactics in the past several days, as on-chain data shows a massive spike in SOL exchange inflows.
According to popular analyst Ali Martinez, such behavior could be the catalyst for a more profound price decline, possibly pushing the asset toward $50, a level not seen in almost three years.
600K SOL Reach Exchanges
Citing data from Glassnode, Martinez outlined the significant uptick in the number of SOL tokens that reached exchanges, going from about 27 million to over 27.6 million, meaning a 600,000 coin deposit. Similar developments suggest that “market participants are moving liquid supply out of private wallets, signaling rising caution around current price levels.”
He added that large-scale token transfers to trading platforms hint at potential de-risking or hedging from investors, potentially leading toward a “short-term drawdown.”
The analyst with over 165,000 followers on X warned that the $50 level might come into focus if this “spot supply triggers an immediate flush.”
“A localized pullback into this key zone would serve to fully absorb the short-term panic and clear the path for a healthy accumulation base before the next major expansion,” he added.
600,000 Solana $SOL were just deposited into trading platforms.
This rapid spike in exchange inflows indicates that market participants are moving liquid supply out of private wallets, signaling rising caution around current price levels.
Historically, large-scale token… pic.twitter.com/hUdZu5XPFd
— Ali Charts (@alicharts) June 20, 2026
Up or Down Next?
Solana’s native token is up by over 4.5% in the past 24 hours, and has seemingly reclaimed the $70 support. However, fellow analyst Crypto Tony warned that the asset could drop toward $60 if this particular level gives in. The token slipped to $60 during the early June crash, but managed to defend that level. It hasn’t traded at Martinez’s lower target at $50 since late 2023.
Daan Crypto Trades also weighed in on SOL’s potential, but he focused on the BTC pair. He believes SOL is “attempting a breakout from this ralling wedge,” which could send it well above the current upper boundary of 0.0011 SAT. This became possible after SOL bounced from the lower boundary in early June at 0.001 SAT.
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Crypto World
Kiyosaki Eyes Gold, Silver Rebound as Hormuz Risks Keep Safe-Haven Case Alive
Robert Kiyosaki says he is watching gold, silver, Bitcoin (BTC), and Ethereum (ETH) for a technical reversal before buying, arguing that the macro backdrop, not falling prices, decides whether hard assets are worth holding.
Precious metals extended a steep retreat this week, and a fresh dispute over the Strait of Hormuz tested a days-old US-Iran ceasefire. BTC and ETH edged higher over 24 hours.
Kiyosaki Watches Gold and Silver Context, Not Price
Kiyosaki built his case around the environment rather than the chart. The Rich Dad Poor Dad author said a falling market alone never tells him whether to buy or sell.
He pointed to whether political and banking leaders are fixing the economy or making it worse, and has called dips buying opportunities before.
“I have learned to understand the ‘context’ or the environment the asset is in….not the price… So I am watching prices of gold, silver, Bitcoin, and Ethereum on technical charts and will buy when prices reverse their decline,” Kiyosaki wrote in a post.
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The metals he is eyeing set records before the pullback. Gold hit an all-time high near $5,595 an ounce in late January and silver topped $100 for the first time.
Both records capped a run nearly doubling gold and quadrupling silver in a year.
This week’s ceasefire then drained the safe-haven premium the February war and Hormuz threats had rebuilt.
Kiyosaki keeps backing silver and Bitcoin and claims the charts point to a rebound, with no price target or timeline.
Hormuz Dispute Keeps the Safe-Haven Bid Alive
The backdrop Kiyosaki described stayed unsettled. Iran’s Revolutionary Guard declared the Strait of Hormuz closed over alleged ceasefire violations and warned vessels away.
Vice President JD Vance countered that no evidence backed the claim. Vance said the waterway stayed open, and CENTCOM reported 55 ships moving more than 17 million barrels of oil through Hormuz on Saturday.
That is close to the 20 million a day, about a fifth of global oil demand, the EIA says the strait normally carries.
Bitcoin traded above $64,000, up about 1.4%, while ETH held near $1,740, with both gains following developments at the Strait of Hormuz.
