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Crypto Market Drops 22% in Q1 2026, But Structural Quality Reaches Record Highs: Report

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Stablecoin market cap hit $320B in Q1 2026, with monthly transfer volumes peaking at $1.8T.
  • Systemic leverage compressed to ~3% after October’s deleveraging, reshaping how crypto trades.
  • Corporate Bitcoin holdings crossed 1.13M BTC, with treasury strategies turning actively managed.
  • Bitcoin ETPs attracted $18.7B in global inflows, with March alone bringing $1.3B net back in.

Digital asset markets fell sharply in the first quarter of 2026, shedding roughly 22% of total market value. Total capitalisation dropped to approximately $2.42 trillion, according to AMINA Bank’s Q1 Crypto Market Monitor. 

Yet beneath the price decline, core adoption metrics hit record highs. Stablecoin supply reached $320 billion, corporate Bitcoin reserves crossed 1.13 million BTC, and systemic leverage compressed to around 3%.

Leverage Collapses as Market Structure Resets After October Shock

According to the AMINA Bank report , the October 2025 deleveraging event fundamentally reset how digital assets trade. 

Reflexive, momentum-driven rallies gave way to a market built on spot flows and structured hedging. That transition defined Q1 2026.

Total trading volume reached $20.57 trillion for the quarter. Derivatives accounted for $18.63 trillion of that figure. Within derivatives, the composition shifted. 

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Bitcoin options open interest consistently exceeded perpetual futures, with positions weighted toward downside protection. That shift, highlighted in AMINA Bank’s report, signals that institutional participants are managing risk rather than chasing direction.

The macro backdrop accelerated the repricing. US inflation held at 2.7% while GDP expanded 5.3%. The Federal Reserve kept rates at 3.50% to 3.75%, with markets pricing out cuts for the year. 

In late February, geopolitical escalation in the Middle East led to the Strait of Hormuz closure. Oil surpassed $112 per barrel. Risk appetite fell across asset classes.

Through that pressure, Bitcoin held above prior lows. It also showed resilience following Google’s Quantum AI paper, which triggered a fresh wave of quantum computing fears. 

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When markets absorb bad news without breaking down, AMINA Bank’s report frames that pattern as evidence of seller exhaustion.

Bitcoin Treasury Strategies Go Active as Stablecoins Become Financial Rail Infrastructure

Bitcoin maintained approximately 56% market dominance through the quarter. Corporate accumulation continued, but the behaviour behind it changed. Treasury strategies moved from passive holding to active capital management.

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Strategy Inc. added nearly 65,000 BTC during Q1, lifting total holdings to 762,000 BTC. Japan-based Metaplanet scaled its position to over 40,000 BTC. 

MARA Holdings sold more than 15,000 BTC to optimise its balance sheet. The divergence illustrates that corporate Bitcoin exposure is no longer uniform. It is becoming a managed allocation decision.

ETF flows reflected a similar dynamic. 

The quarter recorded modest net outflows overall, but March reversed that trend with over $1.3 billion in net inflows. Globally, exchange-traded products drew $18.7 billion in inflows for the period, according to AMINA Bank’s data.

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Stablecoins emerged as the quarter’s most structurally important development. Monthly transfer volumes peaked at $1.8 trillion. Solana led throughput, processing approximately $650 billion in monthly stablecoin volume. 

New purpose-built chains including Plasma, Arc, and Tempo entered development specifically for stablecoin settlement. The GENIUS Act framework also moved into its operational phase, introducing formal rulemaking for payment stablecoins in the US.

DeFi total value locked rose to $92.43 billion. Tokenised real-world assets crossed $20 billion in market capitalisation. AI-driven agents executed over 120 million on-chain transactions during the quarter. 

Ethereum, despite a 35% price decline, retained over 56% of total DeFi value locked. Its forthcoming Glamsterdam upgrade targets Layer 1 throughput through enshrined proposer-builder separation and block-level parallel execution.

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In public markets, selectivity replaced appetite. BitGo’s post-IPO performance declined 44%. Kraken paused its IPO plans. 

Circle, by contrast, posted strong revenue growth as USDC circulation expanded, reinforcing that capital is still flowing to sustainable infrastructure models.

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Blockchain Forum 2026 Brings Together 16,388 Participants in Moscow

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Blockchain Forum 2026 took place at Crocus Expo, establishing itself as one of Russia’s leading events in the fields of crypto, digital assets, and artificial intelligence.The forum brought together 16,388 participants, reinforcing its role as a key platform where market trends are shaped and the decisions defining the near future of the industry are discussed.