Even so, BTC sits roughly 49% below its October record near $126,000 and ETH about 65% under its August peak, with BTC down about 17% and ETH 18% over the past month.
Earlier Hormuz tensions dragged Bitcoin lower, and a US strike on Iran under the truce sent Bitcoin, gold, and oil moving within hours.
With US-Iran talks set for Switzerland on Sunday, the next signal is whether the ceasefire holds. For Kiyosaki, the charts rather than the headlines will decide his next move.
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Crypto World
Iran reportedly closes Strait of Hormuz again, raising doubt over talks
Vessels at the Strait of Hormuz, as seen from Musandam, Oman, June 15, 2026.
Stringer | Reuters
Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz closed again on Saturday and warned vessels to stay away from the critical shipping route, but the U.S. denied those claims, stating the waterway remained open.
Tensions between the two countries escalated just days after Tehran and Washington reached an interim agreement to end hostilities in the region.
The announcement by Iran’s military and the country’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps came as Iranian negotiators prepared to travel to Switzerland for technical-level talks with U.S. officials scheduled to begin Sunday.
Iran’s joint military command said the closure of the strait was in response to continued Israeli military operations in Lebanon and what it described as U.S. “bad faith” and a failure to uphold commitments under the truce framework, AP reported. Iranian state television said “subsequent steps have been planned” if what it called aggression continues, according to multiple outlets.
Earlier Saturday, Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon killed at least 16 people, including two children, AP reported, citing Lebanese authorities. Lebanon’s state-run National News Agency said seven people remained trapped beneath rubble in Nabatiyeh and nearby villages following the attacks, according to AP.
The U.S. military said the Strait of Hormuz had not been closed, however, and said that U.S. forces were monitoring the situation to ensure that it remained open, Reuters reported.
“Iran does not control the Strait of Hormuz,” U.S. Central Command spokesperson Navy Captain Tim Hawkins told Reuters. “Traffic continues to flow, and U.S. forces are monitoring the situation to ensure this remains the case.”
The attempt to shut down the strait again raises the stakes ahead of the talks in Switzerland, which are intended to advance the interim agreement reached Wednesday between U.S. President Donald Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian after nearly four months of war.
The signed memorandum of understanding had called for the immediate end to military actions by Israel in Lebanon and the full reopening of the Hormuz strait without tolls imposed by Iran for at least 60 days.
U.S. officials disputed Iran’s assertion that it had closed the Strait of Hormuz, Reuters reported.
“Iran does not control the Strait of Hormuz,” U.S. Central Command spokesman Navy Captain Tim Hawkins told Reuters. “Traffic continues to flow, and U.S. forces are monitoring the situation to ensure this remains the case.”
Vance says talks to continue
U.S. Vice President JD Vance struck an optimistic tone Saturday, saying negotiations were advancing despite Iran’s latest threat to shut the strait.
Speaking on Fox News earlier Saturday, Vance said Jared Kushner, Trump’s son-in-law, and special envoy Steve Witkoff in Switzerland were working through the agreement’s technical details. He added that discussions were “going well.”
Vance noted that tanker traffic had rebounded sharply following the ceasefire agreement.
“We actually got 16 million barrels of oil out of the Strait of Hormuz yesterday,” Vance said. “That is a record going back to even before the conflict started.”
He also said negotiators were focused on securing Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile to make it “effectively impossible” for Tehran to rebuild its nuclear program, while emphasizing that the United States retained significant economic leverage if Iran failed to comply with the agreement.
Vance said he expects to travel to Switzerland within days to join the Iran negotiations, though he cautioned that diplomatic arrangements involving Qatari and Pakistani mediators were still being finalized.
Crypto World
Why Isn’t Robert Kiyosaki Buying the Dip in BTC, ETH, Gold, and Silver?
Current prices are not the most important thing when it comes to determining whether it’s the right time to acquire a certain asset, said the person behind one of the most popular investment books, Rich Dad, Poor Dad.
Kiyosaki further explained when he is prepared to start acquiring more BTC, ETH, silver, and gold amid all assets’ recent declines.
When Will Kiyosaki Start Buying Again?