A major highlight of this year’s forum was the high-level dialogue between crypto businesses and government institutions. For the first time, such a scale of regulatory discussions took place within a single event. Representatives of the Central Bank of Russia, the State Duma, the Ministry of Energy, the Ministry of Digital Development, and other government bodies participated in panels focused on regulation, infrastructure development, and the integration of digital assets into the broader economy.

The stage featured leading figures from across the global industry — founders of crypto projects, top executives of major companies, investors, and public sector representatives. The event also brought together leaders from prominent Russian IT and fintech companies, including Yandex, Sber, Alfa-Bank, T-Bank, and MTS.

One of the key highlights was a talk by Errol Musk, entrepreneur, investor in AI and digital assets, and father of Elon Musk. His strategic perspective on technological development and market evolution attracted strong attention from the audience.

Garrett Bullish, one of the largest investors in crypto assets, also shared his outlook on the current market cycle and the key factors shaping its future.

The business program also featured the first large-scale AI Future Forum, a dedicated track exploring the role of artificial intelligence in shaping the future digital economy both in Russia and globally. Speakers included representatives from Rosatom, NTI, the State Duma, and other key institutions.

Beyond the conference program, Blockchain Forum once again proved to be a high-level networking platform. Over two days, participants held dozens of meetings and negotiations, forming new partnerships and business connections. The forum combined a strong conference agenda, an expo, and a professional environment for direct interaction between key market players.

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The event concluded with an official AfterParty, where participants continued networking in a more informal setting. The evening featured a live performance by L’One.

The forum was supported by its key partners:

Promminer – an ecosystem of industrial mining solutions, including equipment supply, data center construction, its own mining pool, and advanced monitoring systems.

CoinW – a cryptocurrency exchange operating since 2017, offering spot and futures trading, Earn products, and ETF trading.

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The next Blockchain Life event will take place on Dec. 1-2, 2026, in Dubai, once again bringing together key players from the global market.

At the same time, registration is already open for the next Blockchain Forum in Moscow, where the industry will continue to shape its agenda and build strategic partnerships.Tickets and participation opportunities are available on the official website

The post Blockchain Forum 2026 Brings Together 16,388 Participants in Moscow appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Russia-linked Grinex exchange halts operations after $13 million ‘state-backed’ hack

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Russia-linked Grinex exchange halts operations after $13 million ‘state-backed’ hack

Grinex, a cryptocurrency exchange popular with sanctions-avoiding Russians, suspended operations after saying a cyber attack drained about 1 billion rubles ($13 million) from its systems.

The platform, based in Kyrgyzstan, disclosed the breach on its Telegram channel and a statement on its website. It said the attack showed a level of coordination and technical skill that points to state-backed actors from “unfriendly states.”

“The digital footprints and nature of the attack indicate an unprecedented level of resources and technology available exclusively to the structures of unfriendly states,” the Grinex statement reads. “According to preliminary data, the attack was coordinated with the goal of inflicting direct damage on Russia’s financial sovereignty.”

Grinex itself was placed under sanctions by the U.S., U.K. and European Union last year. Officials in Washington D.C. have said the exchange, originally known as Garantex, helped users move funds around restrictions through a ruble-backed stablecoin known as A7A5.

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The token allowed cross-border payments when Russia’s access to the Swift inter-bank messaging system was cut off over the country’s invasion of Ukraine. Shortly after being taken down, the platform resurfaced as Grinex.

The pause in trading leaves users unable to access funds while the company investigates. Access to its office in Moscow was also restricted.

Grinex has published a list of 54 affected wallet addresses and the drained amounts, most of which were in the form of USDT on the TRON blockchain.

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Crude Oil Tumbles Over 3% on US-Iran Diplomatic Breakthrough Hopes

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Brent Crude Oil Last Day Financ (BZ=F)

TLDR

  • Brent crude slipped toward $98 per barrel, WTI approached $93, with both benchmarks losing more than 3% over the week
  • President Trump announced a 10-day Israel-Lebanon truce and stated Iran accepted critical terms
  • Tehran has not publicly verified any agreements, including reopening the Strait of Hormuz
  • IEA cautioned that restoring oil and gas output could require as long as two years
  • IEA and OPEC both project softer global oil demand in the months ahead

Oil prices tumbled on Friday following diplomatic overtures from Washington suggesting a potential resolution to the nearly 50-day US-Iran standoff.

Brent crude declined 1.1% to approximately $98.32 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate fell 1.3% to $89.95. Weekly losses for both benchmarks exceeded 3%.

Brent Crude Oil Last Day Financ (BZ=F)
Brent Crude Oil Last Day Financ (BZ=F)

The confrontation erupted in February following coordinated US-Israeli strikes against Iran. In response, Tehran severely restricted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, choking off approximately 20% of worldwide oil shipments. Washington subsequently imposed its own naval blockade.

President Donald Trump adopted an upbeat stance on Thursday, asserting that Iran had accepted previously rejected conditions, notably agreeing to reopen the Strait of Hormuz. Iranian officials have not publicly acknowledged these claims.

Trump simultaneously unveiled a 10-day ceasefire arrangement between Israel and Lebanon. He extended White House invitations to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Lebanese President Joseph Aoun for further discussions.

Incorporating Lebanon into a ceasefire framework represented a critical Iranian prerequisite for wider negotiations. The agreement remained intact through Friday morning.

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“The prevailing narrative has shifted from escalation to stabilization,” remarked Priyanka Sachdeva, senior market analyst at Phillip Nova. “Fear propelled the surge, diplomacy is fueling the pullback.”

Peace Negotiations May Require Months

Several Gulf Arab and European officials indicated that finalizing a comprehensive US-Iran agreement might span approximately six months. They encouraged both nations to prolong the existing ceasefire throughout this negotiation window.

OCBC analysts observed that the US naval blockade reached its fourth day, maintaining Hormuz traffic at virtually stagnant levels. Oil transit through the waterway remains minimal compared to pre-conflict volumes.

Trump expressed confidence he wouldn’t need to prolong the ceasefire to secure an agreement, forecasting a settlement “fairly soon.” He mentioned potentially visiting Pakistan, which facilitated the initial negotiating round, should a deal materialize.

Following weeks of extreme market turbulence, price fluctuations have moderated. Brent oscillated within roughly a $10 per barrel range this week, sharply contrasting with the historic $38 swing recorded in mid-March.

Production Disruptions Could Persist for Years

IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol cautioned that restoring a substantial portion of interrupted oil and gas production might extend up to two years. Any recovery would unfold incrementally, he emphasized.

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Both the IEA and OPEC released downwardly revised global oil demand projections for upcoming months, compounding bearish pressure on crude prices.

“Despite some encouraging geopolitical developments, they haven’t resulted in concrete improvements in actual flows,” observed Rebecca Babin, senior energy trader at CIBC Private Wealth Group.

Authority over the Strait of Hormuz continues unresolved. Iran has indicated intentions to impose transit fees on vessels even following the conflict’s conclusion.

The present US-Iran ceasefire is scheduled to lapse on April 21.

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Texas man behind $20M Meta-1 Coin fraud gets 23-year sentence

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Crypto Breaking News

A Texas man who helped orchestrate a cryptocurrency scam that defrauded roughly $20 million from about 1,000 investors was sentenced to 23 years in federal prison on Tuesday. U.S. District Judge LaShonda Hunt handed down the sentence to Robert Dunlap, who served as a trustee for the Meta-1 Coin project and helped market the fictitious token.

According to the U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Northern District of Illinois, Dunlap and his co-conspirators used a self-created Meta Exchange to inflate the token’s market price and trading volume with automated trading bots, while presenting investors with misleading assurances about asset backing and potential returns. Prosecutors said the scheme relied on false statements and concealed expenses, with funds ultimately used for personal purchases, including luxury vehicles such as a Ferrari.

The defendant was convicted in November on two counts of mail fraud, each carrying a potential sentence of up to 20 years in federal prison. Prosecutors noted in the sentencing memorandum that Dunlap was “unrepentant” and that his misrepresentations escalated over time, underscoring the seriousness of the case as a warning to would-be crypto scammers.

The SEC has been active in pursuing similar schemes. In March 2020, the agency ordered an asset freeze and other emergency relief against Dunlap, an alleged accomplice, Nicole Bowdler, and former Washington state Senator David Schmidt to stop marketing and selling Meta-1 Coin. The SEC alleged that investors were told Meta-1 Coin was risk-free and could deliver enormous returns—claims that investors later learned were false. The agency noted that the coins were never distributed and that funds were diverted to personal use.