It has been a wild year for investors in all assets. Bitcoin’s price began the year with a surge toward $100,000, where it was stopped, and the subsequent months were quite painful. The correction culmination, at least for now, was in early June at $59,100. ETH followed a similar path, dumping to $1,500 a few weeks back. Although both have recovered some ground since then, they are still deep in the red YTD.
Even the two largest precious metals, typically considered more stable and reliable, have bled out. Silver pumped above $120 at the start of the month, but now sits nearly 50% away from that peak. Gold rocketed to $5,600/oz, but its crash has been quite painful, ending the business week at under $4,160/oz (a 25% correction).
Robert Kiyosaki believes these dips are not the only factor that matters. In fact, he admitted that he has recently made this mistake of “letting price determine reasons to buy or sell any asset.” He has now learned to “understand the ‘context’ or the environment the asset is in… not the price.”
The author and investor explained that he has shifted his focus to the technical charts of the four assets mentioned above and “will buy when prices reverse their decline.” Moreover, he predicted that the two precious metals are “poised for a massive rise in prices.”
No Safe-Haven Status?
Being down YTD and since their respective peaks marked in January, both bitcoin and gold raised some analysts’ eyebrows regarding their safe-haven status. Market observer and commentator Charlie Bilello recently pointed out that this decline in both assets’ prices is quite hard to explain, especially since most major stocks are up by double digits.
He believes a major part of this is due to rotation, as investors have turned their attention to the tech sector, mostly because of the AI boom. He added that capital has opted to move to assets with earnings momentum rather than staying on stores of value with negligible yield.
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Crypto World
Anthropic, OpenAI Pursue IPOs as Enterprise AI Spending Faces Pushback
TLDR:
- OpenAI’s 2025 net loss hit $38.5 billion despite revenue tripling to $13.07 billion overall.
- Uber, Amazon and JPMorgan now restrict employee AI usage after costs spiraled unexpectedly.
- Anthropic and OpenAI filed confidentially for IPOs, both targeting valuations near $850 billion.
- Chinese models DeepSeek and Kimi undercut Anthropic and OpenAI pricing in benchmark cost tests.
Anthropic and OpenAI are pushing toward public markets while facing mounting questions about AI spending sustainability.
OpenAI posted a $38.5 billion net loss in 2025, even as revenue tripled to $13.07 billion. Rising pay-per-token costs have prompted major employers to limit staff usage, raising doubts about near-term profitability for both companies.
Enterprise Costs Spark Internal Crackdowns
Several large corporations have begun restricting employee access to AI tools after expenses climbed sharply. Uber reportedly exhausted its 2026 AI budget by April and now caps spending at $1,500 per employee monthly.
Amazon told staff to avoid using AI tools without clear purpose, following reports that engineers ran automated agents to climb internal usage leaderboards.
JPMorgan circulated an internal memo this month addressing excessive AI spending across departments. Some employees reportedly generated AI bills exceeding their own monthly salaries.
These examples reflect a broader pattern among companies that adopted AI tools aggressively over the past two years.
One pricing shift illustrates the scale of the problem. Workato saw its Anthropic bill increase 700% in a single day after the company moved from flat-rate to pay-per-token pricing in May.
Workato’s chief information officer said earlier subsidized pricing had encouraged widespread adoption before actual costs became visible.
IPO Timing Collides With Spending Concerns
Anthropic and OpenAI filed confidentially for public offerings this month, both reportedly targeting valuations near $850 billion.
Neither company has reached profitability, and OpenAI’s losses nearly tripled year over year. In 2024, the company lost $5.09 billion, a figure that grew to $38.5 billion in 2025.
This timing creates friction for both firms as they court investor confidence. Public offerings typically require evidence of sustainable revenue growth, yet enterprise clients are simultaneously scaling back usage. The same trend driving corporate cost-cutting threatens the growth narrative needed for successful IPO valuations.
OpenAI is reportedly considering token price reductions to retain customers shifting toward Anthropic’s offerings. According to the Wall Street Journal, Anthropic’s Claude Code product helped push annualized revenue from $9 billion to $47 billion within five months. That growth has intensified competitive pressure between the two firms.