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Token claims, market manipulation, and the broader crackdown

The case centers on Meta-1 Coin, a token that prosecutors said was touted as backed by a $1 billion art collection—including works by Picasso and van Gogh—and $44 billion in gold. Those asset-backed claims were part of the fraud profile presented by the government, which also described how Dunlap and associates marketed the token through a trust structure from 2018 to 2023. The government alleged investors were promised returns that would dwarf typical crypto gains, with figures that were manipulated to create an illusion of robust trading activity.

Beyond the Meta-1 case, regulators and authorities have signaled a broader push to curb crypto fraud and manipulation. In parallel reporting, authorities have pursued other crypto-related prosecutions, including charges related to hacking and DeFi-related exploits, underscoring a tightening stance as enforcement agencies increasingly scrutinize market misconduct in digital assets.

What this means for investors and the market

The Dunlap sentence highlights the risk profile of investment projects that promise outsized, rapid returns and rely on opaque asset claims. For investors, the case emphasizes the importance of due diligence, independent verification of asset backing, and a healthy skepticism toward platforms that blend trading activity with promises of instant wealth. For the crypto industry, the outcome signals regulators’ willingness to pursue not only misrepresentation but also the operational mechanics that enable such fraud, including automated market manipulation tied to self-hosted exchanges.

Looking ahead, readers should watch how the regulatory pendulum continues to swing on disclosure standards, enforcement actions, and the treatment of asset-backed crypto products. While the Meta-1 saga has reached a definitive sentencing point, the broader crackdown on crypto scams is far from over, with ongoing investigations and charges shaping market expectations for investor protection and compliance in the sector.

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According to the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Illinois, the case serves as a stark reminder that alleged crypto fraud carries serious, long-lasting consequences. For further context, the original SEC filing and press release detailing the 2020 asset freeze are available through the agency’s public records.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Circle Internet Group faces class action over failure to stop Drift Protocol exploit funds

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Circle Internet Group faces class action over Drift Protocol exploit
Circle Internet Group faces class action over Drift Protocol exploit
  • Circle is accused of failing to freeze exploit-linked transfers.
  • Approximately $230 million in stolen funds was routed through Circle’s USDC.
  • Drift plans $147.5 million recovery backed by future revenue.

Circle Internet Group, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, is facing a class action lawsuit over its alleged failure to stop the movement of stolen funds linked to the Drift Protocol exploit.

The lawsuit, filed by Drift investor Joshua McCollum at the US district court in Massachusetts on behalf of over 100 impacted users, centres on whether the company had both the ability and the obligation to intervene as the exploit unfolded.

Lawsuit targets Circle’s role in fund transfers

The legal action stems from the April 2026 breach of Drift Protocol, a Solana-based decentralised exchange, where attackers drained roughly $285 million.

A significant portion of those funds, estimated at around $230 million, was quickly converted into USDC.

From there, the funds were moved across chains, primarily from Solana to Ethereum, using cross-chain infrastructure.

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The transfers were not instantaneous. They occurred over several hours and were split into more than 100 transactions.

This detail sits at the centre of the lawsuit.

Plaintiffs argue that Circle had a window of opportunity to act.

According to the claim, the company could have frozen the affected wallets or halted the transfers, limiting the damage. Instead, the funds continued moving until they were fully out of reach.

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The case accuses Circle of negligence and of indirectly facilitating the loss by failing to act despite having the technical capability to do so.

This argument is reinforced by previous instances where the company has frozen wallets tied to illicit activity, showing that such intervention is not only possible but already part of its operational toolkit.

At its core, the lawsuit raises a difficult question: when a centralised entity operates within a decentralised system, where does its responsibility begin and end?

Drift’s recovery plan

In response to the exploit, Drift Protocol has outlined a structured recovery plan aimed at addressing user losses while rebuilding the platform’s liquidity and operations.

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The protocol is seeking to mobilise up to $147.5 million, with a significant portion backed by Tether and other ecosystem partners.

This figure, however, should not be viewed as immediate compensation.

A large share of the funding comes in the form of a revenue-linked credit facility estimated at around $100 million.

This means the protocol will draw funds over time and repay them using future trading fees and platform revenue rather than distributing the full amount upfront.

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To manage user claims, Drift plans to issue a new recovery token, though its official name and final structure are yet to be confirmed.

This token will be distributed to affected users and will represent their share of the recovery pool.

It is expected to be transferable, allowing users to either hold it and wait for gradual repayments or sell it on secondary markets for immediate liquidity, likely at a discount.

The recovery pool itself will not rely solely on external funding.

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It is designed to be continuously replenished through multiple sources, including protocol revenue, partner contributions, and any funds that may be recovered from the attackers.

This creates a system where repayments are tied directly to the platform’s ability to restart operations and generate consistent trading activity.

Despite these measures, there remains a clear shortfall.

With total losses estimated at approximately $285 million and recovery efforts targeting up to $150 million, a large portion of user funds is not immediately covered.

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This gap highlights that users are unlikely to be fully reimbursed in the near term, and recovery will depend heavily on Drift’s long-term performance.

To support a relaunch, part of the recovery framework is also focused on restoring liquidity.

Incentives and financial support are being directed toward market makers to rebuild order books and improve trading conditions once the platform resumes full operations.

Without sufficient liquidity, even a technically sound relaunch would struggle to attract users back.

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Another major shift is the protocol’s decision to move away from USDC as its primary settlement asset and instead adopt USDT.

This change comes after roughly $230 million of the stolen funds were converted into USDC and moved across chains during the exploit.

The switch signals a reassessment of risk and reflects a broader effort to restructure the platform’s core infrastructure following the incident.

Overall, Drift’s recovery plan is built around gradual restitution rather than immediate payouts.

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Its success will depend on how quickly the platform can regain user trust, restore liquidity, and generate enough revenue to sustain long-term repayments.

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Fake Ledger Device Sold Chinese Marketplace: Research

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China, Ledger, Hardware Wallet, Cybersecurity, Hacks

A Brazilian security researcher has warned others of the latest counterfeit Ledger device scam aimed at stealing users’ crypto.

Posting as “Past_Computer2901” on the “ledgerwallet” Reddit channel on Thursday, the security researcher said they purchased what they thought was a legitimate Ledger device for personal use, but soon realized after it arrived that it was a sophisticated counterfeit aimed at stealing user funds. 

“This isn’t meant to cause panic, but rather to serve as a serious warning — I’m honestly still a bit shaken by the sheer scale of this operation,” they said. 

Scammers are adopting increasingly sophisticated strategies to target users opting for self-custody, from supply chain attacks to social engineering and approval scams.

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Earlier this month, more than 50 victims were tricked into revealing their seed phrases on a fake Ledger Live app that made its way to the Apple App Store via a bait-and-switch strategy. The victims lost a combined $9.5 million before Apple took down the malicious app.

How the counterfeit Ledger device scam works

The researcher said he bought the Ledger Nano S Plus from a Chinese marketplace, which was priced the same as the official Ledger store. The packaging and the listing also appeared legitimate at first.

However, when they connected the device to the genuine Ledger Live app — which was luckily already installed on their computer — it failed Ledger’s built-in “Genuine Check.” 

This prompted them to pull apart the device, discovering modified hardware and firmware designed to capture and expose sensitive wallet data.

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The security researcher said the scammers target first-time Ledger users, as the QR code that comes in the box would normally direct users to download a malicious version of the Ledger Live app that would show a fake “Genuine Check.”

Users continuing to follow the prompts will eventually allow scammers to obtain a user’s seed phrases and drain funds at any time.

China, Ledger, Hardware Wallet, Cybersecurity, Hacks
Picture of the counterfeit Ledger device being taken apart. Source: Reddit

“Stay safe out there. Only download Ledger Live from ledger.com. Only buy hardware from ledger.com,” the security researcher said. 

“If your device fails the Genuine Check — stop using it immediately.”

After pulling apart the device, they discovered clear signs of tampering, including scraped chip markings and a WiFi and Bluetooth antenna embedded inside the unit. 

Legitimate Ledger hardware products are designed to keep private keys fully offline.

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Related: Musician loses $420K Bitcoin ‘retirement fund’ via fake Ledger app

The security researcher then looked into the firmware, putting the “chip into boot mode,” which initially identified the device as a Nano S Plus 7704 with an attached serial number.

However, once the boot sequence completed, another manufacturer’s name showed up: Espressif Systems, a publicly listed Chinese semiconductor company based in Shanghai.

Cointelegraph reached out to Espressif for comment but didn’t receive an immediate response.

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