Competitive Pricing Pressure Intensifies From Chinese Models
Artificial Analysis tested major AI models on identical benchmark tasks, comparing total operational costs. Anthropic’s flagship model cost $4,811 to complete the test suite, while OpenAI’s model cost $3,357 for the same workload.
Chinese alternatives showed substantially lower costs in the same testing. DeepSeek completed the benchmark for $1,071, while Kimi finished for $948.
These figures suggest Chinese developers prioritize cost efficiency over matching premium-tier performance metrics.
Bain surveyed nearly 1,000 companies regarding AI return on investment, finding that 40% reported actual cost savings below 10%.
One investor told Axios that a corporate finance officer spent $500 million on Claude access in a single month before anyone noticed.
As Anthropic and OpenAI prepare investor pitches, enterprise customers are demonstrating measurable resistance to current pricing structures.
Crypto World
Michael Saylor Touts $48 Billion Bitcoin Turnaround, But Can MicroStrategy’s STRC Survive 2026?
Michael Saylor marked Strategy’s turnaround from its 2022 lows, saying the firm’s Bitcoin (BTC) and cash reserves now top its debt by roughly $48 billion. His remarks land as MicroStrategy’s STRC preferred stock trades well below its $100 target.
Saylor is celebrating a multi-year win, yet traders question whether his newest Bitcoin funding tool can hold steady.
How Strategy Climbed Back From Its 2022 Lows
In October 2022, the company then called MicroStrategy (MSTR) held about 130,000 BTC. Weeks later, as the FTX collapse drove Bitcoin below $16,000, Saylor says its debt briefly topped its Bitcoin and cash by about $300 million.
Adjusted for a 10-for-1 split in 2024, the stock traded near $13. Michael Saylor says the picture has since transformed.
MicroStrategy has raised more than $60 billion, and it now holds about 843,700 BTC, more than any other public company. He casts the rebound as proof that conviction paid off.
“When I gave this speech in October 2022, Bitcoin traded near $20,000… Today, our BTC and USD reserves exceed debt by ~$48 billion. Thank you to everyone who believed, endured, and took the long view,” Saylor wrote in a post.
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Why STRC Slipped Below Its $100 Target
STRC, formally the Variable Rate Series A Perpetual Stretch Preferred Stock, was built to trade near $100, and Strategy resets the dividend monthly to defend that level. The company has lifted the rate repeatedly, now to 11.5%.
Strategy’s own filings note STRC is not collateralized by its Bitcoin and carries only a preferred claim on residual assets. That makes it a credit product, not a Bitcoin proxy.
The stock has not cooperated. It recently changed hands in the high $80s, having fallen below its $100 floor during the sell-off.
With Bitcoin near $63,700, leverage unwinds and paused issuance drove the slide. MicroStrategy can sell new STRC only at or above par, so a deep discount stalls its Bitcoin-buying machine.
Conviction Meets a Real Stress Test
Supporters remain calm. Michaël van de Poppe, founder of MN Capital, argued that STRC cannot break this cycle unless Bitcoin crashes toward $10,000, and he expects it to move back near par within a week.
Others see a messaging problem rather than a structural one.
Crypto analyst James Van Straten said the panic misreads what STRC is, noting that retail investors hold most of the stock, around 80% by one count.
“$STRC is not a stablecoin, it does not ‘de-peg.’ … The issue has been with [Saylor’s] messaging. You can’t expect ‘one penny of volatility’ when the underlying asset is a 40-50 vol asset and the majority of holders are retail,” the analyst stated.
The selling fears are not new. Strategy made its first-ever Bitcoin sale in that same 2022 window, selling 704 BTC for a tax benefit before rebuying days later.
It again sold 32 BTC this year to help cover dividends, and economist Peter Schiff has branded the structure a house of cards as STRC, MSTR, and Bitcoin fell together.
The timing sharpens the test. Shareholders approved a move to semi-monthly STRC dividends that takes effect at the end of June.
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Crypto World
Ethereum Price Prediction: Can ETH Reclaim $2K Before Month-End?
After finding support around $1.5K earlier this month, Ethereum has managed to stage a modest recovery. However, the asset remains positioned below critical technical barriers, and sentiment metrics indicate that buyers have not yet regained control of the market. The latter specifically shows a lack of strong institutional demand, suggesting that recovery attempts could face considerable headwinds.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, ETH remains firmly inside the large descending channel that has guided price action lower for several months. The asset recently broke below the important $1.85K support area, which has now flipped into resistance. The breakdown accelerated selling pressure toward the major demand zone at roughly $1.5K. This area, coinciding with the mid-line of the channel, has successfully halted the decline so far, producing a relief bounce back toward the $1.8K region.
However, the asset was rejected from the $1.8k zone, and the broader structure remains bearish as ETH continues to trade below both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are sloping downward in the $2.1K-$2.4K range.
The former support zone around $2K now represents the most significant resistance cluster overhead. A recovery into that area would likely attract fresh selling interest unless accompanied by a decisive breakout above the descending channel.
Yet, as long as ETH remains below $1.85K and beneath the channel resistance, the prevailing trend favors sellers. A decline from current levels could expose the $1.5K support region once again, while a breakdown below that demand zone would open the door for a deeper drop toward the lower boundary of the channel below the $1.2K mark.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour timeframe shows a clearer picture. Following the sharp selloff into the $1.5K support area, ETH formed a rising channel and began carving out higher lows. This recovery structure allowed price to rebound toward the $1.8K resistance zone, where sellers quickly regained control and pushed the asset back lower.
The rejection from that resistance area confirms its importance in the near term. Since then, ETH has broken below the ascending channel and is consolidating around $1.7K. The RSI also currently hovers around neutral territory, indicating that bearish momentum has eased but has not yet shifted decisively in favor of buyers.
Immediate support remains at $1.5K, which served as the origin of the recent bounce. Yet, if the measured move of the broken ascending channel plays out, the market could drop well below this zone. On the upside, buyers must still reclaim the $1.8K resistance region to generate stronger recovery momentum. Yet, as things stand, the overall bearish sentiment is still dominant.
Sentiment Analysis
The Coinbase Premium Index continues to provide a bearish signal for Ethereum. This metric measures the price difference between ETH traded on Coinbase and other major exchanges, often serving as a proxy for U.S. institutional and spot demand. Positive readings generally indicate stronger buying activity from Coinbase participants, while negative readings suggest weaker demand and increased selling pressure.
The latest data shows the Coinbase Premium Index remaining predominantly below zero, with recent readings approaching -0.1. This marks one of the weakest periods of Coinbase demand seen since the beginning of last year. Notably, the deterioration in the premium has occurred alongside ETH’s price decline, which reinforces the view that U.S.-based investors have not yet returned aggressively to the market.
Historically, sustained recoveries in Ethereum have often been accompanied by persistent positive premium readings. Until the metric can reclaim and hold above the neutral line, order flow suggests that rallies may continue to face selling pressure rather than broad-based accumulation.
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Crypto World
Crypto Firms Shift to Stablecoins and DeFi Changes Under MiCA 2.0
The European Commission has opened a public consultation on proposed updates to the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework, signaling that Brussels plans to refine how its landmark crypto rules address newer parts of the market. The consultation—initiated in May—comes as full application and enforcement of MiCA began on December 30, 2024, with the first licensing steps rolling out in the early months of 2025.
Some in the industry have already started calling the expected revision “MiCA 2.0,” with regulators aiming to tackle gaps left by the initial law. According to Katie Harries, director and head of policy for Europe at Coinbase, refinements could help keep the EU’s framework “competitive” as digital-asset regulation moves into a second phase—particularly for decentralized finance (DeFi), stablecoins, and tokenization-related activity.
Key takeaways
- Brussels’ consultation is structured to adjust MiCA’s scope and definitions, tighten rules for certain token categories, and broaden coverage to topics not addressed in MiCA 1.0.
- Stablecoin policy is expected to be highly political because the rules could change depending on whether stablecoins are treated like trading instruments or payment infrastructure.
- For DeFi, regulators are looking for practical ways to evaluate “how decentralized” a crypto-asset service provider (CASP) is, rather than treating decentralization as a simple yes-or-no concept.
- EU lawmakers are also seeking input on prediction markets, including whether existing EU regimes would apply and where potential conflicts between frameworks might arise.
- The consultation runs until Aug. 31, but industry observers expect the legislative process to take years, with concrete proposals unlikely before 2028.
MiCA set the baseline—now the EU wants to recalibrate
MiCA’s rollout marked the EU’s attempt to establish a unified approach across member states, replacing fragmented national rules. Harries told Cointelegraph that MiCA “helped set an early global benchmark for digital asset regulation” and gave the EU a “first-mover advantage” by delivering a single, harmonised rulebook for crypto.
In practical terms, Harries said the law is meant to give consumers more transparency and protection, while giving businesses enough regulatory clarity to plan investment and expansion across the bloc. For Coinbase, she added, MiCA has also served as a foundation to scale operations in Europe into the next stage of adoption for both retail and institutional users.
Even so, Brussels is now preparing changes ahead of revisions and additions to the framework. The Commission’s consultation is divided into four parts: updating regulatory scope and definitions for crypto assets other than asset-referenced tokens (ARTs) and e-money tokens (EMTs); setting requirements for EMTs, ARTs and their issuers; defining a legal framework for crypto-asset service providers (CASPs); and addressing areas that MiCA 1.0 did not cover—such as DeFi and prediction markets.
Stablecoins: the use-case determines the regulatory priority
One section of the consultation stands out for its potential downstream effects: stablecoins and related requirements. Catarina Veloso, director of regulatory and compliance at Notabene, described the stablecoin-focused part as the “longest and arguably the most politically charged” segment of the process.
Veloso noted that the way stablecoins are used—whether as a mainstream retail payment tool, a wholesale settlement rail, or as a supplement to existing cross-border payment methods—could heavily influence what rules the EU ultimately prioritizes.
In her view, if stablecoins are treated mainly as crypto trading instruments, regulators may concentrate on investor protection and market integrity. If they are treated more like payment infrastructure, the regulatory center of gravity shifts toward redemption mechanics, liquidity requirements, reserve management, operational resilience, and supervisory reporting.
That shift matters because the risk profile of stablecoins can vary depending on scale, who uses them, and where they sit inside the broader financial system. “What risks they carry,” Veloso said, “depend heavily on how they are used, at what scale, by whom, and in connection with which parts of the financial system.”
Coinbase’s policy priorities focus on making euro stablecoins more competitive within the EU rule set. Harries said Coinbase would like MiCA 2.0 to recalibrate elements including reserve rules, stablecoin rewards, and the multi-issuance model. She argued that allowing a larger share of reserves to be held in “high-quality sovereign assets” could reduce risk without undermining safety.
Another issue is rewards. Veloso pointed out that EMT issuers are currently prohibited from offering interest, which she said can weaken the competitiveness of euro-denominated stablecoins. In practice, that could push users either toward foreign-currency stablecoins or toward yield strategies that sit outside the regulated perimeter.
Harries said Coinbase wants MiCA to permit non-interest incentives—such as cashback and loyalty programmes—stating that these are common features in payments and may support consumer choice and competition.
DeFi under MiCA: regulators want measurable decentralization
A core limitation of MiCA 1.0 is that it does not cover CASPs that are “fully decentralized” and operate without intermediaries. But Veloso cautioned that decentralization is rarely binary in reality.
To build a workable policy, regulators need a way to assess the degree of decentralization and decide which indicators should matter. That includes whether the protocol is under particular control, who holds governance rights, the status of administrative keys, whether the front-end is controlled by a central party, who captures revenue, how upgrades are handled, and whether identifiable persons can materially influence outcomes.
Veloso also said regulators are looking for practical rules to determine when the EU should treat access to DeFi platforms as a regulated service. She explained that, even if platforms themselves are exempt because they are decentralized, the broader question is whether firms that connect users to those platforms should still conduct due diligence obligations vis-à-vis their clients.
Legal practitioners highlighted that this is already a live compliance question. Miroslav Đurić, a senior associate at Taylor Wessing, said many CASPs already connect clients with DeFi platforms, and because those platforms are exempt, regulators are now asking whether CASPs should meet fiduciary duty expectations through due diligence.
Đurić also noted that the Commission may consider different approaches, potentially including options that restrict client connections to DeFi platforms only if they are certified under a future certification regime.
Prediction markets: fitting them into EU frameworks may be tricky
Prediction markets are another area where MiCA’s initial scope is not fully settled. The EU currently lacks a unified regulatory structure for these markets, and they are banned in some member states.
The consultation seeks views on whether prediction markets provide economic benefits for consumers, and whether they should fall under MiCA or the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID). Đurić said the answer depends on the specific contracts offered by each platform.
Because event contracts can have different characteristics, a platform operator could find itself subject to multiple, sometimes conflicting regimes—ranging from MiFID II rules to gambling-related regulation or potentially MiCA requirements—depending on contract structure.
Deadlines—and the long timeline ahead
Crypto industry observers say they plan to remain engaged with Brussels during the consultation process. Harries said an effective MiCA 2.0 will require ongoing “dialogue between industry, policymakers and regulators,” including learning from how the existing framework works in practice and refining parts where additional clarity or flexibility could support the next phase of growth.
While the comment period ends on Aug. 31, Đurić suggested the broader legislative process could take years. He said it is unlikely that concrete legislative proposals will be adopted before 2028, given both the complexity of the topics and the usual pace of EU lawmaking.
For market participants, the key next step is watching how regulators decide to translate stablecoin and DeFi policy questions into enforceable definitions—especially around how decentralization is assessed and how payment-versus-trading use cases shape the rules. Those choices will likely determine how quickly the EU’s second-phase framework can become operational for issuers, platforms, and intermediaries.
Crypto World
Ripple Price Analysis: Where XRP Could Go Next After Its Weekly Rejection
XRP remains under pressure across both its USD and Bitcoin pairs, with the asset continuing to trade within a well-defined bearish structure. While buyers have managed to defend key support levels in recent weeks, the broader trend has yet to show convincing signs of a reversal, as the token remains below major moving averages and the descending trendline resistance.
Ripple Price Analysis: The USDT Pair
On the USDT pair, XRP continues to trade inside a large descending channel that has governed the price action since the second half of 2025. The recent decline pushed the asset back into the critical support zone around $1.1, where buyers have once again stepped in to prevent a deeper breakdown.
This area has acted as a major demand region throughout the current correction and remains the most important support level on the chart. A decisive loss of this zone could expose the next major downside target around the $0.60 region, which marks the next visible demand area on the higher timeframe.
On the upside, XRP is capped by several layers of resistance. The descending channel’s upper boundary currently coincides with the 100-day moving average near the $1.35 area, while the 200-day moving average is positioned higher around $1.75. Beyond that, the major supply zone at $2.5 remains the key level that buyers would need to reclaim to shift the long-term structure back in their favor.
Meanwhile, overall momentum remains weak. Although the RSI has stabilized above the oversold territory, it has yet to generate the type of bullish divergence or strength typically associated with a sustainable trend reversal.
As long as XRP remains below the descending channel resistance and the major moving averages, the broader market structure continues to favor sellers despite the recent stabilization.
The BTC Pair
The BTC pair paints a similarly cautious picture and highlights XRP’s ongoing relative weakness against Bitcoin. After a prolonged decline within a descending channel, XRP/BTC has recently entered a consolidation phase above the key support area around 1,720 SATs. This level has been tested multiple times since May and continues to attract demand, forming the base of the current range.
However, despite holding support, buyers have repeatedly failed to establish a sustained breakout above the nearby resistance zone around 1,850 SATs. This area coincides with the 100-day moving average and has acted as a ceiling throughout June.
If XRP/BTC loses the 1,720 SATs support floor, the next major demand area sits considerably lower around 1,500 SATs. Conversely, a successful breakout above the 1,850 SATs level could open the door for a move toward the next resistance region near 2,000 SATs, where additional supply is likely to emerge.
Still, the BTC pair suggests that XRP has yet to establish meaningful relative strength, reinforcing the cautious outlook visible on the USDT chart. Until buyers reclaim the nearby resistance levels and break the broader descending structure, rallies are likely to be viewed as corrective rather than the start of a new bullish trend.
The post Ripple Price Analysis: Where XRP Could Go Next After Its Weekly Rejection appeared first on CryptoPotato.
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